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Bitcoin, Nostr, history, sci-fi, FOSS, P2P...

Public Key

npub1vxz5ja46rffch8076xcalx6zu4mqy7gwjd2vtxy3heanwy7mvd7qqq78px

NIP-05 Address

Profile Code

nprofile1qqsxrp2fw6ap55utnhldrvwlndpw2asz0y8fx4x9nzgmu7ehz0dkxlqpz3mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduqs6amnwvaz7tmwdaejumr0ds40agn2

Publishing to

relay.damus.io

nos.lol

Author Public Key

npub1vxz5ja46rffch8076xcalx6zu4mqy7gwjd2vtxy3heanwy7mvd7qqq78px

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Last Notes

2026-07-04 17:26:11 UTC

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So many cases...
They love rewriting history.

2026-07-03 10:34:49 UTC

Money Supply...
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2SL
https://blossom.primal.net/9e4a4ad56b3a9e046d2e595fb74439c2de4a5970760abecbf9c0bb32ddc161dd.png

2026-07-03 08:12:59 UTC

Cajero BitBase en ABC Serrano, Madrid.
#hispano
https://blossom.primal.net/26263d98f45c42d4133de4f8fcafd4c9e3f90cbca219ee620f6f62b5698d43f5.png

2026-07-02 10:13:39 UTC

@nprofile…eerj up

2026-06-26 19:34:00 UTC

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100 sats worth of grift. Ridiculous.
Just in a few posts from today I have outgoing zaps for 1000x
Take a minute to check before you make silly accusations.

2026-06-26 17:36:09 UTC

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Min is 1 sat. Max is 100.
It says a lot about how much people care.
Minimum is anti-spam. Max is to show proof of burn.
Sats polls show commitment.

2026-06-26 16:51:01 UTC

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@nprofile…9svs @nprofile…zve0 @nprofile…c93l

2026-06-22 11:21:44 UTC

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Hey @nprofile…cy33 talk to @nprofile…tcsk he might consider bringing @nprofile…86kc to #WOB26 in Madrid in October.

2026-06-18 10:13:29 UTC

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If you want to understand why the UK govt completely ignored the rape victims, remember:
ethnic > gender
Woke pentagram remains undefeated.
#nevent1q…gv05

2026-06-16 13:58:11 UTC

Some of the biggest Bitcoin exchanges are about to be kicked out of the EU for not being MiCA compliant.
#P2P is mostly exempt from MiCA (out of scope pending further regulation).
This seems like the biggest opportunity for P2P in years. Don't waste it!
@nprofile…nh56 @nprofile…3u36 @nprofile…m0gd @nprofile…3f4a @nprofile…ah8m @nprofile…7yp0 @nprofile…fcre @nprofile…ac87

2026-06-16 09:29:38 UTC

Free Speech.
https://blossom.primal.net/278ccd2530f7582328a67d42407a7fba6d67fa0e48faf0fb5bd64f6f68cf3641.png

2026-06-15 09:59:16 UTC

A friend just started being very successful on instagram, on her way to a million followers. She does not know how to monetise it.
I suggested that she try posting a ⚡ LN address for donations and tips. It's an easy experiment that will take her less than 5 minutes to do.
If it works, my next suggestion is that she posts some exclusive content behind a zapwall with @nprofile…6jar . Of course I will also suggest that she post notes on Nostr, although I don't know if that is an efficient use of her time...
Any other ideas or suggestions?

