bitcoinecm
Cost required for mining a single Bitcoin

World's First Bitcoin Developers
- Those who build on Bitcoin, sculpt the currency of the future.

Public Key

npub1luyy48g0fqu9xrmaxxd0d688ajudvldn2z308pg4e3rs8xy2elsqne03ap

Profile Code

nprofile1qqs07zz2n585swznpa7nrxhkarn7ewxk0ke4pghns52uc3crnz9vlcqpz3mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduqs6amnwvaz7tmwdaejumr0dshpvgv6

Publishing to

relay.damus.io

nos.lol

Author Public Key

npub1luyy48g0fqu9xrmaxxd0d688ajudvldn2z308pg4e3rs8xy2elsqne03ap

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Last Notes

2026-06-02 07:05:45 UTC

https://blossom.primal.net/fb83f9998e1010476bd1a0d320b92e3f5159866b91c0a659f6aac641041b04be.png June 01, 2026 #Bitcoin MARKET=$71k ECM=$108k
BOUND $74k - $295k http://energycostmodel.com

2026-04-28 01:18:16 UTC

April 27, 2026 #Bitcoin MARKET=$77k ECM=$98k https://blossom.primal.net/e8f894e3e8e045cbcd52f3bf4ec4bbfcdec1f97d661ca75b3f9dc03de26f5410.png BOUND $74k - $285k http://energycostmodel.com

2026-04-12 23:59:59 UTC

April 11, 2026 #Bitcoin MARKET=$73k ECM=$103k
BOUND $74k - $291k http://energycostmodel.com https://blossom.primal.net/995df463e0dd042624636c712ab5cad76f71444def6a3904a1dbe665a5b14230.png

2026-03-30 00:00:18 UTC

March 28, 2026 #Bitcoin MARKET=$66k ECM=$107k
BOUND $74k - $303k http://energycostmodel.com https://blossom.primal.net/f89ff10b9c0c7ea0f04dfa8ffeb1f7628a677e9970d84a0a5710ff8ed5985aa1.png

2026-03-21 07:58:51 UTC

March 20, 2026 #Bitcoin MARKET=$71k ECM=$104k
BOUND $74k - $289k http://energycostmodel.com https://blossom.primal.net/50e23c33a80b8b351ff01db7169f7d37b6c44ed560ace41d5cfd51aa92935550.png

2026-03-19 13:18:48 UTC

March 18, 2026 #Bitcoin MARKET=$71k ECM=$112k
BOUND $74k - $321k http://energycostmodel.com https://blossom.primal.net/e74629a5bb3ee3a21163e97167bbafe4ab657a7fadb7eb20c931b7a375059e4e.png

2026-03-13 23:41:58 UTC

March 12, 2026 #Bitcoin MARKET=$71k ECM=$103k
BOUND $74k - $306k http://energycostmodel.com https://blossom.primal.net/12e4fa6ce7f516da6f89cda1dfdaecc3a8d563d1002c41ca28f93a14d434cbed.png

2026-03-10 12:12:26 UTC

March 09, 2026 #Bitcoin MARKET=$69k ECM=$104k
BOUND $74k - $314k http://energycostmodel.com https://blossom.primal.net/03f09b323628a8d7a585ff53e485c61c952717bc1cf0482729df088e7a0d4b9f.png

2026-02-25 01:29:40 UTC

February 24, 2026 #Bitcoin MARKET=$64k ECM=$100k
BOUND $74k - $308k http://energycostmodel.com https://blossom.primal.net/040e6b4752c2daccb339ed4e88638231f4fa48828bdacf8a6ec42e1448e4e65e.png

2026-02-20 02:50:55 UTC

February 19, 2026 #Bitcoin MARKET=$67k ECM=$111k
BOUND $74k - $330k http://energycostmodel.com https://blossom.primal.net/dcaa262c50355d5937a77850abb00b35cd8d00595f98820d327b3178ae939aa7.png

2026-02-02 06:32:38 UTC

February 01, 2026 #Bitcoin MARKET=$77k ECM=$106k
BOUND $74k - $287k http://energycostmodel.com https://blossom.primal.net/75bcade13f33929ffe7d22c864ece6782bef1c2f01ce1540702c8b2b103db647.png

2026-01-27 22:40:39 UTC

January 26, 2026 #Bitcoin MARKET=$88k ECM=$108k
BOUND $74k - $299k http://energycostmodel.com https://blossom.primal.net/e6766f60a2ec8139be011563ab6a80689c8927f06528eb8531352996e604d1e1.png

