midway

Part-time options trader. Alt-tech enthusiast. Purveyor of odd ideas.

Nothing here is trading advise. I can't know your personal situation or risk tolerance.

Public Key

npub1w55lvngpq74f38c3m2ftalc4l0ywuplqc8uptrjzklm7psgkt42qqexmcf

NIP-05 Address

midway@soapbox-midwaytrades-com.mostr.pub

Profile Code

nprofile1qqs8220kf5qs025cnuga4y47lu2lhj8wqlsvr7q43ept0alqcyt964qpz4mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerfw36x7tnsw43q0t9mjh

Publishing to

relay.ditto.pub

Author Public Key

npub1w55lvngpq74f38c3m2ftalc4l0ywuplqc8uptrjzklm7psgkt42qqexmcf

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Last Notes

2026-04-12 20:59:34 UTC

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I know it’s been forever and a day but I did find some time to set it up today. Works pretty well. Set up uptime kuma just to test it. The more apps you can get for it, the better. I love the idea of having an option other then cloudiron for this kind of stuff.

2026-03-30 16:03:21 UTC

Finally got around to setting up ditto so I can play around on nostr but also see posts on here as well. But I like the idea of having a second place on decentralized social platforms. Anyone can follow me over there from here if you want:
@nprofile…3mql

2026-03-30 03:42:30 UTC

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Finally got around to getting it up and running. Pretty nice so far. Looking forward to what's coming over there.

2026-03-29 16:05:19 UTC

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I‘m the odd duck who had never liked coffee. Not the taste, not the smell.

2026-03-29 16:02:57 UTC

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Agreed. Anonymity is very important. Embedding your identity into an OS can lead to massive privacy issues if not now…eventually.
This is why open source matters so much. As long as I can download an OS for free stuff like this becomes very hard to enforce.

2026-03-27 18:36:43 UTC

I closed the butterflies I put on yesterday for, basically, break even. I could have stayed and waited it out, but I'd rather just move on, put on something new next week and not take the weekend risk. But it would have been ok to leave it on...it wasn't in bad shape, I just didn't feel like dealing with it. My trades are cattle, not pets.
https://soapbox.midwaytrades.com/media/09561e8b-2cb4-492c-a467-8522254bfe90/1093_close.png

2026-03-27 13:49:13 UTC

My calendars from Weds closed from 8%. This is how you profit from a rising volatility.
https://soapbox.midwaytrades.com/media/d094721f-fbc4-496d-bae4-da0387c0b3b2/1092_close.png

2026-03-26 19:20:13 UTC

With the further down move today, I put on a new 22-day unbalanced butterfly 95 up / 100 down centered at 6510P. Decent room and it cuts my overall Vega exposure a bit.
The calendars from yesterday are doing fine.
https://soapbox.midwaytrades.com/media/af9cbca5-1947-4b63-97fe-1f4655d8e914/1096_open.png

2026-03-26 05:24:22 UTC

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No, I’m just that dull in real life. :)

2026-03-26 04:59:43 UTC

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Yeah, it's not the most convenient way to do it...I have to download the code it gives me via the web browser...but it's generating code.
I may end up buying a pro license, only because I'm playing with it more and the limits are becoming a thing. But we'll see. But just to get your feet wet, the free tier is pretty good.

2026-03-25 19:03:18 UTC

I put on a new 4-lot calendar 23 days out, longs 4 days further at 6560C. Same trade I've been doing for a while now.
https://soapbox.midwaytrades.com/media/aec01ea4-cc77-4211-ab0d-6a1f889a8ee1/1092_open.png

2026-03-24 15:41:29 UTC

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I don’t have it integrated into anything but the chat tier writes pretty good code. I’m making web apps on the free tier.

2026-03-24 11:07:11 UTC

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in the real world we call that a cros-dressing dude. I’ve joked that I’m a masculine presenting transgender lesbian. Give me all your oppression points! And if you deny my identity you’re a bad person….or something.
The fact that he’s declaring to be openly Jewish is amusing. Didn’t think that closet was particularly large.