2026-06-15 09:34:49 UTC

EU forces USDT delisting from centralized exchanges.
This seems like an opportunity for #P2P
https://blossom.primal.net/183aead49ecac9bd490cca3f8ae4c9bf78724aad88c9e714382aab3504ad138a.png

2026-06-14 08:43:42 UTC

Una humilde propuesta para resolver el problema de la vivienda y el paro en España.
En España hay ~5 millones de personas recibiendo una paga del estado por no hacer nada (parados y perceptores de IMV).
Una casa unifamiliar tiene de media 100.000 ladrillos.
Si cada parado pone 100 ladrillos al día, en un año serían
(5.000.000 x 365 x100 ) 182.500.000.000 ladrillos equivalente a 1.825.000 viviendas unifamiliares. En un sólo año.
Con casi 2 millones de viviendas adicionales en un sólo año, se acabó el problema de la vivienda en España. Y si no, pues repites un par de año más y ya son 5 millones de hogares.
¡Hala! Problema resuelto. De nada.
😉

2026-06-08 18:03:01 UTC

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Stream football matches for zaps.
That will bring millions of normies.

2026-06-08 14:59:26 UTC

IDEOLOGY vs CONSPIRACY
CONSPIRACY: Need to keep it secret and small. Constantly pay off, blackmail or threaten conspirators. Need to control and surveil all to make sure that everyone is perfectly coordinated. Participants feel guilty, constantly questioning "are we the baddies?" and willing to defect if success seems unlikely.
IDEOLOGY: You can teach it in schools. Useful idiots will spread it for free. Millions of volunteer enforcers. Censorship and propaganda is mob enforced. It survives on auto-pilot and spreads. Participants feel virtuous. It engages tribal instincts at the deepest level allowing complete suspension of disbelief and anger at outgroup.

2026-06-06 09:40:03 UTC

Stablecoin -> Bitcoin atomic swaps ⚛️
We need and uncensorable, no-KYC, #P2P, #DEX to allow atomic swaps between stablecoins and Bitcoin.
Stablecoins are shitcoins. They make a promise that they cannot keep. Their issuer is a central point of failure.
When they de-peg and crash, as some have already done and most will eventually do, we will see Bitcoin repriced in stablecoin terms. Centralised markets will just block trading and withdrawals (again). A DEX will show the truth. It will direct the funds into Bitcoin like a funnel.
https://blossom.primal.net/4be1984b23c33e737b90e8d44d86597b34306fe197b36dd85d6f9100172f3362.png

2026-06-05 08:55:21 UTC

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Amazing...
https://blossom.primal.net/b04683f683df713e4092f755e7d5c0d5204dad16bac4f0d00307a48fea1bcf47.png

2026-06-05 08:53:38 UTC

Is this website real?
https://hormuzsafe.ir/faq
https://blossom.primal.net/6d88d54cbd9aee8a75bcd40499f72c93df033e16f452cc9adb2b39e07d274364.png

2026-06-05 08:34:00 UTC

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I guess todays news answers my question...
https://squareup.com/us/en/release-notes/release-notes-june-4th
#nevent1q…c9hw

2026-06-04 10:25:59 UTC

Timeline as library concept 2.
https://blossom.primal.net/9aa8e56e7021b3a0dde0155721da19c946d3ea24c410c77591dfdcf71fd0bf99.jpg

2026-06-04 10:24:52 UTC

Timeline as library concept.
https://blossom.primal.net/88f4c746071fbb607837588e746278b2ffc4f463d4a45089d47b6f033ae9c575.png

2026-06-04 10:20:47 UTC

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In fact if you want to understand the difference between market cap -stock - and liquidity -flow - just look at the upcoming SpaceX IPO.
How much money is SpaceX actually raising with the IPO? Just $75bn.
What is the SpaceX valuation estimated to be? $1.8 Tr.
The free float will be 4% of market cap!
The Bitcoin equivalent would be Satoshi selling 800k btc. Strategy has already bought more than that!

