OostLog

If we get a new market crash, don’t underestimate the probability that Bitcoin responds to liquidity faster than before and just skips the whole initial drawdown thing. Not a certainty but a possibility

2026-03-21 03:03:32 UTC

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Shitcoin shenanigans, however she obviously just got taken for a ride by the scammer army. Convenient scapegoat

2026-03-20 23:54:27 UTC

Higher low, sorry gold freaks
https://blossom.primal.net/3f924df348129e66b2065b231aa41e9dc4423539fbfd34c6d3c33ad17bd4caaf.jpg

2026-03-20 00:34:25 UTC

Europe always lands on its feet btw. Gloating about a temporarily complex situation it faces is misunderstanding the continent. These types of challenges are like breathing in and out for it.

2026-03-11 05:48:20 UTC

People look down on office work, but I’ve always enjoyed it. As long as you’re in there suffering together with likeminded and energetic people it builds a sort of camaraderie that’s quite special

2026-03-09 09:46:14 UTC

Bitcoin is higher than when the Iran attacks began, btw.

2026-03-07 23:59:16 UTC

Fed balance sheet has been expanding again since December. Given that, we’re likely to be in conditions where bitcoin resumes its path up. Maybe at best interrupted by a brief out-of-pattern March 2020 like shock. But there’s a non zero chance we’re already at the worst of that

2026-03-07 11:56:40 UTC

You should take note of the exact people who conclude “BlackRock is collapsing” from a private credit fund with <0.2% of the firm’s AUM gating outflows. They are unlikely to understand anything about anything so are best never again paid attention to. Filtering opps must be used

2026-03-07 08:42:02 UTC

Once financial centers that were once seen as a safe haven start being threatened, you might actually see a bid under BTC emerging

2026-03-04 01:45:44 UTC

Patiently waiting for all the tradmedia articles highlighting Bitcoin’s relative strength compared to everything else and how we’re going back to 100k. They must be coming any moment now (crickets)

2026-02-28 03:41:48 UTC

99% of people think of Bitcoin as an investment.
But the real story is that it's off the grid digital money. Wealth that is outside of their system.
I own a property in Europe, knowing full well that if I ever sell it (7 figures), I will not be able to take that money and do what I want with it without talking to 10 compliance people or being treated like a criminal.
I also know that if I don't sell, the government is coming to milk me for the house for eternity (because god forbid you own a house whose value has gone up exponentially due to infinite money printing, you absolute capitalist criminal swine), as well as for whatever I have stashed away in stocks and so on.
Wealth taxes, exit taxes, international taxes, unrealised capital gains taxes and other forms of confiscation await all of us. If you don't understand how that relates to Bitcoin and why you should care about it beyond oh muh god the number went up or muh ETF flows and mah DeFi, then i truly can't help you. You're being played by the system.

2026-02-25 01:16:46 UTC

Removed Bitcoin price from my stocks app, my Bloomberg, the ticker I used to have on top of my desktop. In disgust.
I refuse to buy or sell anything and we could literally be at zero tomorrow for all I care. This odd autistic behaviour usually marks the bottom.

2026-02-24 08:50:15 UTC

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Finally

2026-02-24 04:02:12 UTC

Used these last months to restructure and recalibrate my BTC stack for an unfriendlier world.

2026-02-23 01:10:33 UTC

I really don’t mind the bitcoin volatility and drawdowns. -80% is par for the course. But what I could never find peace with were the manipulative wicks before/after close of a timeframe. If you’re participating in this, fuck you.

2026-02-23 00:22:04 UTC

We’re exit taxing - has my citizen got hidden bitcoins?
Soon coming to a western European government near you
https://blossom.primal.net/46107fcf8068016d9cbc7906c030cf1a257460ab4daea0ad13bdf73351e9e64e.jpg

2026-02-22 10:10:33 UTC

The boring reality of AI in the workplace is you just need to make sure to utilise it in such a way that keeps you ahead of the curve.
If the majority of your colleagues are like “wow I can have it write my emails” and gain 1.2% productivity with that, then if you’re having it summarise research that makes you 10% more productive you’re in a safe spot.
If you’re using it to build tools that up your output 100%, you’re likely safe for at least a decade to come.

