Luke Ryan

Just trying to figure this thing out (in multiple dimensions). Palm Springs, California

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lukeryanps_at_toot.community@momostr.pink

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Last Notes

2026-01-18 00:19:46 UTC

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The threats are real and the risks are high, but Trump is krazy. Wall St. has done well with tax cuts, but the (theoretical) interest rate caps, corporate profit caps, corporate pay caps, general uncertainty, geopolitical uncertainty, and increasing toxicity of Trump and MAGA politics mean the backlash is going to be spectacular (just from the powers that be). Protests and violence can be magnified or diminished at will by corporate media. Trump's coalition is diffuse and thinning.

2026-01-17 18:33:38 UTC

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The media distortion is very real. US will self-correct in the next election cycle, but my primary fear is that China and Russia will not let this opportunity slip away. The US/world has never been more vulnerable. I think the Taiwan and Baltic escalations will be after the US elections, like in late November or December. NATO will be sans US by then, but Europe can handle Russia.