2026-06-04 09:25:38 UTC

HODL makes sense.
The core of his argument is that the Bitcoin risk-reward asymmetry no longer exists. Paul argues that the -75% risk remains, but the x10 is imposible.
Why? Because going from $1Trillion to $10 Tn would require "an economy the size of the US". But he is comparing GDP - a metric of flow - to market cap - a metric of stock.
To make the comparison apt he would have to pick total US wealth or market cap of other assets. For example gold stock is valued at $31 Tn. US stocks have a combined market cap of $75 tn. Bond markets add up to more than $150 Tn. Real Estate is in the 100s of trillions.
Bitcoin only needs to match gold to do 30X.
Is this probable? Obviously you can disagree on that. You can also disagree on the timeline. But it is obviously not some kind of mathematical immpossibility. In fact, if you think that Bitcoin will become money you should be counting on it.
I would argue that what is irrational is to treat Bitcoin as a speculative short term asset, given the volatility.
In fact HODL for the long term is the only strategy that makes sense.
Even if you don't believe in Bitcoin becoming world money in the long term, it makes more sense to hold a small percentage in your portfolio as insurance against being wrong than to "rebalance" when you make a small paper profit.
On reflection his argument was not worth much. I should have just replied "OK Boomer".
https://blossom.primal.net/814094f22421a03c3bc07ec0b070d437dbee03fe1fb41387921c7742a9d213f7.png

2026-06-03 07:50:16 UTC

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Quiz time!
I will zap ⚡ the first person to name what each shield represents.
I will also zap ⚡ the best suggestions to fill the empty shields.
#history
#nevent1q…qdz3

2026-06-03 07:44:16 UTC

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@nprofile…am05

2026-06-02 16:06:32 UTC

Tree of history.
#history #timeline
https://blossom.primal.net/ef9f9ca121a3d69a8c266604487f1073dc805185f43fc0764c8a4ba722c9f3ac.jpg

2026-06-02 14:27:19 UTC

What happened to the 4 million merchants that Square enabled Bitcoin payments for?
Is there any data on how many activated or use it?
Any volume numbers?
@nprofile…9e76 and the shadowy supertaggers are doing great work... but surely Square must publish official internal data at some point?
@nprofile…x32y this would be a very interesting topic to do a deep dive on. Even if the news is disappointing.
https://blossom.primal.net/3615cd3be066de2943292233dce685f892bb5936884ec9b14d4fc36e311ce6ae.png

2026-06-02 13:57:31 UTC

This crossover now changes incentives somewhat.
It's not the same to ditch treasuries when you are tanking your own portfolio than to do so when you are hedged.
Many countries are now in that situation.
This trend will probably accelerate.
https://blossom.primal.net/68032c985d03bca130afea0370d3417504780cf1211b237c87dc20b0a8698796.png

2026-05-30 14:06:40 UTC

USDT frozen by US Government.
Now it's only BTC.
https://blossom.primal.net/f4b093d524fad6c95f799989d54a186ae56c3832950cdbe1a2539a9e5d89ff2a.png

2026-05-30 10:09:24 UTC

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https://bitcoinmagazine.com/news/u-s-treasury-the-united-states-iran

2026-05-30 09:53:31 UTC

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https://decrypt.co/369522/treasurys-bessent-says-us-grabbed-1-billion-crypto-iran

2026-05-30 09:50:21 UTC

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🇺🇸 Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says the U.S. Government has seized $1 billion of Iran's crypto:
"Just outright grabbed the wallets. Some of them may be typing in right now and might not realize their wallet had been grabbed."
As expected the USDT and stablecoins got seized.
===> Bitcoin is the only logical choice.
#nevent1q…n0hw

2026-05-30 09:44:22 UTC

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For some reason this note is not getting published. Relays?

2026-05-30 09:41:49 UTC

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"Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds" by Charles Mackay was one of the sources.
https://blossom.primal.net/0445277e75f335fd0899af1683c054c4dd81f343d73d4cb01c759160de04676b.png
#nevent1q…q28n

2026-05-30 09:20:33 UTC

A very handy table summarising the stages of the business cycle, from Jesus Huerta de Soto's book "Money, Credit and Economic Cycles".
https://blossom.primal.net/58051f9f2437a54b72eb80619a127c76aa681b2c71ef5300eb2ab8cee359c499.png
https://blossom.primal.net/7224badb14530aa2e407ab8e9c1266f67852898e88c88d8b244e794d65d0876e.png