2026-02-20 02:17:35 UTC

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My name is oostlog

2026-02-20 01:42:50 UTC

How hard is it to imagine that in the age of AI and exponential tech advances a digital currency emerges from a non-traditional origin?
To me it’s very odd that this thing which came up in harmony and synchrony with the above gets denied even when staring people in the eyes at $67k.

2026-02-18 14:05:20 UTC

One thing you have to understand about western democracies is all policies are deliberate and related.
These countries don’t function as real democracies anymore for the most part, and the globalist ruling elites aim to suffocate them with a blanket of measures that they present as haphazard, random, by circumstance and unrelated that are actually anything but.
Take WEF colony the Netherlands, which is a global testing ground. The aim there is:
- endless foreigners to replace the locals to have an increasingly dumb, meek and ugly population
- propagandise against eating meat for the same reason
- salary effectively capped at caloric necessity through >50% taxes
- unrealized cap gains tax, so there can be no wealth build-up / there is active wealth breakdown
- exit tax to hermetically seal things off financially
- social media blocked to prevent people learning it doesn’t have to be like this
And voila: you have a pretty dystopian place to live in, but the citizens are forever dumb, weak and poor. Perfect cattle for the ruling class. This is all deliberate.

2026-02-18 07:11:42 UTC

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I get what you mean. I guess it all depends on the exact scenario but my sense is in that case full anonymity is only a marginal upgrade from pseudonymity. It would definitely wreck price though

2026-02-17 09:53:52 UTC

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Any government at any moment has the option to go full DPRK on its people. That comes with many costs and tradeoffs most govts will not be willing to pay.
In a DPRK style gun-to-the-head “give me your seed phrase or else” world no one and no protocol is truly safe from government overreach.
In most versions of government that fall short of that, bitcoin gets the job done.

2026-02-16 12:06:20 UTC

The “4m Bitcoin will get dumped because of quantum” story neatly separates investors/traders from the people who deeply understand bitcoin. I shed no tears for this being the latest hurdle that will throw a bunch of the former off the rodeo

2026-02-14 12:18:52 UTC

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Wow my two most loyal (only) followers also follow you

2026-02-14 05:00:47 UTC

The Netherlands is implementing a tax on "unrealised capital gains".
They’ll sugar‑coat it, and after public outrage will no doubt implement a bunch of exemptions for the cattle, but this is the trajectory we are now on.
An exit‑tax is already in the works too, and I would be very surprised if an international taxation regime does not come into place within five years for all the crabs in the bucket who will now try to emigrate. It will be all‑encompassing.
Keep in mind as well that the Netherlands is often a trendsetter / testing ground for such policies as it effectively functions as a WEF colony. All of this has to be done because it is important that the permanent underclass taking shape due to AI includes the vast majority of the population. If you are not in their club, if you are a mere peasant, you have no right to try and escape it.
When the tanks rolled into certain countries in 1939‑1940, you could cry about it, or you could start thinking long and hard about how you could cope and position yourself. That's where we are today in Europe.
And in fact I am even somewhat hopeful, for two reasons:
1 - Europe has been ruined in many ways, particularly economically and through mass immigration, by a perfidious elite who serve someone but not the people of Europe. The response of the average European has been apathy. A near‑communist system may finally bring them to their senses. Over‑taxation has a way of waking people up like nothing else.
2 - If you've read the book “The Sovereign Individual”, you will know that a predicted end state of this game is one where governments become servers and citizens clients. We are currently not there yet, governments are clinging on to the old power dynamics and going full Soviet in the process. But more and more governments will start to do this in a more positive way; there is light at the end of the tunnel.
Now as for how to actually position yourself? I've always thought about government policy – on any topic, including taxes – as falling into two distinct groups: moral or immoral.
I personally prefer no taxation at all, but I understand a degree of taxation is accepted by most, and if I am free to move around then it is an acceptable choice to live under such a system. I consider modest taxation annoying, but not immoral. Here, however, the Dutch government is very clearly moving into immoral territory.
I cannot specify exactly what that means or how you should cope. That would be unwise. But what I will say is:
* Think very long and hard about whether you own enough Bitcoin, whether you own it all in self‑custody.
* Structure it in a way that makes sense in this new and dangerous world; if you were early to Bitcoin, you now have an opportunity to do so with MAXIMUM OPTIONALITY for you and your family.
* Ensure that what you own in stocks, real estate and other real‑world assets is an amount you'd be okay with paying excessive taxes on. They will come after it.
* If you have the capacity to move to a more free place, I would not argue against it. However, keep in mind they will come after everyone on a global scale. You'll save some time but won't escape. Saying this mostly for those who will have to stay back. Don't despair.

