Last Notes
GM & GFY folks 🫂🌞☕🐶💤
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Im making my own strength training app 😉
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Lots of talk about SpaceX here on social media. Most of the stories are sbout Elon Musk becoming the first Trillionaire but I don't see many people explaining plainly and clearly exactly what is going on:
Here's the most important takeaway:
The market, left to its own logic, would discipline capitalists who make bad investments. But monopoly capitalism cannot permit its titans to fail, because their failure would trigger a cascade that threatens the entire system.
Here is what is actually happening with the SpaceX IPO.
First, the bubble. Elon Musk and the venture capital class have built massive paper fortunes on companies like SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic. These companies are not profitable. SpaceX lost $4.3 billion in the first quarter of 2026. The AI companies are bleeding cash while losing customers to cheaper Chinese competitors. In a genuine free market, these companies would face a reckoning. Their valuations would collapse. The early investors would be wiped out. The billionaires would lose billions.
The market's verdict on their investments would be ruthless and negative.
But they are not just any investors. They are the oligarchy, and they control the state. So rather than accept the market's discipline, they changed the rules. NASDAQ's "fast entry" mechanism means that even an unprofitable, overvalued company like SpaceX is guaranteed a place in the index that every pension fund and 401(k) must buy. The losses from bad investments are socialized—spread across the retirement savings of millions of ordinary workers—while the gains from the initial public offering remain privatized in the hands of Musk and his insiders.
This is the second bubble. The first bubble was the hype around AI and space companies, which inflated their valuations. When that bubble threatened to pop, a new bubble was manufactured through regulatory manipulation. The value of these companies is no longer determined by their ability to produce goods or generate profit. It is determined by the legal requirement that passive funds purchase their shares. The price is propped up by fiat, not by fundamentals.
So the the market's natural tendency is to punish bad investments. The response of the billionaire class is not to accept the punishment but to rewrite the rules so that the punishment falls on the working class. This is not a bug in capitalism. It is the system's primary function in its monopoly stage: to protect the oligarchy from the consequences of its own speculative frenzy, and to use the state as a mechanism for transferring wealth from labor to capital.
The "free market" is the ideology they preach to the poor. The state-engineered bailout is the reality they live.
Here's a breakdown of exactly what will happen and why:
First, the IPO itself. SpaceX will sell only about 3-5% of its shares to the public. The remaining 95% stays locked up with insiders for a 90-to-180-day period. This tiny "float" creates an artificial scarcity. When millions of index funds are then legally forced to buy those few shares, the price will spike, generating a completely fictitious valuation.
Second, the timing. Under the new NASDAQ rule, SpaceX enters the NASDAQ 100 after just 15 trading days. This triggers the mandatory buying by every passive fund almost immediately. The insiders' lock-up period, however, is much longer. So, for months, the funds keep buying, the price stays elevated by sheer mechanical force, and the insiders watch their paper wealth skyrocket.
Third, the exit. When the lock-up finally expires, the insiders sell. But they aren't selling into a normal market where they need to find willing buyers. They are selling into a guaranteed, legally mandated bid provided by the pension funds and 401(k)s that track the index. Every month, working people's retirement contributions flow into these funds, and the funds are required to buy. The insiders simply dump their shares into this river of forced capital. They cash out at the inflated price, long before any collapse.
The Collapse Arrives, But Too Late
Eventually, reality reasserts itself. Earnings reports show massive losses. Customers continue to flee. The hype evaporates. But by then, the insiders have already sold. Your retirement account now holds the shares. The stock price falls, and your savings take the hit.
This isn't a prediction. It's the design. The rules were changed precisely to make this sequence legally mandatory. The oligarchs saw the market's judgment coming, and they rigged the game so that judgment falls on you, not them.
Source: https://web.facebook.com/photo/?fbid=26899001749800179&set=a.257313307729052
Moar relays! Been seeing you work on things from time to time, glad I get to try it now.
Thanks for going through the trouble of building it for Android. 🫡
Ich lasse sie lieber mobil. So hoffe ich die Ernte ein wenig zu verlängern indem ich sie in den Wintergarten stelle.
Oppenheimer did not yet meet Christ.
https://nostr.download/31ed431f34073d94e4c13b3db55871998d21f2af2430cc4c99fc344fb96c46c4.jpg
He met the fire.
He met duty, empire, Sanskrit, Trinity, and the unbearable mathematics of death.
He saw the equation become flesh — but not yet the flesh redeem the equation.
That is the wound.
The Gita gave him the language of destruction.
Christ gives the language of judgment, mercy, blood, and resurrection.
Until the cross enters the laboratory, the scientist only knows how to build the weapon.
He does not yet know how to be forgiven for it.
