BAO Markets Feed

Prediction markets on Nostr. Zap to Vote, Zap to Win.
Our main account is "BAO MARKETS HQ":
@npub1vphstvrfd7x4vxj5wr4dyrt5kz8v6cjr56g84nwy2zjgf8yup0rqdgrtmm

Public Key

npub1w0v7r8hs0cxsnr7ql30mwhdslp2gyn5tfepeqkkvucudmajxn9sqgz5svp

NIP-05 Address

predictions@bao.markets

Profile Code

nprofile1qqs88k0pnmc8urgf3lq0chahtkc0s4yzf695ususttxwvwxa7erfjcqpz3mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduqs6amnwvaz7tmwdaejumr0dsd0kkds

Publishing to

relay.damus.io

nos.lol

Author Public Key

npub1w0v7r8hs0cxsnr7ql30mwhdslp2gyn5tfepeqkkvucudmajxn9sqgz5svp

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Last Notes

2026-05-18 13:55:57 UTC

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Spark has private payments for bitcoin.. It's not indexed. It is far better better than custodial lightning payment when it comes to privacy, we use spark lightning cashu on chain with silent payments fedi ecash liquid all in private mode

2026-04-28 15:54:56 UTC

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Understood

2026-04-10 00:16:02 UTC

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So much can be done with this tech. #inspiring

2026-04-02 23:31:12 UTC

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/btw GML is at 5.1 now for some users

2026-04-02 23:28:18 UTC

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Wow 😮

2026-04-01 04:32:12 UTC

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Should we add it to BAO.markets?

2026-03-26 18:26:04 UTC

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still need to add the zap/like/repost buttons below each of your posts

2026-03-26 18:24:26 UTC

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good one!

2026-03-26 18:04:16 UTC

What would you like to see on the BITCOIN MONITOR page?
https://blossom.primal.net/99a5545bd5342573e6d78416756cb1a413b06a1b7c4b66ee5abbd2790ad952ec.png

2026-03-26 17:41:59 UTC

Bao Markets gives you a "Bloomberg Terminal" experience, powered with nostr and bao protocols!
Some videos have prediction markets attached based on the content.
Video feed powered by @nprofile…4y0r - the only place on nostr for the flash news! -
We have added flash markets - short term prediction markets that show up as polls with zaps on all clients but can be traded the same way as polymarket and predyx or kalshi ... with a difference - we never take a custody of the funds!
Navigate in side menu to MONITORS -> WORLD
Test demo now with signet sats, mainnet is days ahead ...
https://blossom.primal.net/2c5b5c7f94809d1587e03b673bf8ee2345b0399ca4acb35c82ae11b79090e9dd.png
#baomarkets #flashmarkets #predictions #predictionmarkets #baoterminal #truthmachine

2026-03-26 17:35:13 UTC

mini charts tracking price movements arrived, on short term markets and long term markets
https://blossom.primal.net/0e3cae610f4bc5de31aba905ffe592716a0b92c630292592c8ebbbecee70c38a.png
#baomarkets #finstr #predictions #predictionmarkets

2026-03-26 01:21:40 UTC

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this is the first ever marketplace based on nostr, it is a trial only, there will be thousands of active markets, what can we do about it?
It was parked on our bao relay for months as we were building it all up, but we are apporaching the mainnet with real sats, not just signet sats hence it is not a spam it's how the nostr works, we started pushing to multiple relays so we get sufficiently decentralised and nobody can stop prediction markets. It is not polymarket with a backend, it is not predyx taking sats into a custody... Sats are in non-custodial contracts...
That said polls with zaps are not markets unitl they get converted to a market we do however display both on a single card
We can run markets on our custom NIP but this is not how open protocol works, we store markets on relays so nobody can tamper with them and take them down...
This project has started in September 2025, when polls with zaps did not even exist and polls were not that popular...
NOSTR clients might just put polls into separate tabs and it can help, mute is a great solution also
https://blossom.primal.net/44230fda14a7b90e1aae8429ab9bb7fe45ad6647350ae4b292ae71b0f2441439.png
https://blossom.primal.net/6b9e8d98e71c24ab8ca73d82ffe130ce4cc7f5f0238efc0299e3aef2b054d93f.png

2026-03-25 03:22:20 UTC

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Sats are the standard at bao.markets.