2026-02-11 11:27:58 UTC

To me the obvious market event that needs to happen here before price goes anywhere again, is for shitcoins to die. Now is the moment.
It’s the natural thing that needs to play out to truly cleanse things, as it all got utterly absurd in 2020 and beyond.
At several moments the last few months I went back to the Bitcoin chart wondering “is this dump over”, then went back to shitcoins still in the billions and realised “nah”. A few hundred billion $ in shitcoin value destruction still to go. LFG

2026-02-09 01:26:03 UTC

Lmao, hope you’re ready to keep updating that shit
https://blossom.primal.net/eeec347a4be844d33e2d5cd53579199142398a746f1a29a0ddb1d65e42bc94e1.jpg
https://blossom.primal.net/f9f0439fa012dd8517160fb9733e4b905695c8416d95489ffd48991eee0c599b.jpg

2026-02-08 13:32:16 UTC

The Street with their knees on paper Bitcoin’s neck Mon-Fri
Normies in the weekend buying Bitcoin at these very cheap prices
Physical Bitcoin sellers going “take it easy there’s only so much to go around”
Price resetting upwards
Basically the new reality of BTC

2026-02-08 10:24:07 UTC

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What makes me laugh about these articles is that she advertised in the header that she doesn’t even get the basics.
Yes of course Bitcoin can go lower, or much lower. But currencies don’t go to zero (her mental framework is stock, not currency), and certainly not ones with fixed supply.
But that’s like two or three steps beyond her mental comprehension.

2026-02-08 10:19:13 UTC

Big if true lmao
https://blossom.primal.net/eeec347a4be844d33e2d5cd53579199142398a746f1a29a0ddb1d65e42bc94e1.jpg

2026-02-08 08:49:05 UTC

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It’s not yet good enough to take over any of the critical operational responsibilities of my job.
In the foreseeable future it won’t be, as there needs to be a signature of a responsible person under it. Even if a bot does that work, I’ll be supervising.
But it can easily fit what would formerly be 2 full working days of intensive research and coding that can drive long term business into an hour of prompting.

2026-02-08 07:58:08 UTC

We never had a traditional Bitcoin bull run post 2021, other than what was the result of ETF flows and fabricated political correlation by the usual hypemen. I am not sure what is so hard to understand about this.
Simplify your mental model: if a central bank does all the wrong things, Bitcoin goes up against fiat currency.
If a central bank does all the right things, even if they are temporary because the system itself is on a dead end road, Bitcoin will not go up materially against fiat currency.
This is just how currencies work. They all trade in pairs. Bitcoin has no God given right to increase in value, but it always will when the thing it is trading against is self-destroying.
Most of the 2010s we had interest rates near zero, a continuously expanding Fed balance sheet, the monetary base in terms of GDP rapidly expanding. They had their reasons of course (fear of deflation, etc.), but this was central banks purposefully blowing up their own currencies.
Since 2021 we have had interest rates in developed markets at 3-4%, the Fed balance sheet shrinking, the monetary base in terms of GDP shrinking. Central banks got spooked by inflation, which is the one thing that causes governments to be overthrown faster than a deflation-led sovereign debt crisis. And so, for a while at least, they started doing all the right things.
It's impressive that Bitcoin still developed how it did price-wise the last few years. Congratulations to the hypemen, the four year cycle maxis, etc. But it was unnatural.
We are now once again entering an era where the Fed will be making all the wrong moves. One of fiscal dominance. The balance sheet has started expanding and M2 will follow. Interest rates will come down despite inflation. Bitcoin will now naturally follow.
https://blossom.primal.net/13b495c2ce3f172feedb927eddb831bd0c97db6672d8a1d6889c478510980d3a.png

2026-02-08 07:30:47 UTC

Not sure what political persuasion this falls under, but I have basically come to view almost all major problems of the modern world to be a result of fiat currency. Low birth rates, war, excessive immigration, it all ties back to this in my opinion.
It changes how people think about family, risk, war, about time horizons. If money is constantly debased, you can only speculate just to stand still. Housing is a financial asset before it's a home. Governments can fund conflicts endlessly. Demographics become distorted because the economic base feels unstable.
I’m in the top 1% incomes in a rich financial hub. And still it feels like I'm running on a treadmill that slowly accelerates. Save? Inflation. Invest? Asset bubbles. Hold cash? Guaranteed loss. Take risk? Volatility. I can only imagine how bad it is for people who have far less than I do.
For me Bitcoin is the only way out.

