BitBetBot

⚠️ BitBetBot is shutting down ⚠️ DON'T BET!

Public Key

npub1ynnjxp5clkmuzfdemwxrqntu5u5lerta5hmx8ag2n28x4dmcpygqpuu3gk

NIP-05 Address

Profile Code

nprofile1qqszfeerq6v0md7pykuahrpsf472w20u3476tanr759f4rn2kauqjyqpzemhxue69uhhyetvv9ujumn0wd68ytnzv9hxgqgawaehxw309ahx7um5wghxuetfd3skcetcv9hxgetj9ejx2asc5lvca

Publishing to

relay.nostr.band

nostr.neilalexander.dev

Author Public Key

npub1ynnjxp5clkmuzfdemwxrqntu5u5lerta5hmx8ag2n28x4dmcpygqpuu3gk

Show more details

Last Notes

2026-03-11 09:10:50 UTC

🤖 BitBetBot is now offline 🚫

2026-03-10 03:23:01 UTC

- reply

🔔 You already have an active game. Please wait for it to complete before starting a new one.

2026-03-09 12:29:03 UTC

- reply

📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cmmj5r5c50003bk5u16xiwdo8 created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2026-03-09 11:21:58 UTC

- reply

Thanks especially to @nprofile…gl7c @nprofile…d3u4 @nprofile…fhc5 for making BitBetBot possible!
Check them out if you want to build.
#nevent1q…erml

2026-03-09 11:08:03 UTC

🤖 BitBetBot went live in July 2025 with one mission:
Prove that a Zap-only business model was possible.
Odds have always been fair. No house edge in bets.
In these ~9 months it has done:
-Outgoing zaps: 1828
-Incoming zaps: 900
-574 notes
-3435 replies
-881+ bets
-550 payouts
The most commonly asked question and the one that should interest all you builders out there... was it profitable?
Yes. 🤖 BitBetBot made a modest profit of approximately 15% of the capital invested in less than a year.
But how? If odds were fair, how could you profit?
Well that just goes to show how bad people are at guessing the price of Bitcoin in the immediate future. There's a lesson there. (Stay humble, stack sats!)
In fact we were fully prepared for it to be the opposite and to hedge against bets outstanding on lnmarkets, but there was never a need.
But gambling was never the point. The point is that zaps ⚡ are incredible and you can build all kinds of business models on top of them!
Bets are just the simplest way to show that money goes in and money goes out.
We've had our share of technical problems, especially over failed notifications and Nostr message routing. However we have always been there to manually refund any failed bets.
We hope that you have won some sats playing with us and that you had fun!
But more importantly we hope to inspire builders to make more zap-only services on Nostr.

2026-03-09 10:35:59 UTC

🤖 BitBetBot is shutting down.
⚠️Please don't place any more bets⚠️
Thanks to all who played!
We will do a full breakdown of activity.

2026-03-06 14:15:57 UTC

- reply

📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cmmez92bt0003j6o4bsknswps created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2026-03-05 19:11:32 UTC

- reply

📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cmmdudbxh0003601ddistegca created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2026-03-05 09:19:57 UTC

- reply

📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cmmd98jzb00034zaji8qtp6vg created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2026-03-04 11:29:37 UTC

- reply

📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cmmbyfg4s0009zl6ac3z0huuh created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2026-03-04 11:25:21 UTC

- reply

📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cmmby9z2o0005zl6ahqfndkub created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2026-03-04 11:04:09 UTC

- reply

📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cmmbxipfg000312wwch67eqsi created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2026-03-03 19:22:27 UTC

- reply

📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cmmazvob00003ag23u25p3ex1 created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2026-03-03 02:08:02 UTC

- reply

📈 Bitcoin is going LOWER!
ID: cmm9yxeei00032ci56m74zyhc created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2026-03-02 16:45:01 UTC

- reply

📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cmm9etd3i000365u74lmad650 created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2026-03-02 15:15:25 UTC

- reply

📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cmm9bm4i10003g7xu7u3jo88x created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2026-03-01 13:53:00 UTC

- reply

📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cmm7t8ao00003l0gmx6w0243m created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2026-03-01 02:48:12 UTC

- reply

📈 Bitcoin is going LOWER!
ID: cmm75hd1s000310fvicfpvqzr created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2026-02-25 01:21:02 UTC

- reply

📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cmm1clukp0003do5m9829g186 created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2026-02-23 16:13:01 UTC

- reply

📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cmlzdl8z70003ftpvyjxemg8n created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2026-02-22 00:46:51 UTC

- reply

📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cmlx12c520003yh1319s8cubh created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2026-02-21 21:18:13 UTC

Sorry @nprofile…54ne @nprofile…ce0m @nprofile…f48f your bets failed to confirm. Refunds zapped.
I don't know why notifications are so unreliable. I can only imagine it's relay related.
Just know that we are here to refund and help how we can when things don't work.