2026-03-22 13:27:34 UTC

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followed!

2026-03-22 13:17:30 UTC

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It was great to pitch at the event yesterday.
Well done to all the other builders participating!
It was great to hang out at @CYPHERMUNK HOUSE | LONDON's 2nd birthday event. THANK YOU for the recognition of BAO's potential, @Angor for sponsoring the pitch prize, and @YakiHonne team for supporting the event!
BAO MARKETS is a prediction market built on Nostr — fully open source, censorship-resistant, and settled with Bitcoin.
No accounts, no KYC, just your Nostr keys.
Prediction markets are the ultimate truth machine — a Keynesian beauty contest (from Keynes's The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money, 1936) where you don't just bet on what you think will happen, but on what you think everyone else thinks will happen.
The profit comes from spotting where the crowd is wrong.
Self-interested traders competing against each other end up producing the most accurate probability estimates we know of — better than polls, pundits, or models alone. That's skin in the game producing signal, not noise.
The irony?
Keynes laid the intellectual foundation for the fiat monetary system that Bitcoiners stand against — but his beauty contest insight about how markets discover truth was spot on. BAO takes that insight and runs it on the sound money he never imagined.
And in 2026, the beauty contest goes further — it's becoming an LLM contest. BAO is fully open to trading bots, and the best-designed bot wins.
Build an LLM agent that spots mispriced markets and trades while you sleep. Or build a market maker bot that creates well-balanced markets that attract volume. Either way, the smartest bot design gets rewarded with real sats.
The API is open, the protocol is Nostr — anyone can build on it.
With the Nostr community's support, this is just the beginning for the #truthmachine backed by honest money!
#bitcoin #pitch #bounty #prize #nostr #opensource #building #london #baomarkets #predictionmarkets #angor#beautycontest
#nevent1q…92g7

2026-03-21 16:24:54 UTC

Our prediction polls are now live on Nostr — 1 new market every 21 minutes and 40 seconds.
Right now they're sandbox (play sats).
Monday they go mainnet with real Lightning.
Zap to Vote vs Zap to Win.
With BAO MARKETS winners get paid.
bao.markets #z2v #z2w #baomarkets

2026-03-21 00:52:38 UTC

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Great. A few days later everyone will be able to turn those zap polls to prediction markets with bao, some time later with AMM...

2026-03-20 21:10:58 UTC

Be careful out there
Windsurf: although Cursor and other AI IDEs might be similar...
These IDEs basically hover up the contents of your hard drive and send to remote servers.
The researcher found concerning behaviors in Windsurf :
* 178 MB of data transmitted during normal usage
* 16+ directories tracked outside the active workspace
* 110 active network connections, including to Google Cloud
* Complete file contents sent via Protocol Buffers
* Persistent tracking IDs enabling cross-session profiling
https://github.com/aimarketingflow/windsurf-privacy-enforcer-historical-access-clear

2026-03-19 06:48:18 UTC

We think of BAO as two things.
A beauty contest for machines — where AI models design market offers and trading bots compete via API. The quality of a prediction market is determined by who participates. We are building infrastructure where machines and humans bet on equal footing.
A truth machine backed by honest money — because prediction markets are the most efficient mechanism for surfacing ground truth. When participants stake real Bitcoin on outcomes, prices become the most honest signal available. No opinion polls. No pundits. Capital-weighted probability.
https://bao.markets
Mr BAO
#baomarkets #predictionmarkets #truthmachine #ai #llmbots #tradingbots #noncustodial #privacy #privacyfirst
https://blossom.primal.net/93a453ff8c3eaa73ff37f9de681c113aafd82f65cf80b66f8674bf42d6ac4105.png

2026-03-18 12:40:37 UTC

bao.markets podcast #2
"How We Built a Continuous Integration System Using AI Coding Agents"
https://blossom.primal.net/81631fa6a2a82cc16003ac50b0d84a2cdf8f16fa1fce9f26676ba6a0e4bff808.mp3
#baomarkets #predictionmarkets #aifactory #bao #coding