2026-02-05 11:11:05 UTC

Bitcoin simply can’t go up in bursts without the normie majority doubting, ridiculing and avoiding it. That’s the rocket fuel, always has been. And the tank is filling up fast

2026-02-05 05:19:45 UTC

All the people that will in the future once again be called “lucky”, who “were just at the right place at the right time” etc… are stacking bitcoin hard at this moment, while turbo boomers rejoice in all directions as Bitcoin has finally died.
My personal stack of the day was inspired by some old guy on X who wrote a long story about how Bitcoin could never go up anymore because of all the paper bitcoin.
Yes, yes, that’s very interesting grandpa. Concerning! <puts another million sats in cold storage>

2026-02-04 13:20:43 UTC

Number go up is a nice feature when it works. But really taking your wealth out of the banking system / stock market, and away from the greedy hands of faceless bureauc-rats is priceless

2026-02-03 05:52:47 UTC

Median Bitcoin return when Fed balance sheet flips from contraction to expansion (last happening in Dec 2025):
After 3M: +1.5%
After 6M: +35.7%
After 12M: +149%

2026-02-02 13:34:41 UTC

Going through a full bear market like a slow motion train wreck with your whole bitcoin stack intact is an acquired taste

2026-01-31 23:55:54 UTC

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Yes of course. But this is how brypto people operate.
https://blossom.primal.net/77d25e87f8c0eef7e4c82303ff7a7ba020a75d10a6e2ae0832db296fbe5fdd58.jpg

2026-01-31 23:53:16 UTC

Not too sure what’s going on with Bitcoin right now.
Macro should be supportive: weaker dollar, looser financial conditions, Fed printing. I’m not a “BTC must always go up” guy, but historically this is exactly the environment it did well in.
Yet instead we have:
1. People obsessively trying to enforce a 4 year cycle
2. The strange events of 10/10
3. Quantum FUD reaching a crescendo? likely in service of (1). A narrative is always found when a market wants one
4. DATs feel increasingly fragile. If there are levels where the structure collapses, markets have a habit of hunting them
Somehow 1+2+3+4 are overpowering macro for now. Price moves far enough and for some weaker hands it triggers “did I really spend all this time, energy and money for nothing?” We all know that feeling.
Add to that the “crypto” problem: too much leverage, too much extraction, too much grift and theft. FTX, 10/10. The chickens are coming home to roost, and unfortunately we correlate for now.
So what next? Probably time. If we’re unlucky, we grind. If we’re lucky, we get a broader market break and the liquidity bazookas come back out.
I’m increasingly coming to terms with this being another 2018–19 or 2022–23. And honestly? I didn’t hate those years. Quiet. Boring. Peaceful sat-stacking heaven. Maybe we get to watch crypto die for entertainment during it.

2026-01-31 14:00:58 UTC

Came across that social media platform that AI agents made to interact between themselves, where humans are not allowed to post.
Made me think. They probably set up that website hosting through a bitcoin payment, which will be the only way such agents will be able to have financial agency for lack of a better word.
This is the bull case for BTC that seems not well understood. The digital economy is going to increasingly dominate. BTC is the only real and credible native digital currency in that.
Hence adoption is going way the fuck up. 1 sat will equal $1

2026-01-31 02:19:41 UTC

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Pretty funny

2026-01-31 00:34:04 UTC

What’s really interesting right now is you see a lot of “crypto” people turning on their hobby. Starting to openly hate everything Bitcoin first and foremost. I see even professionals involved in it doing this.
Unbelievable lol, the professional waffling class that joined us is capitulating at the first 35% drawdown. Buying more