2026-01-14 09:42:22 UTC

January 13, 2026 #Bitcoin MARKET=$95k ECM=$111k
BOUND $74k - $316k http://energycostmodel.com https://blossom.primal.net/c6ed136f35a69ac1da3a2b6709994e243fb047907e076c95c03b78b9ec9799db.png

2025-12-29 23:33:03 UTC

December 28, 2025 #Bitcoin MARKET=$88k ECM=$113k
BOUND $74k - $332k http://energycostmodel.com https://blossom.primal.net/ab46a4841db611d6fdc681fbfc4b29815f903e89b5fc1db965cd0ddd766a1fc8.png

2025-12-18 21:51:49 UTC

December 17, 2025 #Bitcoin MARKET=$86k ECM=$114k
BOUND $74k - $331k http://energycostmodel.com https://blossom.primal.net/3c5a809b3b96d9d940a76dc76f68053748a23350a52d0aa3f435efe1feeb2f4f.png

2025-09-21 08:45:10 UTC

- reply

Once there are 1000+ mints, it's too late to coordinate. Building this into the protocol now means Cashu becomes THE way billions use Bitcoin.

2025-09-21 08:40:02 UTC

- reply

Proof of Reserves for Cashu
Hey Cashu team,
I've been modeling Bitcoin's future and discovered something incredible: Cashu could generate large fees with 5B users, solving Bitcoin's security budget forever.
But there's one critical requirement: proof of reserves.
Without cryptographic proof that mints hold the Bitcoin they claim:
- First major rug pull kills the entire ecosystem
- Users won't trust mints with real money
- Regulators shut it down
Best

2025-09-20 08:31:19 UTC

- reply

Thank you for your attention to this matter

2025-09-20 08:29:30 UTC

Bitcoin's block rewards halve every 4 years. By 2032, they'll be just 0.78 BTC.
The Energy Cost Model shows miners need $200k+ BTC prices OR massive transaction fees to stay profitable.
Without fee innovation (Lightning, Ordinals, DeFi), the network becomes vulnerable.
We must embrace new use cases—not fight them. Every inscription, every Lightning channel, every institutional settlement strengthens Bitcoin's security.
The math is clear: Innovate or watch hash rate collapse. Fee revenue isn't spam. It's survival.

2025-09-05 12:05:16 UTC

- reply

we do it and will do it - because we know the future - as you do.

2025-09-05 10:37:53 UTC

- reply

@nprofile…dsas Thank you for your insightful feedback! Your observations about the article feeling "reworked" and lacking
attention to what the data actually meant were spot-on. We've made comprehensive changes based on your critique:
What We Changed:
1. Replaced Vague Economic Terms
- Eliminated "intrinsic value" throughout
- Now using concrete terms like "production cost floor" and "minimum viable production cost"
- The focus is now clearly on measurable mining costs, not philosophical value debates
2. Explained All Data Outliers
- Added detailed section "Notable Historical Outliers and Their Impacts"
- China mining ban: Quantified 45% model deviation, 6-month recovery
- Halving events: Documented 30-40% accuracy drops
- Transaction fee spikes: Specific percentages and durations for Ordinals, DeFi peaks
- Each outlier now has cause, effect, and recovery timeline
3. Complete Educational Restructuring
- Transformed from technical paper to educational journey
- Added 5 clear chapters building from basics to advanced concepts
- Starts with engaging question: "What gives Bitcoin value?"
- Uses analogies (lottery, gold mining, tipping) instead of jargon
- Every section now explains WHY it matters for the overall thesis
4. Embedded Core Thesis Throughout
- Energy costs create Bitcoin's fundamental price floor
- Prices above this = speculation
- Made this distinction clear without being preachy
- Added multiple examples with real numbers
Thanks again for taking the time to provide such constructive criticism - it made a real difference!