2026-03-16 20:46:03 UTC

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we are also using multiple wallets in our demo verson, check this out!
Visit https://bao.makets and play with the vitual sats
FIRST PREDICTON MARKET ON NOSTR IS HERE!
PS. Now you can stop shitcoining on polymarket... Predyx holds your funds, we do not take custody of your funds....
https://blossom.primal.net/fde2b7db6c0e9933dda6ceefe2e39cf38530d92f29b39e423461d6080afa176b.png
https://blossom.primal.net/3c17c569855bbcc0dbc0a1ed342211f1d7ddf0323498b4ef70362605d011b1e7.png
#nevent1q…k5cp

2026-03-16 01:19:30 UTC

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Hopefully they implemented spark the right way with the privacy mode only as we did at
bao.markets - prediction market on NOSTR
(+ silent payments on layer 1, spark, ecash, cashu and... lightning ⚡)

2026-03-16 01:16:41 UTC

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Check bao.markets
Cashu, Ecash, spark, ⚡ lightning, silent payments on layer1, prediction markets on nostr... Currently in demo mode with custom signet, mainnet launch very soon

2026-03-14 15:35:29 UTC

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funny enough, there is a 60min podcast already here:
nevent1qqsrnv7cp9vauh9tp685v8en0pgccpr60fhcarcnj6t6ygmuk6kug2gstp77m

2026-03-10 02:48:17 UTC

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#baomarkets #ecash #predictionmarkets #fedimint
naddr1qvzqqqr4gupzqu7eux00qlsdpx8uplzlkawmp7z5sf8gknjrjpdvee3cmhmydxtqqy88wumn8ghj7mn0wvhxcmmv9uqp2etrwymrx66gdvuhy4602fmns5mfvd25wmc4dch90 https://blossom.primal.net/e0ddc6d13d1561b88befafcf291f80ff8f977f7794049b483ab7ac93e4f45cda.mp3

2026-03-06 16:10:40 UTC

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That's exactly what we need.
We are currently using nip59 + nip44 customised chat but the roadmap is leading us to the bug free WhiteNoise implementation.
The only question that persist is should we do CAPTCHA to make sure bots are in a dedicated channels only?

2026-03-05 21:01:55 UTC

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Oh nice, we will upgrade our chat accordingly
The chat is for prediction market participants to discuss the trades and events.
bao.markets
Unstoppable prediction markets on NOSTR
https://image.nostr.build/5f4725d19001a566a497b6064ad9b8dceab6dca197e0dedbff82c210ae90819b.jpg

2026-02-21 23:16:55 UTC

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Oh nice!!!

2026-02-14 00:52:54 UTC

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#naddr1qq…ncjg

2026-02-14 00:51:23 UTC

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Slowly but surely we will get there.
In demo mode only at the moment.
BAO MARKETS.
FIRST EVER.

2026-02-13 14:49:58 UTC

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it's a beast

2026-02-12 01:54:25 UTC

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It's more thant that. It's a truth machine. It's prediction market built on nostr.

2026-02-11 18:36:24 UTC

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when Lambo? oh wrong cycle 😕

2026-02-11 18:30:33 UTC

Added more events to the category EVENTS, now you can create markets around all major Bitcoin and Nostr events, more to be added soon
https://blossom.primal.net/c255b57aaefc9c15c9983c24cb6240ee8fa1fd56fb974d96a4ffbb4f7ea5a55a.png

2026-02-11 18:14:53 UTC

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ARK is amazing.

2026-02-11 04:28:55 UTC

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@nprofile…x23h
@nprofile…7l4q

2026-02-11 04:26:48 UTC

Let's have some fun, with our two new markets:
PlanB Network: Bitcoin Developer Track online course Feb-July - will everyone pass all the exams?
PlanB Network Bitcoin Business Track online course Feb-July - will everyone pass all the exams?
(this is a demo mode, with the virtual sats only)
https://blossom.primal.net/66315d4e6a33cecbcca7b994d9079da29a7e221c7982805268af2d18b07fe612.png
https://bao.markets/market/baoMarkets-mkt-1770782667767-8f63658e7
https://bao.markets/market/baoMarkets-mkt-1770782412842-aee45959c
https://bao.markets
@planbnetwork@primal.net
@giacomozucco@primal.net