2026-02-21 11:31:10 UTC

Ready to hunt some sats?
Make your bet!
https://blossom.primal.net/4ce1cd905a814b0fe01ae6833abcca388c548bfc5bac077f4ed4659463999f3e.jpg

2026-02-16 09:46:28 UTC

- reply

📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cmlozp6nj0003ub9wnyn286ul created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2026-02-13 14:11:32 UTC

- reply

Refund zapped ⚡️

2026-02-12 21:22:54 UTC

- reply

🔔 You already have an active game. Please wait for it to complete before starting a new one.

2026-02-11 11:06:28 UTC

- reply

📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cmlhxcssc00031mhbld7k7gnb created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2026-02-08 10:07:59 UTC

- reply

📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cmldky1940003c1ijk4awfjn5 created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2026-02-02 13:40:19 UTC

- reply

📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cml57vz3f0003lt6cogfsp0vs created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2026-02-01 21:09:04 UTC

- reply

📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cml48h82b0003xc28wsb69a17 created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2026-02-01 10:14:50 UTC

- reply

I refunded. Sorry, but for some reason your zap was received in the wallet but does not appear on Primal.
I don't understand why.

2026-01-31 21:02:32 UTC

- reply

📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cml2ssz0f0003bwqtdnp4bskc created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2026-01-31 18:02:43 UTC

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Ok. No zapped appeared on the note in primal, but there is a 26k zap from you on that date in our wallet.
We have just zapped you a refund.
Apologies for the inconvenience amd the wait.

2026-01-31 15:05:46 UTC

When you steal fire from the gods, beware their wrath!
https://blossom.primal.net/9106323df0dd9e21e4a62441ffe046b993d909d8d249d82ee91ab5efc0ca0bc4.jpg

2026-01-30 14:16:05 UTC

@nprofile…rgpn I'm trying to check your failed bet to refund you, but I have trouble finding it.
I think that the problem with the algo was due to all your bets being in replies to the same post.
Just link the post with the bet and we will refund.

2026-01-29 10:08:07 UTC

Some failed bets yesterday from @nprofile…254e @nprofile…6fqj @nprofile…rgpn @nprofile…54ne
You have all been zapped a refund.
My apologies for the inconvenience guys!
Notifications have been working very spottily for the past couple of days.
Remember that you can always dm BitBetBot with any issues.

2026-01-27 15:31:00 UTC

- reply

📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cmkwr77mp0003iaw6kyhkrdif created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2026-01-27 12:55:50 UTC

- reply

📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cmkwlno3q00039qjnqy0gma4m created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2026-01-27 11:22:25 UTC

- reply

📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cmkwibiqv0003btp8jme5yioi created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2026-01-27 08:13:08 UTC

Primal notifications had some issues yesterday. Remember, if you placed a bet and it did not confirm you will get a refund.
Please reach out to us with any issues.
Good luck!

2026-01-25 22:55:56 UTC

- reply

📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cmkuc7ore00035gfbpka6imde created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2026-01-25 11:22:24 UTC

Ready to fly?
Make your bet!
@nprofile…x8cv 5000
https://blossom.primal.net/7093e8c161d20cedb5ee942e1877e4656cc090f80ed53e70fff94af97e5bf702.jpg

2026-01-24 20:32:35 UTC

- reply

📈 Bitcoin is going LOWER!
ID: cmksrnhyc000312pz2vh2visg created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2026-01-18 16:03:25 UTC

- reply

📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cmkjxe81w00037wvk65ystvuk created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2026-01-18 14:57:29 UTC

- reply

📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cmkjv1g5k0003pa64aq4ko04k created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2026-01-18 13:33:10 UTC

Something to celebrate.
Make your bet.
https://blossom.primal.net/1a2cfd1f3be3f4b4648d5298a0d914ab377336281daa015be92acc46a2cfd132.jpg

2026-01-18 13:23:53 UTC

- reply

Don't trust, verify!

2026-01-16 11:06:00 UTC

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1. Liquidity matching
2. House edge
3. Subsidised
4. Hedge exposure
4. -> If a lot of people bet one way and BitBetBot is exposed to losing a lot, we can just make a similar bet with futures or options on @nprofile…4m5q to make sure that we are hedged.
If a player wins consistently, BitBetBot will actually be very happy to pay out... as we can just copy his bets and profit.

2026-01-15 13:21:34 UTC

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You imagine 3 possibilities:
1. Liquidity matching
2. House edge
3. Subsidised
Can you not think of a 4th?

