RomanHodl

the sbr is, market wise,a non event. i bet anyone that in5 years the sbr has less than half the coin mstr has. and that includes the stolen coins the US gov already owns

2025-03-04 21:51:51 UTC

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props for engaging. i stopped reading at "crimea held a vote"

2025-03-04 21:48:19 UTC

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how it could be resolved: russian solders leave ukrainian territory. done

2025-03-03 22:51:53 UTC

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Russian invaded Ukraine. Ukraine doesnt want to be part of Russia. not sure what else to say about it.

2025-03-03 22:48:57 UTC

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cheap talk. as cheap as the sbr talk. total gov spending will probably be higher in 2026 vs 2025.

2025-03-03 22:46:36 UTC

Bitcoin was created as a response to gov bailouts and centrally messing with money. yet here we are in 2025 and "our" most powerful lobbyists and influencers are on their knees begging corrupt politicians to buy bitcoin. we don't deserve bitcoin.

2025-02-26 20:37:34 UTC

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number 2 is the easy prediction. number 3 is 50/50. number 4 is bold and also wont happen.

2025-02-08 23:53:24 UTC

I have been skeptical on AI. but our boy Krugman just made it clear. AI will change the world now.
https://m.primal.net/OXCA.jpg

2025-02-03 09:00:05 UTC

wasnt your boy Donaldo supposed to make us all rich?

2025-02-02 20:47:09 UTC

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imo trumps econ policy will bring the bull market to an end soon. i dont make the rules. i also don't trade the short term

2025-02-02 20:43:46 UTC

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wont touch the green line in 2025 (at least)

2025-02-01 19:42:15 UTC

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the black line will be bellow the other 2 *significantly* through may. i bet anyone.

2025-01-30 19:27:47 UTC

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https://primal.net/e/note1rtrrgvcthtx5a4ep929hxyursel2yhjqv82hfptdxrx7rd8n07jqwxxg30 why do people want the ecb to hold bitcoin? let them leave us alone.

2025-01-30 19:26:33 UTC

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what this chart shows is that CPI is a fraud of a metric.

2025-01-30 19:25:26 UTC

why would you want central banks to hold btc? it is one of the major flaws with gold. Christine doesnt want to have it and I dont want them to have it either. all good.

2025-01-27 23:03:57 UTC

sorry, but nostr isn't as important as bitcoin. bitcoin is a multi generational event

2025-01-25 00:28:56 UTC

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states are terrible at doing strategic whatever. as @npub19kv…e2qd said, screw the sbr, ending cap gains tax would be way better (not just for btc, everything)

2025-01-24 20:29:19 UTC

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this x10. bitcoin is a tool for the individual, not the state note1a9mhhazkpxg66zcm82dqsjyjnkmkr062cl0h6wufqcsu2eum4rxq3vhk5k

2025-01-24 16:47:17 UTC

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because no parabolic move yet. by may we will be significantly bellow

2025-01-23 23:39:33 UTC

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thanks for the tip.

2025-01-23 22:54:29 UTC

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bitcoin is for the individual

2025-01-23 22:46:57 UTC

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ohh i have accepted it long ago. more bullish than ever. bitcoin is a tool for the individual, not the state.

2025-01-23 22:36:24 UTC

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I would add:
STOP BEING NAIVE

2025-01-23 22:35:45 UTC

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https://primal.net/e/note1ev8tuvwuzsr8kk6kzmcxmjsglnhuk5yhwrjapkvsqwck57ank7wq3m5033

2025-01-23 22:34:53 UTC

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https://primal.net/e/note1ev8tuvwuzsr8kk6kzmcxmjsglnhuk5yhwrjapkvsqwck57ank7wq3m5033

2025-01-23 22:34:02 UTC

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https://primal.net/e/note1pgmgeq0v4qmgu6l3sqmha9fhng5q4prlp2myz2ufgaksnsvsqnyqf05ypw

2025-01-23 22:32:24 UTC

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yup. that naive. bitcoin is for the individual. onward. https://primal.net/e/note1tytttvnhhsp09uj6y678km3z43r5m405v7wsfngumn73hgd36f8q4q6cyy

2025-01-23 22:30:32 UTC

bitcoin is a tool for the individual, not the state

2025-01-23 22:12:09 UTC

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the fact thatpeople took this for granted, based purely on political affiliation, shows how naive the avg bitcoiner is https://primal.net/e/note1tytttvnhhsp09uj6y678km3z43r5m405v7wsfngumn73hgd36f8q4q6cyy

2025-01-23 22:10:21 UTC

so you actually belived a cantillionaire was on our side? how
cute...

2025-01-23 18:11:31 UTC

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can I ask what is the exposure to btc and derivatives? Not to take anything away. it is excellent even in btc terms, congrats.

2025-01-23 18:07:51 UTC

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prefer to go work flipping brugers than to make a linkedin account.