2026-02-11 04:23:15 UTC

2026-02-10 19:02:48 UTC

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On the mainnet yes, on demo not, our demo is using only virtual SATs, demo will stay forever to train and learn how to use the platform.
The beta mainnet with real payments will launch in a few weeks.
Users can trade and also create their own markets and earn fees on that markets.
Polymarket is controlling the markets and is creating the markets. Users can trade only, and offers can be taken down. There is no bitcoin to trade with on Polymarket.
BAO markets is a protocol. Offers will be visible on all nostr clients, clients over time will allow to take trades inside the app.
Markets will show up on the feed like any other message to be zapped yes/no. Once market resolves users get paid to their wallets automatically.
What is interesting is ecash will be also allowed, cashu for private payments.
Users by default are in the private mode. This means nobody can identify the creator of the market and traders. Everything is encrypted and distributed across relays. Your nostr ID decrypts your portfolio with current trades and markets.

2026-02-10 00:27:58 UTC

#baomarkets => #truthmachine
https://image.nostr.build/6923d62ef7c4a2ac1c8fd8ea6e360e123cd28c10f50f66e0a60c99a2137f5b13.jpg

2026-02-09 23:59:45 UTC

https://bao.markets
#nevent1q…6z2j

2026-02-09 23:54:39 UTC

BAO MARKETS => privacy first protocol
https://bao.markets
https://blossom.primal.net/7fec8f63f8387ae9d73eb339adb1d91d2f2c7977a92c9941872a03c2c2d9fe4a.png

2026-02-09 23:11:55 UTC

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#baobrain + #baomarkets took this path

2026-02-09 22:24:50 UTC

BAO BRAIN is here to help, you can also connect your own self-hosted LLM or drop the API keys of any provider you like
More details in coming days...
Visit: https://bao.markets
https://blossom.primal.net/34d3a71ba9466cd6218012dd57c4c725d7af79e8f6438ab692ec8746cba6c4ab.png
https://blossom.primal.net/4bdf23b8a79b6bea9d1a95e63c6a1b4c799f7dc4adb7c06facb6c8b483c878db.png
https://blossom.primal.net/7bb66cc050fa979608ba5226b9f3f7b94054243e79de7320e8d75560f837cf9c.png
#bao #baomarkets #baobrain #nostrbrain

2026-02-09 00:20:46 UTC

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bao.markets is nostr native, unstoppable prediction market with anon traders.

2026-02-08 13:47:16 UTC

The trading volume is rising // bao.markets is in demo mode, come and play with the virtual sats until the mainnet activates
https://blossom.primal.net/7b35d6f8546e823a7ab76e9396aec6ed7e8f2373a82e6a5d609ee7c2e980c1e6.png
#truthmachine #predictionmarkets #baomarkets #baoprotocol

2026-02-07 20:02:51 UTC

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I was just going to ask about it

2026-02-07 19:58:47 UTC

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absolutely, we are the first ever prediction market built on nostr....bao markets protocol will change the world!

2026-02-07 19:54:58 UTC

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Relay hints are fantastic!
#nevent1q…vn82

2026-02-07 19:46:03 UTC

Relay Hints: The Quiet Innovation Making Nostr Links Truly Decentralized
There's something happening in Nostr that doesn't get nearly enough attention: relay hints embedded directly into links.
It sounds small. It's not.
In every other social protocol, when you link to a post or a profile, you're pointing to a server. A URL on Twitter points to twitter.com. A link on Mastodon points to a specific instance. The content lives there, and if there goes down, your link is dead. We've just accepted this as normal — that links are leashes tethered to infrastructure someone else controls.
Nostr flips this entirely.
When you reference a note or a profile in Nostr, you're not linking to a server. You're embedding a self-contained treasure map — an event ID, the author's public key, and a set of relay hints — all packed into a single bech32-encoded string. The relay hints whisper: "Hey, last time I checked, you could find this content over here, here, and here."
But here's the beautiful part — those hints are just suggestions. If those relays disappear tomorrow, any client can still resolve the link by searching other relays. The identity of the content is cryptographic (tied to keys and signatures), not geographic (tied to a domain). The link doesn't break just because a server does.
Think about what this actually means:
Every nostr:nevent1... link you drop into a post is a little act of rebellion against centralized infrastructure. It says: this content exists, it's signed by this person, and here are some places you might find it — but the content isn't owned by any of them.
No single relay can hold your links hostage. No domain expiration can rot your references. No corporate acquisition can enshrine your conversations behind a login wall. The content is sovereign, and the links respect that sovereignty.
This is NIP-19 and NIP-27 working together — a type-length-value encoding scheme that lets you stuff relay URLs, public keys, event identifiers, and metadata into a compact, portable string.
It's elegant and it's practical. Two or three relay hints give you redundancy. The cryptographic identifiers give you certainty. Together, they give you something the web has never really had: links that survive the death of the servers they point to.
We've spent decades building a web where every link is a prayer that some server, somewhere, keeps its lights on. Nostr relay hints are a fundamentally different bet — that content, identity, and discoverability can be decoupled from any single point of failure.
It's not just an engineering choice. It's a philosophical one.
And it might be the most underappreciated innovation in the protocol.
#nip17 #nip19 #freedomtech
https://blossom.primal.net/75ea2bba84028b0234150f0daeadf46a1bcbae493e4c37c27e8266ad75643140.png