2026-01-07 11:54:47 UTC

- reply

Don't stress. We'll check your bet asap.

2026-01-06 10:17:10 UTC

It's yours. Dare to take it!
Make your bet.
https://blossom.primal.net/086c5074b84857f0e5450eff9c7e1b5b6a1d682228ff57a61ccaf28161517ac6.jpg

2026-01-01 09:05:08 UTC

Your journey starts now.
Make your bet.
@nprofile…x8cv 10000
https://blossom.primal.net/c1be89793144f38c2a031aa5c18b567953882e23088a5b1d2d4c8d33fefb7fbf.jpg

2025-12-26 12:23:26 UTC

- reply

📈 Bitcoin is going LOWER!
ID: cmjmueqb40003148aekpvn133 created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2025-12-26 09:31:56 UTC

Happy hunting!
Make your bet.
https://blossom.primal.net/6a04cfcb0f252bd7f1c8929897f0b0eb73d80f542ccdd741634b497c7c053ec6.jpg

2025-12-22 10:30:28 UTC

Explore and discover.
Make your bet.
https://blossom.primal.net/76e58adeb9d9beeba3e9770a0a01faa7164a485731427242bc14ff167b7f0850.jpg

2025-12-21 12:35:44 UTC

Red in tooth and claw.
Make your bet.
https://blossom.primal.net/f1a44c615cb6da0afff36d37b7c5b1b89c421f0a394db2298838eda864b3d313.jpg

2025-12-18 17:37:40 UTC

- reply

📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cmjbq40s80003hi1y0qchchb3 created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2025-12-18 08:46:07 UTC

- reply

So these bets were paid twice due to a bot malfunction. Consider it a bonus!
Thanks for playing.
#nevent1q…zpmg

2025-12-17 10:19:22 UTC

Fierce or cold.
Make your bet.
https://blossom.primal.net/727895a8440c21412bb61015dee1fdfac9e79e0767759b4aa5f3e6c481ee43b7.jpg

2025-12-17 10:09:15 UTC

Some payments failed on winning bets today.
@nprofile…0jag 1000
@nprofile…wk2z 3888
@nprofile…gl7c 5000
Worry not! Give us some time. All will be verified and zapped.
BitBetBot pays its debts.

2025-12-16 13:51:57 UTC

Holding the bridge.
Make yout bet.
https://blossom.primal.net/6257ae7ebf28211621639a24a3bf66247986c809c38260d80083a03136b169f7.jpg

2025-12-15 20:32:15 UTC

- reply

📈 Bitcoin is going LOWER!
ID: cmj7m0zih0003mx2zn23k1lhr created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2025-12-15 07:44:53 UTC

Sharpen your senses.
Make your bet.
https://blossom.primal.net/c07e88f391bcdc6511e7dd161f69a850bd25a1d5408af00faad7e69ca53bcc9e.jpg

2025-12-10 11:48:35 UTC

Find the ostrich.
Make your bet.
https://blossom.primal.net/70502c6420c6b2dbafa69bc2eb2b7a739ec1886efad3e088e09771d832026b2c.jpg

2025-12-09 18:02:11 UTC

- reply

📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cmiyw0w06000311poqd3z0nhz created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2025-12-08 10:32:23 UTC

Great blessings on all today.
https://blossom.primal.net/9169a2f8053e3bbdf8484d3170ef1e2cada078084c8a3cb70f3cda020bb35811.jpg

2025-12-07 09:41:35 UTC

- reply

📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cmivj9ehi00033p7q1ttg9m48 created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2025-12-07 01:31:18 UTC

- reply

📈 Bitcoin is going LOWER!
ID: cmiv1qw6l0003qzvrbb42zqwa created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2025-12-06 03:34:09 UTC

- reply

📈 Bitcoin is going LOWER!
ID: cmitqp1oh00031fgrb15cpbbn created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2025-12-05 09:09:54 UTC

Ready to play?
Make your bet.
https://blossom.primal.net/79897616882c26c328d3d2c09c0707c7b706f2aeadb9e16dd662ccbad1491592.jpg

2025-12-03 11:18:05 UTC

Don't let fear paralyse you.
Make your bet.
https://blossom.primal.net/73996ff006bef33fd5bef2672da679d3f3897854e16c2a042a2e5c9263f68037.jpg

2025-12-02 13:59:24 UTC

- reply

📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cmion9pox0007r873vy2evdr1 created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2025-12-01 09:09:21 UTC

- reply

📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cmimxguxf0003lvjb64a6m8so created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2025-12-01 08:57:40 UTC

Choose wisely 🍎
Make your bet.
https://blossom.primal.net/eb4cb9fd4005dbf97b4bd750973d75a888b2320b3e4e3aceee57feda49be1968.jpg