2026-05-30 09:07:15 UTC

Some years ago I helped make a short monetary history documentary on two episodes of fiat money inflation in France.
One of the things that contemporary writers commented on was how money printing created a new class of speculators addicted to easy debt and fast paper gains in stocks and assets. The Cantillon effect disproportionately benefits those close to the money printer, but also those close enough to power to have what we now call inside information. They were the system's best defenders and promoters. They made fortunes.
I cannot help but see the parallels with the current bubbles and the Trump administration's obsession with market manipulation on all fronts. The Polymarket politicians will ride this wave as far as they can, they will milk it for all its worth. If you ever wanted to understand what GRRM meant by "chaos is a ladder" look no further than what is happening to markets every time that Trump announces a new ultimatum or a new peace deal with Iran just before markets open.
Its not sustainable, it's not conducive to long term economic growth and the collapse will be spectacular. As Warren Buffet said "it's only when the tide recedes that you see who is swimming naked".
The smartest in the speculator class will be able to profit from the crash as much as from the bubble, maybe even more.
If you are not close to the money printer and the levers of power, you can only opt out of the game and be patient. They cannot print more Bitcoin.
https://youtu.be/7zvNV-vkEzc

2026-05-28 08:20:29 UTC

New cities founded by Greeks, Rome, Spain, Britain.
#timeline #history
https://blossom.primal.net/5014d408add465055c0353524d57efc0f7b5e19bbe1a5a8eb687fb328966e9ea.png

2026-05-26 19:40:10 UTC

Very good explanation. @nprofile…205a
https://primal.net/dergigi/careful-icarus

2026-05-23 08:20:39 UTC

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My dream:
1. Timeline of human history (~50 centuries).
2. Integrate data (econ, pop, military, religion, climate).
3. Make it beautiful, decorative.
4. Make it durable (marble? Mosaic? Intaglio?)
5. Many copies.
Dual purpose:
-Education - Teaching tool for schools.
-Preservation - Rosetta stone for future archaeologists.
#nevent1q…u6lc

2026-05-19 10:42:43 UTC

Andrea Vicentino - Lepanto
https://blossom.primal.net/40de82cd9629903952990de5097ca692dce9eec54e251a364e730bd59261a8b2.jpg

2026-05-18 15:55:21 UTC

Did Iran just drop an AI LEGO-style music video promoting the use of Bitcoin to pay the toll through the Strait of Hormuz?
https://x.com/BitcoinNewsCom/status/2056370498083131553

2026-05-16 10:14:04 UTC

#FOSS
Reducing complexity reduces the attack surface.
Simpler code is harder to hack.
@nprofile…937p
https://blossom.primal.net/70a954bdf7fae86e06b18a14619d5f23156d6c4a10596dfd3958b51b92bfc9c3.jpg

2026-05-13 12:15:13 UTC

Person of Interest.
Great show on AI and surveillance.
Recommend.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Person_of_Interest_(TV_series)

2026-05-07 12:38:59 UTC

🦊
https://blossom.primal.net/ff74b61f14b2315c3c600cac3f423d427d9eb58670ac6161b93438fbed8167b1.jpg

2026-05-01 13:47:54 UTC

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Good response from Bisq team.
Exploits and attacks are unavoidable, but FOSS allows quick detect, patch & fix.

2026-04-28 17:49:56 UTC

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Are #mesh networks working in Iran?
#nevent1q…2ywh

2026-04-22 07:37:51 UTC

Remember when volatility was the main reason why normies rejected Bitcoin?
https://blossom.primal.net/f0e7424b35f731b34a2ba8b857faa71e035967559bd8bbede01bf70dbcf6e62b.gif

2026-04-21 10:28:50 UTC

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Get ready for very fast enshittification.
User growth is over. Revenue now will come at the cost of ux.
#nevent1q…8tn4

2026-04-15 08:39:25 UTC

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OnlyFans begs to differ.
Subjective Value Theory remains undefeated 😉

2026-04-13 11:34:07 UTC

Iran negotiators should have offered to end their nuclear programme... in exchange for Israel ending theirs.
With the same international inspection regime for both.