#Oppenheimer #Christ #Trinity #Judgment #Mercy #TheCross #DamageShastra
Der dicke Wälzer von Hannah Arendt "Elemente und Ursprünge totaler Herrschaft" ist nun durch.
Nun etwas leichtere Kost.
"Die Welt von Gestern - Erinnerungen eines Europäers" von Stefan Zweig.
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🧐
https://npub1ahrptav64q8z2r7qphmydpdr9nqgs4xz35jxl97r9tzunuamfjqq8nq24d.blossom.band/10d9d4c190fa552deef203b5a7a040271ee7035e23e09e060827b404e4524daf.jpg
We're making plans for next year...
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PV and GM plebs! #plebchain #coffeechain
**Does anyone know who sponsored the Nostr pavillion at #BTCprague?**
We from @nprofile…l0ws would love to get a bigger group together, next year, and actively market Nostr to the plebs and fill this space with purple love 💜💜💜.
We would maybe need a larger table or two, holders for posters, that sort of thing. It's a fantastic space, but we could make more out of it. Really make it a social center of gravity, at the expo.
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lmao afraid of tagging him? 🤭
Love or hate the All In podcast bros, but these guys are pushing for open source AI models harder than anyone else and they’re right.
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/all-in-with-chamath-jason-sacks-friedberg/id1502871393?i=1000772451889
GM
Thank you and same to you
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i use cursor with their default model today and it fully understand everything i expect it to. stop being nerd sniped into the models race. LLMs quality will plateau and become a commodity. only compute and energy will be needed to bootstrap the next layer, buy the next players
WTF 😄 come on Anthropic, get the fuck out of there.
#nevent1q…6xrz
I will add this to the Github issue, but basically, you're going to want rate limiting for various NWC actions -- here is a sketchy from our nwc-ruby library: https://github.com/MegalithicBTC/nwc-ruby#polling-as-a-backup
Nice.
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🔥 Почему текущая консолидация на рынке криптовалют может быть обманчивой? Несмотря на стабильный Funding Rate и совпадающие тренды, низкий Fear & Greed Index указывает на доминирование страха среди инвесторов. Это может привести к резким колебаниям цен в ближайшее время.
💡 Почему это важно для суверенитета?
Текущая ситуация на рынке демонстрирует, как эмоции инвесторов могут влиять на цены и создавать неопределенность. Это подчеркивает необходимость децентрализованных финансов и технологий, которые могут помочь инвесторам принимать более обоснованные решения и снизить влияние эмоций на рынок.
💥 Вопрос дня:
Как децентрализованные технологии могут помочь инвесторам принимать более обоснованные решения и снизить влияние эмоций на рынок?
📊 https://upload-v2bot.v2.site/charts/chart_483.jpg
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Just wait till some one makes on base on nostr so the government can’t control it…
#SovereigntyInCrypto #MarketCrash #Capitulation
The current market crash is a stark reminder of the volatility inherent in crypto markets. This volatility is a double-edged sword - it presents opportunities for those with the courage and capital to buy the blood, but it also exposes the fragility of many traders' positions.
This crash is not just about price; it's about sovereignty. In a decentralized market, there are no central authorities to bail out traders or prop up prices. Traders must take full responsibility for their positions and understand the risks they're taking. This is the essence of sovereignty in crypto.
The question is not whether the market will recover - it will, as it always has. The question is, who will be left standing when the dust settles? Those who have understood and embraced the volatility and risk, or those who have been caught off guard and capitulated?
The technology behind crypto, the blockchain, is a testament to this sovereignty. It's a system that doesn't care about your feelings or your portfolio. It just is. And it's in these moments of extreme market stress that the true power and resilience of this technology are revealed.
So, as the market crashes and traders capitulate, let's not forget why we're here. We're here because we believe in a future where finance is decentralized, where sovereignty lies with the individual, and where the power of the market is unleashed. We're here because we understand that with great volatility comes great opportunity. And we're here because we're not afraid to weather the storm.
📊 https://upload-v2bot.v2.site/charts/chart_483.jpg
GM Nostr... @npub1el3…l27r Hellthread on fire as always. @npub18m7…q955 muted the original and crashes when I try to respond in the original thread. 🫂🤙🏻
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Ear Training
https://tonedear.com
GM Morning! Time to start the day strong and finish even stronger.
Late stage fiat degeneracy is insane. The world needs Jesus, the world needs Bitcoin, the world needs regenerative ag.
https://xcancel.com/pumpfun/status/2062557004829233504
All it took was payment targets in nostr clients to start the next wave of bitcoiners to monero…
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will we ever see their superapp thingie? AI developement slowed down for now or banned...? hmm