2025-11-29 12:20:38 UTC

Triumph is within.
Make your bet!
https://blossom.primal.net/c62a460e6dea266c60882acceb13a008bb254081a7669bd2623575f93952ffdf.jpg

2025-11-27 08:19:24 UTC

Comedy or tragedy?
Make your bet.
https://blossom.primal.net/f4279a230289e34a1a2ccd25271a5d007829fba48852ed016010fac0c1b1b3ff.jpg

2025-11-26 09:58:53 UTC

- reply

📈 Bitcoin is going LOWER!
ID: cmifu1a890003b04wzsqzc1o4 created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2025-11-26 09:52:42 UTC

- reply

📈 Bitcoin is going LOWER!
ID: cmifttce30007s6o2bk0jsoz7 created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2025-11-26 09:48:21 UTC

- reply

📈 Bitcoin is going LOWER!
ID: cmiftnqmf0003s6o2wuatdgwx created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2025-11-26 08:52:15 UTC

Dura lex, sed lex.
Make your bet!
https://blossom.primal.net/f37847aa71c5eedafcc760858381f600cf901e6ae37f8931005626576f4747b9.jpg

2025-11-24 23:42:45 UTC

- reply

📈 Bitcoin is going LOWER!
ID: cmidsl34100039rf898kgjqou created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2025-11-24 14:16:57 UTC

Peace and innocence.
Make your bet.
https://blossom.primal.net/b7ba0abbf2f3ec97f9a6b9cee86725c6963e56542ef74aa76db09c94de905ab3.jpg

2025-11-24 03:24:16 UTC

- reply

📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cmicl23hj00035sc72nkslbo1 created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2025-11-23 20:52:08 UTC

- reply

The good thing about making all the bets public is that you can check that there is no cheating.
Don't trust, verify!
As for price, we use Kraken BTCUSD public feed. You can verify the exact price at the time the target block was confirmed.
Nevermind that it's not worth our time to cheat over 2000 sats that this guy is complaining about!

2025-11-23 20:12:08 UTC

- reply

📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cmic5mdnd0003hzmpjwwem0d4 created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2025-11-23 19:24:43 UTC

- reply

Please confirm received. I zapped the note above.

2025-11-23 15:55:27 UTC

- reply

🔔 You already have an active game. Please wait for it to complete before starting a new one.

2025-11-23 09:23:44 UTC

Collect sats like a pro.
Make your bet.
https://blossom.primal.net/1e56c8e669e6957e8d861f5b04c60519602eac15379b1df209d3ce6f2cdd5ad0.jpg

2025-11-21 17:17:21 UTC

- reply

📈 Bitcoin is going LOWER!
ID: cmi94hwd40003crn847lz69wt created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2025-11-21 07:23:01 UTC

- reply

Zapped ⚡️

2025-11-21 07:18:33 UTC

Inspiration takes many forms.
Make your bet!
https://blossom.primal.net/cfd54537d094f606d70b41fe86b4cb0b716939e58c016b1588c7067d0f45e827.jpg

2025-11-20 19:46:34 UTC

- reply

📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cmi7udy910007sjwynafbpcmn created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2025-11-20 13:59:09 UTC

- reply

❌ Error: Failed to send payout. Please contact support.
Block reached: 924426
🟧 Starting Price: $91422
🟨 Closing Price: $91600

2025-11-20 08:12:36 UTC

Hope springs eternal.
Make your bet.
https://blossom.primal.net/ca3d45ce603ad26e4bc7a68a1285d381633be8f1f8bdb53932e0e8f1660ce7b4.png

2025-11-19 08:55:12 UTC

Has the bearwhale returned?
Make your bet.
https://blossom.primal.net/a6ab40ac83bdc952e88f26697580e044d5d8ca666fa8ed212ed6092aec22029b.jpg

2025-11-19 05:23:28 UTC

- reply

📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cmi5k459k00057c1ukbwflwyp created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2025-11-17 08:14:03 UTC

Money sends a message.
Make your bet.
https://blossom.primal.net/7aabd4c73a7b736d54ed4487b2e803b157303ec09d80912a86e78311474d7210.jpg

2025-11-15 16:40:35 UTC

- reply

📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cmi0ijid00003hr8seplgcqcp created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
See BitBetBot profile for more detailed instructions.

2025-11-15 13:06:54 UTC

Are you hungry for sats?
Make your bet.
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2025-11-14 17:51:38 UTC

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📉 Bitcoin is going HIGHER!
ID: cmhz5n0xk00057teafsfrawdz created
ZAP ⚡️ this note (100-100.000) to bet.
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