2026-04-12 15:04:38 UTC

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@nprofile…8dqx @nprofile…qt3a @nprofile…z6sn you were wrong.
Too optimistic. You sweet summer child!
Better luck next time.

2026-04-10 16:49:59 UTC

They are using F-16 to shoot down drones?
It makes for a very good videogame or top gun movie...
But it sends a very worrying signal about the supply of interceptors.
I'm not sure that it makes financial sense to lose an F-16 to take down two shaheds...

2026-04-08 13:30:41 UTC

Iran officially confirmed to accept Bitcoin for Hormuz toll.
I did not expect this to happen so fast!
https://blossom.primal.net/4b0331a12b15253e3efe39ee2e4a40ccd808dc17b7dc71eeb7201116da954762.png
https://www.ft.com/content/02aefac4-ea62-48db-9326-c0da373b11b8

2026-04-03 10:51:53 UTC

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The way I see it happening:
1. US restricts SWIFT and USD use to enemies.
2. They look for alternatives.
3. They realise the flaws with major alternatives: EUR, Yuan, Gold...
4. They experiment with crypto, starting with stablecoins.
5. They discover the flaws of shitcoins.
6. They try Bitcoin.
7. It works. It solves the problem. They gradually increase use.
In 2026 we have reached stage 4 as exemplified by stablecoin use in the oil trade by Venezuela, Russia, Iran.
Stage 5 will come very quickly the moment that stablecoin issuers freeze accounts (they have already done it in Venezuela).
I think we will see stage 6 in 2027-2028.

2026-04-03 10:44:25 UTC

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I had estimated bitcoin use in international trade for 2033.
I might have to adjust to sooner. Things are moving very quickly, especially with the oil trade.
#nevent1q…x86s

2026-04-03 09:41:05 UTC

Bloomberg confirms Iran is accepting stablecoins for Hormuz transit tolls.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-01/strait-of-hormuz-ships-paying-iran-yuan-and-crypto-tolls-for-safe-passage

2026-04-03 09:37:35 UTC

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More reports of stablecoin use for Hormuz toll booth.
https://www.coinspeaker.com/iran-crypto-yuan-hormuz-shipping-tolls/
#nevent1q…q2y8

2026-04-01 12:39:18 UTC

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Without a frame of reference, how can you deduce impossibility?
Neither inductive nor deductive logic is possible in a vacuum.
But it is fun to philosophise...

2026-03-28 15:58:51 UTC

It's hard to find truth among all the propaganda... but I'm starting to suspect that the US is losing the air war.
That I did not expect.
But the evidence keeps accumulating. Trump's story about the attack on the USS Ford was a striking admission.
TVA traffic is another datapoint.
The latest successful missile strikes on US troops assembly areas is a third.
Something strange is happening.

2026-03-28 11:04:48 UTC

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I think it was pretty obvious this time.
But you never know... the market is full of surprises.
https://blossom.primal.net/2c94e761f4141f8fab5fd1b8e1480bc33f898b42e356572f3a6e67d5bb0b5b31.png
#nevent1q…tqlu

2026-03-26 19:12:56 UTC

This is what I have gathered on Iran stablecoin use:
1. Central bank of Iran has used stablecoins to avoid sanctions since 2024. ✅️
2. IRGC has had USDT since 2025. ✅️
3. USDT and USC wallets have been blocked due to Chainanalysis tying them to Iran ✅️
4. Houthis were using stablecoins in 2025 ✅️
5. Rumours of Hormuz toll booth accepting USDT ❓️ - unverified so far

2026-03-25 08:24:21 UTC

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Yep. They are going to have to attack themselves for buying UST via USDT...
Another thing they overlooked.