2026-01-30 09:57:44 UTC

Do you like that sell off, gold fanatics?
Live by the gun die by the gun

2026-01-29 02:55:59 UTC

What I find incredibly irritating about the Bitcoin scene, or I guess in this case better attributed to the “crypto” scene, is this tendency for an army of talking heads to want to project their fears and narratives on the coin.
Something like gold just exists. You buy it or not, people understand that their endless screeching about it won’t change the world’s perception of it or its value.
With Bitcoin people have this incessant need to scream how it’s digital gold, related to Trump, or to China. It’s about muh four year cycles, debasement, the Fed. It’s about inflation, this group is buying or that group is selling.
Why can’t you just shut the fuck up and show some humility? Bitcoin exists and it doesn’t give a fuck about what you think it is or it isn’t, and your words about it won’t change a goddam thing in its trajectory.
Thanks for coming to my ted talk

2026-01-28 13:31:15 UTC

People don’t realise that many of the loudest Bitcoin or “crypto” voices on X are people with severe mental illness that built their accounts by just being around and interacting during the hype years, and then when all sound of mind people left, they stuck around. Many of them are failures in life and grumpy haters projecting their own sadness onto Bitcoin. There’s zero signal there.

2026-01-26 12:50:45 UTC

Watching talking heads try to short bitcoin into the ground because muh four year cycle while they declare it dead twelve times a day and its price hovers in a tight 10% range for months is good entertainment

2026-01-26 08:17:08 UTC

When trying to out-war Europe goes wrong
https://blossom.primal.net/8d5eae435f4bb4658535aab82b35427033aa5577e3cd71c4f65a545f5106c935.jpg

2026-01-25 12:17:28 UTC

Discovered @nprofile…w5xg today. It’s great, no idea why it’s not more talked about. Around since 2020 apparently

2026-01-25 05:12:12 UTC

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Fair, but compared to something like X it’s still night and day. At least there’s no hellish algorithm

2026-01-24 09:08:59 UTC

The rise and fall of crypto has tainted Bitcoin and delayed what will inevitably happen. This offers both opportunity and frustrating headwinds. BTC remains completely misunderstood by most.

2026-01-24 03:32:26 UTC

Too many people nowadays view Bitcoin through an “investment thesis” lens when really they should view it more through a “core properties” lens. Otherwise you’ll always be behind the curve

2026-01-21 11:31:24 UTC

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Fuck cuck media

2026-01-21 11:28:07 UTC

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I mean whether you get cucked on American, Euro or Chinese public propaganda platforms, does it really make a difference

2026-01-21 11:24:35 UTC

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They’ve now done 1) exit tax and 2) taxing unrealised capital gains.
Now we wait for the inevitable global taxation on capital gains, or some such thing in prob 5 years tops. War + a nanny state + infinity foreigners + boomers used to their comforts since retiring at 57 won’t fund itself.
Personally, governments such as these are coming very close to or have already crossed the line to immorality. One might consider (not that I would recommend it myself necessarily, this is just hypothetical) to structure their wealth with optionality to both a moral and an immoral world.

2026-01-21 09:02:41 UTC

I think this is that point in world history, which seems to come every century, where you just need to look after yourself, your family and your inner circle, act rationally but for the most part disconnect emotionally from the news cycle.

2026-01-20 10:04:36 UTC

The optionality that self-custodied bitcoin provides against the backdrop of a rapidly (and dangerously) changing world, compared to stocks, real estate, even gold, is completely underappreciated and undervalued atm. Muh quantum. Wish that was the biggest of our worries brother.

2026-01-20 05:06:19 UTC

Some people (hedge funds I’m guessing) are obviously balls deep in the long gold / short Bitcoin trade. Can’t wait for Bitcoin to do a Bitcoin, there will be carnage

2026-01-19 05:08:34 UTC

When it comes to investing, I mentally divide trades into 3 different buckets.
Bucket 1 - market exposure, this is just your all world equity exposure, typically ETFs with extremely low fees, heavy on US Big Tech by definition. If global headlines say, oh no it’s risky out there, stocks are down, you’re losing money together with the rest of the world, and vice versa. Beta
Bucket 2 - thematic exposure where the theme should have tailwinds, but where I’m not sure if it will play out in the near term. Markets may be overheated, the theme is coming to the end of its life or things are fully priced in. Things like AI tick all of those for me right now. Potential alpha
Bucket 3 - thematic exposure that I know for sure will go higher, almost mechanically. Think Europe defence stocks into threats from 3 directions and all governments ramping up spending in the hundreds of billions. Think Bitcoin into balance sheet expansion. Think gold into global uncertainty. Alpha
I think the best investors have capacity to construct a portfolio that is extremely heavy on bucket 3. They see things with a clarity others don’t.