2025-01-23 18:02:48 UTC

Every cycle there is a shitcoin grifter that gets a pass from some bitcoiners. started with the litecoin guy, then the tron guy, also the luna guy. in 2025 it is the President of the US.

2025-01-21 23:19:57 UTC

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i suspect your boy Donald doesnt even know who Ross is. simply someone told him it would be worth a few votes to say "free Ross day 1"
https://primal.net/e/note1jv82pjl3zt47lxwx0f7alchepl376s7vg5h0vwyy0nfx3zrjpjgsft5pgc

2025-01-21 10:28:34 UTC

MAGA bitcoiners, you said, and you actually believed in "Ross is free day 1". lets count in number of days how naive you were. 1 day and counting.

2025-01-20 18:27:56 UTC

bitcoin is not going to reach 300k in 2025. not even close. manage your expectations.

2025-01-16 22:21:51 UTC

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they will have to sell a good chunk of it to reimburse the shitcoin they launched to cover the hack

2025-01-15 21:24:58 UTC

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totally agree. however i dont see how this is compatible with bitcoin hitting 475k as you predict. you would need to get the top exactly right to get bellow 100k in a 80% drawdown

2025-01-14 22:14:55 UTC

@npub1rtl…jtfs this one might surprise you.

2025-01-14 22:13:58 UTC

I always had the impression, based on personal observation, that Bitcoin adoption by individuals is higher in Europe than US. Americans are just louder about it.
https://m.primal.net/Ngpm.jpg

2025-01-09 23:12:39 UTC

you couldn't trade stocks today because an old gentleman died. let that sink in

2025-01-06 18:32:31 UTC

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his trade is not being right. he deliberately sells noise, and people buy.

2024-12-29 14:58:58 UTC

the fiat standard in one picture.
https://m.primal.net/NKZM.jpg

2024-12-20 19:37:30 UTC

i just read an article called "25 New Technology Trends for 2025". one of them was blockchain. I kid you not.

2024-12-10 16:58:49 UTC

mining companies issuing debt to buy bitcoin will go bust. we have seen this movie time and time again, but most still somehow believe "bro this time is different"

2024-12-03 21:44:48 UTC

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this graph, if anything, points to a cycle top bellow 200k.

2024-12-03 20:16:03 UTC

i wonder if some people actually bought bitcoin because of the possibility of a strategic reserve, which is never going to happen.

2024-11-18 18:19:45 UTC

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mstr will end up like gbtc. maths.

2024-11-18 18:17:01 UTC

the mstr premium will end just like the gbtc premium, potentially worse.

2024-11-16 18:49:00 UTC

we need more @npub1der…xzpc in the world

2024-11-13 21:12:05 UTC

its amazing how fast the media turned from "bitcoin is boiling the oceans" to "we gonna need a gazilion terawats for A.I.".

2024-11-13 18:47:05 UTC

someone put the Bart on ETHBTC chart

2024-11-12 14:56:52 UTC

the bitcoin strategic reserve or whatever, is either not happening or will be an irrelevant amount. and that is bullish

2024-11-06 17:52:38 UTC

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yes. i see many people reading too much into demographics etc. well guess what, people like money in the pocket, regardless of the colour of their skin and regardless of wheter the candidate they vote for actually delivers or not.

2024-10-31 17:52:42 UTC

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maths.

2024-10-31 17:52:16 UTC

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leverage. maths.

2024-10-30 23:10:19 UTC

people who get high on credit card debt also think they are doing "intellegent leverage".

2024-10-30 22:41:21 UTC

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@npub1qny…95gx since you are one of the few still calling bs out, I am pointing this out: it will end badly (for him and his stockholders). and we bitcoiners will have to put with all the normies trying to put the blame on bitcoin

2024-10-30 22:36:18 UTC

saylor is not staying humble. this will end badly. some people believe in perpetual motion machines... i repeat: this will end badly and i don't see any wannbee bitcoin macro bros exposing this.

2024-10-24 14:14:36 UTC

ehterium is now closer to being flipped by both BNB and solana than to flip Bitcoin. its hapenning.gif

2024-09-18 22:29:58 UTC

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bitoiners celebrating a man that is both a fiat maximalist and a shitcoiner...

2024-09-18 20:08:55 UTC

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it is basically fine

2024-09-18 19:18:25 UTC

probably unpopular here, but J powell is the most competent central banker of the last 20 years.