2026-03-24 12:52:09 UTC

Apparently Iran is accepting USDT for Hormuz toll payments.
They obviously don't understand that those funds can be easily blocked.
They will learn soon.
Then they will have to use Bitcoin.
We might go directly from petrodollar to petrobitcoin bypassing the yuan entirely.

2026-03-23 16:46:40 UTC

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Why would I see it if I am not following them?
Let users control their feed.
Default (onboarding) feeds should be heavily curated.
Same for followlists recommended to newbies.
Ideally you should not be offered content outside your Web of Trust unless you are specifically looking for it.

2026-03-23 11:32:32 UTC

#TACO ?
https://blossom.primal.net/c4e09b11956e4dfc4dbb346d66d932dc97c8ea77c137ea2e3955f7323f996711.jpg

2026-03-23 09:04:23 UTC

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Interesting.
Stablecoins are as easy to censor, block as bank accounts.
Their only advantage over legacy fiat is ux.
#nevent1q…mxsd

2026-03-23 08:30:13 UTC

https://www.projectnomad.us/
This looks interesting.

2026-03-23 08:19:37 UTC

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Hear me out...
Make a #DEX with the exact same UX as TPB.

2026-03-23 08:01:02 UTC

The Not So Wild, Wild West: Property Rights on the Frontier
https://www.amazon.com/Not-So-Wild-West-Economics/dp/0804748543
https://blossom.primal.net/2d1098f74ce4a9b80b6de3c0a0d7ee2cfbad4bd40d5ca581def635967c707f9e.png

2026-03-20 12:53:26 UTC

@nprofile…kclk new wallets buggy?
Tried to zap... no sats. Balance emptied.
Is this happening to anyone else?

2026-03-19 08:22:38 UTC

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Confirmed.
#nevent1q…tqlu

2026-03-19 07:59:35 UTC

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I've always thought that stablecoin-bitcoin atomic swaps would be great for Bitcoin precisely because stablecoins are shitcoins.
At some point people will panic out of stablecoins... and I want the exit ramps into bitcoin to be as permissionless as possible.
#nevent1q…g0c0

2026-03-18 09:04:05 UTC

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Simple business model.
https://blossom.primal.net/1973be9520d3daf4c498b2561ea84a18584d84728ab33d54c260ef1c028a92f6.png

2026-03-18 08:56:44 UTC

Joe Kent letter. Interesting read.
#war
https://blossom.primal.net/c7bcdf593c4bed319c1151788b5f755df6945c51db3b4c98f8ab4f2b4f6cc6c1.png

2026-03-18 08:47:12 UTC

Mining the straits is not a binary option.
#Iran could just partially mine. If they mine the southern section, they could leave a channel going by Bandar Abbas, enabling them to fully control traffic. They could turn it almost into a toll booth.
https://blossom.primal.net/96a5de3674693a28c8ff1fda3d394160572ff07d13b97f6d2475a0fa06702efe.png

2026-03-17 16:59:57 UTC

Open Source Blueprints for Civilization. Build Yourself.
#FOSS will save the world.
https://blossom.primal.net/f5b319d010ad8fceb694f1919dd88eba0840f97a206105ef7ec6e380c997553b.png
https://www.opensourceecology.org/

2026-03-17 10:15:35 UTC

Shipping around Hormuz is another good indicator obviously.
https://www.shipxplorer.com/
https://blossom.primal.net/86272489bb76be0bc62df0f2d76899f20ca3061d48c6ac6a0c5ceeacdc845675.png

2026-03-15 13:51:23 UTC

Segundo intento...
#hispano #followlist
https://following.space/d/3ec54c78-d5de-4877-87fd-cbb7edf47a78?p=e3eb2eaca428217263ae49b258c0540aa4f6fb81dec08f69c664c1f0c4a94801

2026-03-15 13:44:37 UTC

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Bitcoin --> Private Property
Nostr --> Free Speech
3Dprint --> Self Defense
Everything else, we can easily solve with voluntary cooperation.