2026-03-24 10:27:00 UTC

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I’ve been playing with Claude quite a bit lately…pretty impressive. Still getting by on the free tier but I can see how they get folks to pay.
it will be interesting if they can actually make money. It’s going to be tough competing with the likes of Google and Microsoft who can subsidize their engines with large profits from other divisions. I could easily see them getting bought out by someone like IBM, Oracle, or even Dell. I don’t see any of those as good for the product but good for the investors.

2026-03-24 10:07:04 UTC

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How the mighty have fallen. The biggest implication of that fame today would be lottery odds.

2026-03-20 16:19:34 UTC

My calendars from yesterday closed this morning for 8%. In and out...I like it. Let the weekend do what it will because I'm in cash.
https://soapbox.midwaytrades.com/media/96c161e8-f099-440c-ba69-e8579697aaf2/1091_close.png

2026-03-19 19:16:16 UTC

I put on a new calendar now that FOMC is out. It went up a bit right after I put it on but it still has room...
https://soapbox.midwaytrades.com/media/1d5ccba8-7c81-4136-9319-7bc3d85f6e55/Screenshot%202026-03-19%20at%203.12.14%E2%80%AFPM.png

2026-03-09 01:20:23 UTC

My latest trade review video is up on BitChute, Rumble, and PeerTube.
I haven't traded as heavily the last 2 weeks due to big events like the NVDA earnings and events in the Middle East so I combined the last 2 weeks into one review video. Throughout these rocky events, I closed 2 trades for good money. This is all about navigating through a big known event and a big unknown event. Take a look and let me know what you think
https://www.bitchute.com/video/yAgIySS6ktU4/?list=notifications&randomize=false
https://rumble.com/v76uc06-twmt-weeks-ending-february-27-and-march-6-2026-navigating-big-events.html
@nprofile…yxfp

2026-03-04 20:41:52 UTC

Missed the mess yesterday which is fine. But I'm put on a smaller 3-lot calendar today at 6840C , 23 days out with the longs 4 days later. Keeping it small due to the volatility.
https://soapbox.midwaytrades.com/media/cd4e5f69-e84a-4310-a344-2063cd7bf621/1089_open.png

2026-03-02 17:31:44 UTC

My calendars from Thursday closed today for a bit over 8%. Even with the wide swings this morning, the trade never got into trouble. The IV spike kept the trade in a good position, then the rise helped close it. A roller coaster to be sure, but it was quite resilient.
https://soapbox.midwaytrades.com/media/0c862a07-887f-494d-aea5-08c4889726f5/1088_close.png

2026-02-27 01:35:13 UTC

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I’ve yet to see where that is the policy. Verifying citizenship doesn’t mean only citizens can have bank accounts. I’d need to see the full policy. All I’ve seen are sensational headlines

2026-02-26 20:23:25 UTC

Now that NVDA earnings are done, I opened a new 22-day calendar at 6875C with the longs 4 days further out.
https://soapbox.midwaytrades.com/media/8a0bf08d-fc28-4921-8c45-983aedb10a10/1088_open.png

2026-02-26 16:51:58 UTC

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I don’t think that’s the point. If you aren’t a citizen you should have to show your legal residency status. With all of the KYC requirements to open a bank account in the US, I’m shocked this isn’t already happening.

2026-02-24 06:27:39 UTC

My latest trade review video is up on BitChute and Rumble.
On a holiday shortened week, I closed out 2 trades from the previous week as well as a new one that I put on this week. I talk about why I closed each one and talk a bit about a plan for next week.
https://www.bitchute.com/video/inDMLq6qAryG
https://rumble.com/v7673ei-twmt-week-ending-february-20-2026-a-clean-sweep.html

2026-02-22 19:19:22 UTC

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It’s only been since the 80s that skaters (i.e. not goalies) have been required to wear helmets. And whenever they implement a rule like that it’s only for new players, the rest are grandfathered. Rod Langway was the last player in the NHL to play without a helmet.
It’s a cultural thing in the NHL. Serious head injuries aren’t as common as other collision sports with the current helmet s most are cuts, bruises, nose breaks and, of course, the stereotypical front teeth.
Besides, how do you punch a guy in the jaw if there’s a cage there? That’s why goalie fights are rare and kind of funny.