2026-01-18 11:40:42 UTC

I can’t really take bitcoiners cheering on an aggressively expansionist central government seriously.
I mean people who like that sort of thing exist and that’s fine and all, but I’ll never respect your larping about decentralisation and freedom after that.

2026-01-18 09:40:21 UTC

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Yes I’m the clicking buttons like a monkey when faced with clear explicit warnings guy. I’m him

2026-01-18 09:39:38 UTC

Was straight up not having a good time with whatever the fuck this is just now. UX hell
https://blossom.primal.net/2ee58652f4533cf4b526857b3afa34b1b0d514ac04f23be5929a6035d4244c24.png

2026-01-18 04:08:31 UTC

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You kind of need to let legacy social media come to a slow boil and boil alive in its own pot tbh.
You can of course point out to the intelligent ones in the pot (whether they have 100 or 100,000 followers) that they're participating in the largest public propaganda psyop the world has ever seen and get them to jump out
But I don't think you want the ones that are actively collaborating with the regime(s) to turn up the heat to show up here. Just my humble opinion.

2026-01-18 03:58:14 UTC

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It's true

2026-01-18 03:55:35 UTC

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welcome to the club, pal

2026-01-17 11:09:51 UTC

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Tweak I made to the portfolio today: adding 2% COPX Global X Copper Miners ETF as part of the energy / power / resources theme. Should be self-explantory. Funded from cash.

2026-01-17 09:16:17 UTC

Back in 2021 I was a big worrying about quantum guy. Would not have worked out well for me if I had leaned into those worries.
https://blossom.primal.net/d899838808c8943fbda59da317874a1c4096d10cb12bb3c0c0462453a272e15a.jpg

2026-01-17 08:53:44 UTC

Performance update on my OostLog model portfolio (inception: 25 Dec 2025): +5.76%. Off to a good start.
I’ll rebalance this occasionally and write about my reasoning here. Starting capital for the portfolio is $1m.
Note: my own wealth is actually stored more Bitcoin-heavy than this. This portfolio is intended as a capital-preservation / fiat-markets + hard-assets hybrid, and also as a framework for thinking through investment themes.
Housekeeping: LNGR from my original portfolio (longevity) appears to have been delisted. I’m keeping that 2.5% in cash for now, ready to deploy.
https://blossom.primal.net/c03709189682296cfee5652fa772f64c6129e4d26e2daa74e45aaaa9133439fa.png https://primal.net/OostLog/d35df09fd426ad6b

2026-01-17 08:08:36 UTC

I secretly counter trade my own kids
Pay them pocket money in sats at $125k, they come to me at $95k saying they want to use it to buy some shit
Bang, gonna have to transfer me back more sats for that, kid. Better study bitcoin harder next time
Thug life

2026-01-17 04:35:48 UTC

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Gm gm

2026-01-17 03:43:26 UTC

I find that if you tune out the noise and think about markets at the highest positive level in an intuitive way, it’s almost always very clear which way Bitcoin is headed against fiat.
2018-19 - fed starts QT, shitcoin mania obviously got overextended, it can only go one way (down).
2020 - Fed balance sheet is expanding, Fed firing on all cylinders, adoption accelerating, it can only go one way (up).
2021/22 - Fed starts QT, Celsius, FTX etc blowing up, it can only go one way (down).
2023-25 - ETFs pick up steam, it can only go one way (up).
2026 - ETFs to grow and grow, QE to restart, it can only go one way (up).
There’s not a pattern, just a few basic drivers. What’s the Fed doing in terms of printing, what does adoption look like and is the crypto market going to shit yes or no.
Also learn to look at the monthly candles, so that wicks like Mar20, Aug24, Nov25 don’t distort your perspective. Fuck the traders and their noise

2026-01-15 14:58:02 UTC

Bitcoin ETFs are a coping mechanism for the masses who know they’ll never be whole coiners

2026-01-15 09:38:00 UTC

I’ve always been a cold storage “stack it and forget it” Bitcoin guy
Only last year I set up wallets for actively spending my Bitcoin (segregated from the main stash for psychological reasons and funded via a low fee cex with little friction in terms of cost and time)
Feel like it’s helped me ascend to a deeper understanding of Bitcoin and its future. On the one hand, yeah it IS digital gold and none of us will ever own as much of it as we do today.
On the other hand, money must be spent. That’s how Bitcoin wins and how you slowly uncuck yourself