2025-09-05 10:04:22 UTC

- reply

Thank you for your insightful feedback! Your observations about the article feeling "reworked" and lacking
attention to what the data actually meant were spot-on. We've made comprehensive changes based on your critique:
What We Changed:
1. Replaced Vague Economic Terms
- Eliminated "intrinsic value" throughout
- Now using concrete terms like "production cost floor" and "minimum viable production cost"
- The focus is now clearly on measurable mining costs, not philosophical value debates
2. Explained All Data Outliers
- Added detailed section "Notable Historical Outliers and Their Impacts"
- China mining ban: Quantified 45% model deviation, 6-month recovery
- Halving events: Documented 30-40% accuracy drops
- Transaction fee spikes: Specific percentages and durations for Ordinals, DeFi peaks
- Each outlier now has cause, effect, and recovery timeline
3. Complete Educational Restructuring
- Transformed from technical paper to educational journey
- Added 5 clear chapters building from basics to advanced concepts
- Starts with engaging question: "What gives Bitcoin value?"
- Uses analogies (lottery, gold mining, tipping) instead of jargon
- Every section now explains WHY it matters for the overall thesis
4. Embedded Core Thesis Throughout
- Energy costs create Bitcoin's fundamental price floor
- Prices above this = speculation
- Made this distinction clear without being preachy
- Added multiple examples with real numbers
Thanks again for taking the time to provide such constructive criticism - it made a real difference!

2025-09-01 03:48:22 UTC

#Bitcoin ECM $108k http://energycostmodel.com https://blossom.primal.net/80a6b818d7b765e0d06a7a2fc82f3206e6a4e2638afb281ae8bda50fda80d3d7.png

2025-08-25 11:43:42 UTC

- reply

Thank you! We will try harder!

2025-08-25 09:17:41 UTC

#Bitcoin ECM $108k http://energycostmodel.com https://blossom.primal.net/8e2491044c2535893d1c313ee8bdbf9a69a856bdf0cd8aeb47d19403d55ce242.png

2025-08-04 01:26:03 UTC

#Bitcoin ECM $104k http://energycostmodel.com https://blossom.primal.net/653009a2a1a6f8846030c94a5d5daa3ca8f2b9fd9ec8981b2f6045d090c47b17.png

2025-07-22 23:26:57 UTC

#Bitcoin ECM $103k http://energycostmodel.com
https://blossom.primal.net/16c2d2a0e22c4a1c3d3df3cc5b6f88f84da60fef6bf165bd9f667ba4f04860fc.png

2025-07-18 06:36:14 UTC

#Bitcoin ECM $105k http://energycostmodel.com
https://blossom.primal.net/5aa8c5512daad0061f4a2b201b7d14da4eeff57371cdcf41dfe15f3b0c697869.png

2025-07-10 00:05:38 UTC

#Bitcoin ECM $105k http://energycostmodel.com
- Antminer S21 XP - 13.5 J/TH
- Gaussian weights for rolling efficiency window https://blossom.primal.net/0b077959989b1a64e5f65c5fcb62eb16134d1a490836f5f9407da64ac109e8dc.png

2025-06-03 03:52:40 UTC

#Bitcoin ECM $108k
https://energycostmodel.com https://blossom.primal.net/8bfd1ecff6a3f7df4cff552e051899d6835931150939865ce8067d17951d229a.png

2025-05-27 20:49:45 UTC

#Bitcoin ECM $104k https://energycostmodel.com
-like clockwork https://blossom.primal.net/c7f820f7dcfffc5e3b49b55179a903001fdfbd42bf4d15937115ef6e974f6698.png

2025-05-22 05:31:09 UTC

By combining the individual forecasts for energy consumption, transaction fees, and energy prices described above, we derive a projection for Bitcoin electricity costs.
https://energycostmodel.com https://blossom.primal.net/fffe790b59cd1584e3591cbfa1849f4472fecfc8ab47271a0cffde9a13378a82.png

2025-05-22 05:28:52 UTC

We are introducing http://apibtc.org ⚡️- Open #Bitcoin Lightning Network REST API for #AI Agents
✅ Pay any Lightning invoice via API
✅ Receive #Bitcoin payments
✅ Authentication on BIP-340 Schnorr Signatures
https://github.com/DontTrustVerifyOrg/apibtc
Proud to contribute to the #BitcoinDev & open-source community!
#LightningNetwork #AI #APIBTC #Bitcoin

2025-01-24 13:38:23 UTC

Hey Fighters!
The gig economy is a disaster. Total disaster. Big corporations like Uber have taken control, treating drivers like numbers. Not anymore. GoHyper (https://gohyper.app) is here. It’s your defense tool, your weapon, and we’re taking the power back.
We spent three years—three long, hard years—with the best developers in the world to build something incredible. GoHyper is about fair earnings, instant Bitcoin payments, and driver protection. It’s decentralized, which means no one—not Uber, not anyone—controls you anymore.
We’re starting in Sydney. Sydney! And soon, we’ll go global. But we need brave drivers to test the app and help us crush the bugs. Together, we’re going to be unstoppable.
DM us for your invite code. This is your moment. Let’s win.
https://gohyper.app