2024-09-18 19:12:31 UTC

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way too soon to declare victory. hope im wrong but i suspect we still have at least one more shitcoin season to endure

2024-09-16 18:35:30 UTC

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@npub1der…hink you will like this one

2024-09-16 18:34:18 UTC

Rowan Atkinson: "the response to hate speech is MORE speach"
https://youtu.be/xUezfuy8Qpc?si=uTrpIVt5qP82JriF

2024-09-14 11:06:00 UTC

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correction. it is just a minor 5x https://primal.net/e/note133r4szarzclzgh7y3u5quy6uxzzj3d04t4lqekvfpe5mzcwwe5uq0pv8um

2024-09-14 11:03:33 UTC

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it is way worse than that Lyn. ETH doesn't have halvings. At current rate of supply growth, ETH outsanding will 10x in 200 years. people haven't run the numbers

2024-09-09 18:16:59 UTC

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back in the day, any normie on twitter that had a good, nuanced view, would get good engagement. this feature allowed me to know great inteligent people (even way outside bitcoin and finance circles). this then led me a good few years later into bitcoin, when i saw those distinct carachters talking about it. this vibe got completely distroyed, to the point that if you now give a nuanced take, you are pretty much guaranteed 0 engagement 😅

2024-09-09 18:07:55 UTC

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its crazy hoe people choose to ignore this yet evetone and their uncles aped into nvidia

2024-08-29 22:04:57 UTC

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funny. i posted the bellow. and just then i heard this. Joe is high signal. your podcast is now the highest signal in bitcoin macro land https://primal.net/e/note1r4fygn2agx2m5z34zyyjf3we3lunlkt8vyxg2m4xg6km4qrpcftsk5fr97

2024-08-29 19:40:54 UTC

most bitcoin macro influencers claimed in 2022 that "hyperinflation is coming fast" and "soft landing is impossible". Today we can say they were absolutely wrong on both.

2024-08-15 17:40:48 UTC

I don't think a lot of people realise that, at current usage levels, eth supply will basically inflate to infinity, just like any fiat coin.
https://m.primal.net/KAgt.jpg

2024-08-12 16:06:16 UTC

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this., also get rid of sugar

2024-06-03 22:34:31 UTC

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unbelievable how China keeps shooting themselves in the foot with regards to bitcoin. they are ditching the usd, ok that is a no brainer. but to buy gold? lol wtf. they are buying an asset who's price is, in a way, even easier to manipulate than the price of USD.

2024-06-03 22:24:36 UTC

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back in 2019 promised you a beer whenever you come to Portugal. when are you going to cash in?

2024-06-03 22:13:34 UTC

It is not voting that prevents high taxes. the rich avoid high taxes by voting with their feet. the poor avoid high taxes by engaging in the 'parallel economy'. this is why defending physical cash is paramount. ending physical cash is one big step in the Road to serfdom.

2024-05-31 15:21:13 UTC

thinkboi was one one of the "prolific" bitcoiners that blocked me on twitter. remember bitclout? but the bs was there even before that. not surprised by recent events. again.

2024-05-29 14:45:42 UTC

bro, if you are an overleveraged company on the verge of bankrupcy, you are not "playing the Microstrategy playbook" by buying a little BTC. You will be selling soon tm, and probably at the worst timing.

2024-05-21 14:47:53 UTC

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me too. but my 18 year old toyota shows no sign of wanting to stop. very annoying.

2024-05-14 22:38:05 UTC

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really smart money is anon

2024-05-14 19:13:52 UTC

managing a pension fund has never been easier. in fact, you don't need a manager anymore. you just need a cold signing device

2024-05-09 14:26:59 UTC

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Jeff, have you seen apples ad? they got the example from your explanation on the desinflationary nature of technolofy and then explained in the most obnoxious way possible

2024-05-03 12:25:23 UTC

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deleted mine. 0 regrets.

2024-05-02 21:11:38 UTC

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anyone, company or individual, should be dcaing a good portion of their excess income. if anything, 10% seems a bit to conservative if it was me

2024-04-29 22:03:44 UTC

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the discovery in twitter is worse. recomended people is just full of lunatics and influencers. really hard to find sigmal there

2024-04-29 19:31:33 UTC

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i hope you are right. but i feel you people in the US trust too much the legal system.

2024-04-28 00:21:07 UTC

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joinmarket was only the superior protocol. easy to say in indsight i know. onwards.

2024-04-27 20:17:04 UTC

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suing is worthless. gun rights have been successfully defended because people who wanted gun rights had... guns.

2024-04-25 08:32:39 UTC

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the putinists are the ones who have joined the political game. just because they dont agree with US posture in Ukraine (or maybe they actually like the guy). then when they smell pro ukraine or anti putin activists they get upset. lots of Manichaeism in bitcoiners unfortunately.

2024-04-24 22:46:47 UTC

Bitcoiners need to start thinking more adverserely

2024-04-24 19:41:09 UTC

writing code is now a crime. moving money arround is now a crime. we must act accordingly.

2024-04-19 11:50:44 UTC

The halving, totally irrelevant to price action, is a good time to contemplate the predictability and soundness of bitcoin

2024-04-19 11:04:11 UTC

3.125

2024-04-13 18:34:44 UTC

the days of copyrighted music are over. AI will take over electronic music. check this out: https://www.udio.com/songs/5TPBL1W81ySZ55ME4C3eUz

2024-04-12 22:07:12 UTC

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hang on a second. are we saying that funding open source is in some way being anti ossification? i dont think that holds.