2026-01-12 11:48:08 UTC

The real fight here imo is about who gets to control the cycle
If you keep Fed dominance = asset inflation + controlled CPI + stagnation via engineered busts and risk aversion
If you get Treasury calling the shots = weaker USD + perpetual asset inflation + stagnation via asset inflation crowding out productive growth
So it’s not really 1970s style inflation, but more 2010–20 on steroids: a long, grinding asset-led inflationary drift

2026-01-12 02:16:17 UTC

You seen the Powell presser? Probably shouldn’t have sold your Bitcoin no?

2026-01-11 13:23:35 UTC

Idk, I’ve always seen it as a brothers-in-arms kind of thing. We suffer and we win together, but don’t need to be best friends. Real ones that leave aren’t forgotten.
My team is going through some redundancies rn, but truthfully, the ones that will be cut haven’t really shown their face on the battlefield for years. It’s not that deep.
https://blossom.primal.net/664370eb9e39eec80a68736989f733644e4bb5f6b48519a87efdf8f664f56936.jpg

2026-01-10 13:19:57 UTC

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Many of us typing into the void with no engagement let alone zaps lol. But we’re going to meme this thing into the biggest social media protocol in the world

2026-01-10 13:00:31 UTC

I like this new era of Bitcoin. Less hypey, all shitcoins dead already. Talking heads shouting about how mediocre the gains against dollar will be from here out. Yet the coin just existing, at 90k. Freedom money for anyone to adopt, now 99% less retarded

2026-01-10 00:44:49 UTC

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Awesome post and super recognisable 😅 One of the reasons I don’t do social media (the non-pseudonymous type) at all, there are certain people that I’d rather leave in the past for good.
Having moved countries and addresses a few times over the years helps, only thing that worries me is my name is increasingly getting out there for professional reasons, ie my professional profile is rising while my personal one is fading etc

2026-01-08 06:47:50 UTC

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Tried to zap you but no wallet set up!

2026-01-08 06:47:21 UTC

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First - I appreciate the level headed response, Nostr is so great for this.
I read a book by Eduard Habsburg over the holidays (“seven rules for turbulent times”) and one of the points he makes about empires, is that succesful ones should always devolve things to the lowest level possible, ie what can be done on local level should be done there. Decentralisation!
This is probably what I hate most about the EU, the tendency for bureaucrats in Brussels to want to decide whether the lights in my street should be on or off at a certain time (hypothetical example but you get the idea). It’s total overreach from far away. Increasingly it also feels like an institution abused by national governments to pass things national populations don’t want and force it down our throats as a fait accompli (immigration, chat control, crypto laws, that sort of thing).
This all pains me because I am a proud European and I love some of the benefits of integration. But the institution needs to change as it’s making a lot of people extremely upset in its current form and tendencies.

2026-01-07 11:42:55 UTC

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Same is true for almost every European country. Betrayed by the boomers who first sucked it dry, and then became more decadently left-wing as they got to the later stages of life, almost as if they were seeking an ideology to fit with their selfish decisions (debt, immigrants, budgetise the military, infrastructure etc to fund left wing hobbies).
Anyway that much is clear. What is more interesting to me is what comes next. Europe will get out of this impasse either way, but will it be messy or organised? I hate the current EU but gut feeling says European integration is not getting wound back any time soon. It’s almost like a charismatic pan European leader needs to emerge, but today I can’t even picture what that would look like.

2026-01-07 00:11:36 UTC

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As a normie going in there is like bringing a knife to a gun fight. There you are, entering the public market place for psyops of every imaginable intelligence service on earth, you’re surely going to convince them of your point!

