Andrew Jennings

bike touring, deep learning. Born at 312ppm, Melbourne (Naarm) Australia [background picture is Flinders blowhole on a calm day]

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Last Notes

2026-08-10 22:43:40 UTC

why are Victorian roads failing? Perhaps because we don’t charge large SUVs enough to cover the road damage they cause. It is at the fourth power of vehicle weight. So a vehicle double the weight causes 16 times the damage. The system is designed to fail [update: Victoria does not use a vehicle-weight sliding scale for standard passenger cars and SUVs. Standard light passenger vehicles (under 4.5 tonnes) pay a flat registration fee based on geographic risk zones rather than weight. Other states do charge on weight ] https://eng.unimelb.edu.au/ingenium/drivers-of-suvs-and-pick-ups-should-pay-more-to-be-on-our-roads #auspol #victoria

2026-08-01 00:24:28 UTC

the latest security stunts from Anthropic and OpenAI serve just one purpose. To push the narrative that this is "critical infrastructure" that requires a government bailout when both their companies fail financially. The current administration will not only fall for it, they will embrace it. #AI #business

2026-07-22 21:02:56 UTC

US bleating about Kimi K3. If you can extract model essences in the open without hacking, then you don’t have a business. No amount of bleating will change that #AI #business

2026-07-20 22:36:32 UTC

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@nprofile…j9f5 I’m looking at the oil refineries. No fuel no fertiliser no food.

2026-07-20 22:20:56 UTC

if you are looking for good news (who isn’t?) Russia is finished #ukraine

2026-07-09 00:46:25 UTC

thinking today of all the brilliant engineers I worked with at Telstra. Almost all of them were made redundant at some time after I left. The idea that a company can fail in such a major way without suffering a serious (criminal ?) penalty is absolutely outrageous #auspol #telstra

2026-07-05 01:32:57 UTC

Mick Ryan (actual military expert) on Ukraine: “Vladimir Putin is losing — not in one or two dimensions of the conflict, but in every dimension by which one might honestly measure strategic progress — military, cognitive, moral, industrial, and economic. His only viable claim to advantage at present is the disposition of the American president.” #ukraine

2026-06-23 23:24:32 UTC

when the old people get control, a country is absolutely finished: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cg735z447kro #ukpol

2026-06-14 04:07:47 UTC

your periodic reminder that the statements "the AI sector could lose 90% of it's stock value in a week" and "AI will over time change the world fundamentally" can both be true. #AI

2026-06-11 00:51:01 UTC

I was doing my library volunteer thing and a woman came in to the desk holding a book. “I left the book out in the rain and ruined it, so I bought this new copy”. You won’t see a story about it anywhere, but people are good

2026-06-09 23:16:06 UTC

yikes https://electrek.co/2026/06/08/donut-lab-solid-state-battery-exposed-lithium-ion-fraud/ #energy

2026-04-22 05:24:36 UTC

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@nprofile…x9tq i am not sure if it is still going on, but ships were going dark, turning the transponder off and sneaking through: https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1sdwdc0/citrinis_huge_balled_analyst_undercover_trip/ - very risky but the rewards are large

2026-04-21 03:46:04 UTC

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@nprofile…ktr2 Sebastian Raschka

2026-04-09 21:26:55 UTC

my grandson’s whole life has been turned around by the NDIS. Yet he’s precisely the target of this campaign. Australians are cast adrift, completely losing their moral compass #auspol https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-04-10/ndis-social-licence-is-already-crumbling/106541452?utm_source=abc_news_app&utm_medium=content_shared&utm_campaign=abc_news_app&utm_content=other

2026-03-31 20:20:38 UTC

I was only 4 but this is reminiscent of the Suez crisis
“The 1956 Suez Crisis was a pivotal Cold War conflict sparked when Egyptian President Nasser nationalized the British-French-owned Suez Canal, prompting a secret tripartite invasion by Israel, Britain, and France. Intense diplomatic and economic pressure from the USA and USSR forced a withdrawal, marking the end of Britain as a top-tier superpower and accelerating decolonization.” (Wikipedia). We are witnessing the complete humiliation of the US. Any sensible country would have changed leadership by this point. #iranwar #auspol

2026-03-24 22:18:12 UTC

Australia does not directly import any oil through the Straits of Hormuz. All of it comes via countries that are not at war with Iran. So as of today our supplies are completely open. The reporting on this is appalling. #auspol #iranwar

2025-12-09 06:41:32 UTC

we needed something to put on our paths as stones are too expensive. Also too heavy to move. Got to know the local woodturners club and they drop off their wood shavings every week. It's free to us as otherwise they have to pay to get rid of them. So far its looking good, but might need some mulch on the top to prevent it blowing away. #gardening

2025-12-02 03:20:20 UTC

I’m seriously regretting reading that article arguing (statistically) that physical frailty sets in at age 75

2025-11-28 22:28:32 UTC

People meditating on the amount spent on AI research and development. The harsh truth here is that for 1000 research investments, 1 will make you money. But that 1 might be the iPhone. People measuring the money here like you are assessing the railway companies on the monopoly board: get a grip. #ai #finance (if you are answering the question “is this a bubble?” by looking at the nvidia balance sheet: this is stupid)

2025-10-15 22:42:33 UTC

my GP chopped out some suspicious looking skin things. Your periodic reminder that the survival rate for in-situ melanoma is close to 100%. Get a skilled human to do a check, don't rely on your own judgement or an app. #cancer

2025-03-26 02:20:15 UTC

https://sfstandard.com/opinion/2025/03/20/sergey-brin-we-need-you-working-60-hours-a-week-so-we-can-replace-you-as-soon-as-possible/ #AI #idiot_billionaires