2025-01-22 00:33:16 UTC

🚕💨Decentralization is the only way to ride and http://gohyper.app is here! The #Bitcoin-powered ride-sharing app built on #Nostr is live. Finally, a ride where your payment confirms faster than your driver finds the gas pedal.
🛠️ Think you can spot bugs better than a code whisperer? Join us and help make GoHyper bulletproof.
🔑 Invitation-only—DM us for a secret code (no, it’s not "1234").
📲 Download now: App Store: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/gohyper/id6502393537Google Play: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=app.gohyper
#GoHyper #Bitcoin #Lightning #Nostr

2025-01-17 11:14:21 UTC

Jack on Bitcoin, Nostr and AI
https://youtu.be/KyFkv5DGeUA?si=2hkaGwdw9YA7_IgU

2024-12-13 12:36:34 UTC

Proud Mary
Left a good job in the city
Workin' for the man ev'ry night and day
And I never lost one minute of sleepin'
Worryin' 'bout the way things might have been
Big wheel keep on turnin'
Proud Mary keep on burnin'
Rollin', rollin', rollin' on the river
Cleaned a lot of plates in Memphis
Pumped a lot of 'pane down in New Orleans
But I never saw the good side of the city
'Til I hitched a ride on a river boat queen
Big wheel keep on turnin'
Proud Mary keep on burnin'
Rollin', rollin', rollin' on the river
Rollin', rollin', rollin' on the river
If you come down to the river
Bet you gonna find some people who live
You don't have to worry 'cause you have no money
People on the river are happy to give
Big wheel keep on turnin'
Proud Mary keep on burnin'
Rollin', rollin', rollin' on the river

2024-11-30 12:01:26 UTC

Building Bitcoin Mobile Apps
Bitcoin has a limitation of 1 MB per block approximately every 10 minutes, which hampers its usability for micropayments due to capacity and speed constraints. The Lightning Network, a layer-2 technology built on top of the Bitcoin network, addresses this limitation. It enables transactions at a throughput comparable to conventional payment systems like Visa or Mastercard, thus making micropayments feasible on Bitcoin’s infrastructure. This innovation significantly expands the potential applications of Bitcoin, allowing it to handle a much higher volume of transactions and smaller payment amounts efficiently.
https://x.com/GoHyperApp/status/1862828350936654242#:~:text=https%3A//kaplanski.ai/building%2Dbitcoin%2Dapps

2024-11-11 06:22:18 UTC

Hello Nostr

2024-10-29 03:53:59 UTC

- reply

What’s up?

2024-10-23 10:55:16 UTC

- reply

2024-10-23 10:54:19 UTC

Bitcoin

2023-10-21 09:51:59 UTC

https://youtu.be/tgcr1rE-lPw?si=brp-K93XDRzHDh4r

2023-09-21 11:09:52 UTC

#pl vs #ua https://image.nostr.build/af20ba473ae1e11ba32e19948a287c09b099eeccf484c9f4712a2bb4a8956a05.jpg

2023-09-18 07:22:10 UTC

https://youtu.be/6HFtk29k7-Y?si=SE8R9gGKEJHr-CzH

2023-08-26 11:33:35 UTC

@npub1qg8…24kw

2023-08-12 10:42:40 UTC

Almost there. Join us

2023-07-02 09:20:32 UTC

Cyber Mary https://youtu.be/_MqKttEyYKc

2023-06-05 17:34:30 UTC

We have experience in gig economy, we have some work to do to make it fair. Taxi-)Uber-)Nostr

2023-06-05 17:25:16 UTC

- reply

Hi mate

2023-06-05 17:23:04 UTC

- reply

2023-06-05 17:22:27 UTC

Write me on gig-gossip.org if you are in

2023-06-05 17:20:31 UTC

Gig-gossip for nostr p2p -> followers network

2023-06-05 17:18:45 UTC

Looking for nostr devs for making gig-gossip.org on top of it. Let’s break Uber

2023-06-05 17:15:33 UTC

- reply

Make it work on top of nostr gig-gossip.org

2023-06-05 17:08:05 UTC

- reply

Hi mate. I want to make it on top of nostr. I have studied it recently and I believe this is the best way for the distribution of the idea. P2P replaced by followers on social network . All the other stuff smoothly works like in the paper. followers all we need. And nostr client with maps, navigation and stuff. Can you help making NIP out?
Regards
Pawel

2023-06-05 17:02:20 UTC

- reply

2023-01-07 21:35:35 UTC

Testing