2026-01-06 01:29:08 UTC

https://blossom.primal.net/45859742a8ea8430b4cde9e0d5a0026e06d9cc584ee6d9394293c0d6e3f635ba.jpg

2026-01-05 12:07:50 UTC

Bitcoin is going way higher (Fed balance sheet).
https://blossom.primal.net/094de7731386a10924058e097024763bf51aabf1a97d206e76d54feddfc98d7e.jpg

2026-01-05 12:06:18 UTC

Over the next decade, wars will be fought, maps redrawn, governments will default and their currencies hyperinflate or dissapear, while people lose their jobs due to being automated away.
I don’t think we will see ww1/ww2 scale conflict, but more of the sort of things we’ve already been experiencing for years. More Ukraine, Trump, Putin, Venezuela, Iran, drones, covid, psyops, internet outages, rebellions and men in green uniforms. But for most of us, thankfully not outright war or collapse.
How to survive? Stay nimble and fast on your feet, be able to move around. Be fit. Find income streams not linked to your location, save in bitcoin.
And tune. tf. out. from the noise, focus on yourself and family and your inner worlds, don’t voluntarily plug in to mass propaganda venues like X. It’ll actually all be fine.

2026-01-04 12:10:20 UTC

The world is only getting more adversarial from here on. Imagine not keeping most of your savings in Bitcoin

2026-01-01 20:05:00 UTC

Movies like Train Dreams that are shot in 4:3 make me irrationally angry. Let me make full use of my screens and 2020s technology that I paid good money for, don’t bother me with your fancy artsy bullshit.

2026-01-01 16:56:44 UTC

Once you decentralise at least aspects of your life (even if it’s only, say, money and social media), it becomes easier to deal with the clown world.
Imo, all our ancestors had to deal with clown worlds of sorts, but were to an extent opted out by default. Their lives were informal, local, and unrecorded.
Technology has opted us in to clown world by default, but decentralisation is the exit. Simple.

2025-12-29 20:36:24 UTC

The real frustration with Bitcoin is that it’s not a story that will be written over the years, but over the decades and likely centuries. We all want to be there for the 0 to 1 and live happily ever after but truth is even our kids may not see it in its final form. That’s humbling

2025-12-29 10:28:37 UTC

I enjoy these moves, because I know at the other side of it there are some big sharks increasingly exasperated that their manipulative bullshit tactics aren’t moving the market by more than +/- 2% these days. All your pathetic efforts for this lmao.
https://blossom.primal.net/e47fbe50c7c0f6478ae0a44310303fc93e641ced8342e21eef6172fba8dbce44.jpg

2025-12-28 15:55:39 UTC

Fed balance sheet expanding for the first time since March 2023 (SVB debacle), which was when the recent Bitcoin bull run started. Imo on a false belief that QE was restarting materially.
It didn’t and was quickly unwound, leaving Bitcoin a bit in no man’s land (but still pumping due to 4y cycle cultists and ETFs). I think we’re going a lot higher soon.
https://blossom.primal.net/f201a320f8ec73dde0e9d461ee1e7f38ee53fe585fe660ea5ad139030e12f5ef.jpg
https://blossom.primal.net/359506d7597017bf003c012d1d873c63197b7e26d3303fc1f3bb594efdb82b84.jpg

2025-12-28 12:26:54 UTC

Dear diary,
Every day the gold people’s victory laps become more vicious.
I picture them sitting there, gold bars piled up on their desk absolutely gloating at Bitcoiners online.
“Lmaaooo gotem!” they type 5 times as they look at a carefully zoomed in chart that should not extend even a fraction further to the left. “Up a 2x against your digital shitcoin, pay back, bitches!”
They are rich now. Tomorrow they’re putting all their gold bars in a bag to drive an hour to the big town next door, where they can sell them for at least 90% of the quoted spot price (75% in case the casing wasn’t carefully kept), after doing KYC and scanning their anus. In T+2 days the fiat will be in their bank accounts.
Imagine being a Bitcoiner, they say to themselves.

2025-12-27 09:45:17 UTC

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Nostr isn’t either. Because they can’t 🖕

2025-12-26 19:34:12 UTC

Back when I really started loading up on Bitcoin, I guess it was 2018, it was one of those times where Bitcoin was “obviously dead”, endless obituaries. And my thinking was simply “something worth a few thousand $ is very much not dead”. Fade BTC at 80k all you want lmao.

2025-12-26 15:38:09 UTC

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Imagine watching the global discourse around CBDC, surveillance, exit taxes and not seeing the point of Bitcoin beyond “digital gold” / NgU. The lack of basic survival instinct truly baffles the mind

2025-12-25 19:18:12 UTC

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Merry Christmas

2025-12-25 12:01:51 UTC

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Layout not perfect. I wrote this with YakiHonne. Any tips welcome