2026-03-15 13:31:40 UTC

How do I share a follow list?
#AskNostr

2026-03-15 13:08:10 UTC

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You might. You use a lot of hashtags 😆
That's the Nostr superpower.

2026-03-15 13:00:43 UTC

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Follow lists are great. Much better to let people choose from those at onboarding than the "keep recommended follows" option.

2026-03-15 10:18:02 UTC

Simple questions that I see the media ignoring on the #war
Can Iran survive strikes on its water infrastructure?
Can US Gulf allies survive strikes on water infrastructure?

2026-03-15 10:15:21 UTC

Simple questions that I see the media ignoring on the #war
How long can Iran last without selling oil?
How long can the US take $100+ oil?

2026-03-15 10:03:53 UTC

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I agree.
But I can see how some people might misinterpret.
Again, he deserves my respect.

2026-03-15 10:02:11 UTC

Simple questions that I see the media ignoring on the #war
Is Iran getting ISR and targeting help from Russia? China?
Do they have satellite surveillance?

2026-03-15 09:59:43 UTC

Simple questions that I see the media ignoring on the #war
What is Pakistan doing?
What is India doing?
What is Turkey doing?
Those 3 neighbours have nukes (In Turkey' case they don't own them, but they are there).

2026-03-15 09:55:40 UTC

Simple questions that I see the media ignoring on the #war
How close can US ships get to Iran before drone, missile intercept time is too short?
How precise are Iran's drones, missiles?

2026-03-15 09:53:17 UTC

Simple questions that I see the media ignoring on the #war
How many troops does Iran have?
How many troops does the US have? How many in the Gulf?

2026-03-15 09:47:32 UTC

Simple questions that I see the media ignoring on the #war
How many missiles does Iran have?
How many interceptors does the US have?

2026-03-15 09:29:15 UTC

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He did write "Mastering Ethereum"...
But yeah, he was a great Bitcoin educator. One of the best. Respect is due.

2026-03-15 08:15:07 UTC

"The first casualty of war is the truth"
Aeschylus (525-456 BC)

2026-03-15 08:09:03 UTC

"Seize territory around the waterway with ground troop"
WSJ floating the idea of a "limited" ground invasion.
🤦
https://blossom.primal.net/a176558049b08e2d92801800663f7febba2acc4b972691e55d893d782bb5242b.png

2026-03-15 08:07:50 UTC

“Naturally, the common people don't want war; neither in Russia nor in England nor in America nor, for that matter, in Germany. That is understood. But, after all, it is the leaders of the country who determine the policy and it is always a simple matter to drag the people along, whether it is a democracy or a fascist dictatorship or a Parliament or a Communist dictatorship. ... [V]oice or no voice, the people can always be brought to the bidding of the leaders. That is easy. All you have to do is tell them they are being attacked and denounce the pacifists for lack of patriotism and exposing the country to danger. It works the same way in any country.”
― Hermann Göring

2026-03-14 09:35:02 UTC

Almost even odds for boots on the ground in March!
Another big jump in 24hrs, another Saturday escalation.
https://polymarket.com/event/us-forces-enter-iran-by
https://blossom.primal.net/68c61ec180267504cf0bbd3045c5f11f2c2ca295f7a091013af1891896e485d7.png

2026-03-13 16:43:12 UTC

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I think that @nprofile…wv2n worked something like that back a few years ago.
You just zapped and got a confirmation dm.

2026-03-13 16:41:28 UTC

Hear me out...
Polymarkets but with zaps ⚡
No account needed, no registration. All you need is an npub and LN address.
To bet you just zap the YES or NO note.

2026-03-13 16:36:23 UTC

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Yep. Big jump today.
https://polymarket.com/event/us-forces-enter-iran-by
https://blossom.primal.net/9beb0120a905f32e83fe757b1d5a910f998711cb17dc3fe8da822038a0a2111b.png

2026-03-13 16:34:23 UTC

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Marines mobilised today.
Probability of "boots on the ground" just went up considerably.