2025-03-24 22:54:25 UTC

#AI https://arcprize.org/blog/announcing-arc-agi-2-and-arc-prize-2025

2025-03-21 03:11:19 UTC

#AI
https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.adw5211

2025-03-19 22:07:59 UTC

#AI interesting alliance between nVidia Disney and DeepMind https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XZ3MZZoZ23M

2025-03-18 22:09:24 UTC

On paths to Artificial General Intelligence.
https://substack.com/inbox/post/159249228
"As Roose himself notes, there is a strong body of opinion that AGI will:
tilt the balance of political and military power toward the nations that control it — and that most governments and big corporations already view this as obvious, as evidenced by the huge sums of money they’re spending to get there first."
#AI
the US model here is that AGI is achievable by throwing money, no further research is required. The China model is that breakthroughs are needed, and they are throwing money at fundamental research.
As someone with 40 years experience in this stuff, I think the China model will win.

2025-03-18 07:36:58 UTC

there has never been a mainstream technology as fragile as Large Language Models https://algorithmic-sabotage.github.io/asrg/manifesto-on-algorithmic_sabotage/ #ai

2025-03-14 07:20:27 UTC

for my tech work this year I am mostly working on the ARC challenge https://arcprize.org/ Yes, it is really interesting. Oh, and yes, the prize money is an incentive. #AI

2025-03-10 23:06:59 UTC

Australian located alternatives to GitHub ?

2025-03-07 07:17:06 UTC

#Ai on why current AI systems are good students but poor researchers https://thomwolf.io/blog/scientific-ai.html

2025-03-07 03:19:23 UTC

#ai As the US disables its ability to do fundamental research I expect China to move while generations of technology ahead https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202503/1329652.shtml

2025-03-06 23:26:33 UTC

#ai yes indeed I never want to hear from Eric Schmidt again

2025-03-05 22:13:07 UTC

#AI from https://arcprize.org/:
Defining AGI
Consensus but wrong:
AGI is a system that can automate the majority of economically valuable work.
Correct:
AGI is a system that can efficiently acquire new skills and solve open-ended problems.
Definitions are important. We turn them into benchmarks to measure progress toward AGI.
Without AGI, we will never have systems that can invent and discover alongside humans.

2025-03-05 20:27:50 UTC

#ai this is great. Wonderful people https://www.wired.com/story/pioneers-of-reward-based-machine-learning-win-turing-award/

2025-03-04 23:19:49 UTC

plumbers are going to be really really rich in the AI world. "Most notably, our analysis—based on occupation-specific “exposure” data supplied by ChatGPT creator OpenAI over a year ago—forecasted that for the most part, the greater the education level or pay for an occupation, the greater its likely “exposure” (positive or negative) to generative AI tools will be (albeit with a dip at the very top). That’s because generative AI is especially well suited to the cognitive tasks of white collar knowledge work—think coders, writers, financial analysts, engineers, and lawyers. And while generative AI puts at risk the “routine” tasks of customer service and clerical work (often handled by female-staffed call centers, customer service lines, and HR teams, for example), it is currently not equipped to handle the manual work of manufacturing, the skilled trades, construction, and many in-person service industries. " https://www.brookings.edu/articles/the-geography-of-generative-ais-workforce-impacts-will-likely-differ-from-those-of-previous-technologies/ (from Benedict Evans: his newsletter is brilliant) #AI

2025-03-03 18:42:48 UTC

Interested in using AI to drive a hedge fund? Jobs open: https://wellfound.com/company/numerai/jobs #AI

2025-03-02 22:03:05 UTC

#AI you might think that AI research consists of: tweak a model, train for hours and publish selected results. Not so. If you are starting out, read everything by Yann Lecun. And participate in the ARC challenge: https://arcprize.org/

2025-03-01 23:14:55 UTC

when the world is changing rapidly chat-gpt is worse than useless. It’s stuck in a 2024 view of US-Russia relations. #ai

2025-03-01 23:05:57 UTC

#ai a quite thoughtful piece on AI from Toby Walsh. He makes the important point that society is more important than intelligence. https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-03-02/ai-and-our-technological-future/104305614?utm_source=abc_news_app&utm_medium=content_shared&utm_campaign=abc_news_app&utm_content=other

2025-02-28 22:22:03 UTC

if you have a trip to Europe booked, cancel it now. Insurance policies specifically exclude Russian invasion. Just when you think it cannot get darker, it does. #auspol

2025-02-18 22:20:18 UTC

Benedict Evans on OpenAI's research product: "I feel ambivalent in writing this, because there are only so many times that I can say that these systems are amazing, but get things wrong all the time in ways that matter, and so the best uses cases so far are things where the error rate doesn’t matter or where it’s easy to see."
https://www.ben-evans.com/benedictevans/2025/2/17/the-deep-research-problem
#AI #LargeLanguageModelsLLM_

2025-02-10 06:22:49 UTC

“The artificial intelligence race must be led by “western, liberal, democratic” countries” said the UK technology secretary in a veiled warning over China’s role in the contest, before a global AI summit in Paris. (Guardian, UK). Nice idea, but the non-China country with the technology is neither liberal nor democratic #AI

2025-01-23 23:47:28 UTC

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/01/23/scale-ai-ceo-says-china-has-quickly-caught-the-us-with-deepseek.html #ai

2024-11-29 01:52:09 UTC

I think a deep learning system, given a few months of posts from an account on social media can estimate the age of the poster quite accurately #ai #socialmedia

2023-07-31 05:40:01 UTC

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@npub1fh6…zu76 I'm ignorant of the science here, but surely record high ocean temperatures explain this ?