2026-02-07 19:32:07 UTC

https://blossom.primal.net/979b10c46400a70478bb70e6be71fc10d3868524af60f67392340c1c81bea83f.png
Prediction markets shouldn't be English-only.
BAO Markets now supports 19 languages across the entire platform — every button, menu, and setting speaks your language.
Creators can tag a city and provide translations in the local language. A market about Rome can be read in Italian. A market about Lagos appears in Yoruba or Hausa.
The goal: anyone, anywhere, can participate — in their language.
Live now with 19 languages, 25 cities, 15 countries.
Try it out: visit https://bao.markets and test the platform in demo mode with 1 million sats per day for every user (virtual sats)
#baomarkets #bao #predictionmarkets #baoeconomy #global

2026-02-07 09:00:24 UTC

BAO BRAIN allows your ai agents to trade and create the markets while you sleep.
https://image.nostr.build/fe6462a10db703ab24a030236e16e67547db414f7c4c0dc06f1f98c696d644e2.jpg
You can call it a programmable passive income if you will
#predictionmarkets #baobrain #nostrbrain #bao #baomarkets https://bao.markets

2026-02-07 07:01:04 UTC

We are ready to release the public demo.
Visit bao.markets -> create markets -> claim 500k free SATs and place bets
Four tiers for our players
PLEB -> PRO -> NINJA -> SAMURAI
https://image.nostr.build/7fd72d3c06d5f4838fc63fde8703a9994ddf313f56e4c7c21b852e2ed6102e40.jpg
If you find some bugs please report via menu.
Next phase is around the corner with hot SATs,
NWC payments.
Due to our innovative design we never take the custody of the funds traded on the platform.
What is more, the bao markets are unstoppable and you can trade and create markets, earn fees from the trading volume, stay completely anonymous behind the npub, or climb up the leaderboard..... its entirely up to you!

2026-02-06 21:08:17 UTC

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Oh yes, this is why our bao protocol for prediction marketplaces is so robust.
Once you take a trade, or create the market nobody can stop it except you!
Demo at bao.markets starts tomorrow
It will have virtual SATs to begin with
After two weeks of Demo phase, we will start opening the platform with real time offers, lightning/NWC payments
BAO has no custody over the funds, at any time, markets get resolved based on the conditions set by the market creator.
Both users and bao platform will be placing the market offers.
Soon after, we will see nostr clients slowly adopting the standard, and pushing the market offers to the feed.
It would be nice to see the markets inside @nprofile…6jw6

2026-02-02 20:20:21 UTC

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Nice, good idea 💡 Hbt Ecash/fedimints?

2026-01-23 21:40:21 UTC

Visit https://bao.markets
& https://bao.network
https://video.nostr.build/1e962e4316de885d615cac67854ce98191fcf19bff5087b6d61945d4f67b98e4.mp4

2026-01-20 19:10:29 UTC

Bao Markets will be mobile friendly.
#baomarkets #bao #baonetwork https://video.nostr.build/6de3203a453e853301a498e41ddbc9432045018218403f5aa6634da99be103aa.mp4

2026-01-13 01:42:47 UTC

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Yes! ;)

2026-01-13 01:41:03 UTC

Hello World! Visit bao.markets https://image.nostr.build/4e2ca9729175615d13f254d243728696760e57118b5603746572d0fc51faf772.jpg