2026-02-22 13:27:27 UTC

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Tell me you do understand Operating Systems without telling me you don’t understand Operating Systems

2026-02-22 13:24:20 UTC

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Lack of viable alternatives?

2026-02-22 13:22:55 UTC

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Yeah, it lost primarily due to cost. Sony learned its lesson and bought out HDDVD from Toshiba to avoid BluRay suffering the same fate.

2026-02-22 13:09:05 UTC

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She’s an “academic” but didn’t do basic research before picking up and moving to a different country. Guessing her degree program ends in “Studies“‘

2026-02-20 18:39:12 UTC

And as luck would have it, my calendars from yesterday closed for 8%. Can't complain. I'm in cash and will stay there until sometime next week. All done for this week.
https://soapbox.midwaytrades.com/media/b5e2368f-b0fb-4a88-b828-a7dc1ff8fda0/1087_close.png

2026-02-20 16:43:58 UTC

I went ahead of just closed the fly/calendar combo from a couple weeks ago. After all of the adjusting, I'm good with just taking a small 4.5% profit and moving on.
The calendars from yesterday are doing fine.
https://soapbox.midwaytrades.com/media/1361b699-df8d-4749-a824-9efcd38914d2/1085_close.png

2026-02-20 02:50:21 UTC

My latest trade review video is up on BItChute, Rumble, and PeerTube.
So we moved back and forth quite a bit this week. I managed the one trade I had on going into the week but I also did an experiment where I extended my IV high water mark for long vega trades. I'll go over why I did it and we'll see how it goes
https://www.bitchute.com/video/olC1xPPpUk1F
https://rumble.com/v7608q8-twmt-week-ending-february-13-2026-a-vega-experiment.html
@nprofile…jntl

2026-02-19 20:29:41 UTC

I opened a new calendar closer to my regular size as I experiment with calendars at slightly higher VIX levels.
https://soapbox.midwaytrades.com/media/fe33851f-d3c6-4455-98f2-01e7c03780b3/1087_open.png

2026-02-19 14:51:53 UTC

My calendar experiment from last week came off at the market open for 8%. I guess that worked out.
https://soapbox.midwaytrades.com/media/45cd46b3-11bb-4c48-a360-00301e02fcbb/1086_close.png

2026-02-09 19:09:52 UTC

As we keep moving up, I sold off one fly to cut the position deltas.
https://soapbox.midwaytrades.com/media/5a11aa41-7ba6-44bc-aa82-158129500ee4/1085_adj2.png

2026-02-06 13:27:39 UTC

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So are dollars.

2026-02-03 20:57:20 UTC

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I don’t blame him for getting a benefactor for his nostr work, but I get the sense he’d be doing that even without the backing. It’s as much about his excitement for the project with him. I also guess he hasn’t pissed off most of the nostr world like he did on the Fedi world. :)

2026-02-03 19:56:46 UTC

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I think so. Alex is all aboard the nostr train these days. Sad as I still run it on my instance. Not sure how easy it would be to move to another project without losing everything. Maybe Pleroma since the backend codebases are similar?
Too bad because I really like the front soapbox front end. It seems to be working well so far.

2026-01-31 02:45:45 UTC

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https://soapbox.midwaytrades.com/media/df4de7c4-6ba3-4a2a-b340-c6242f722015/IMG_2339.jpeg

2026-01-31 02:41:58 UTC

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I’ve smelled Cleveland…you’re already there. :)

2026-01-20 15:27:24 UTC

Closed the remaining fly. The whole trade lost 7% which isn't horrible given the move today. Had I not had the upside diagonal the trade would have made money. Moving on.

2026-01-19 01:35:10 UTC

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And to celebrate, everyone will have a word salad for lunch, send out cards with Venn diagrams and ride yellow school buses.

2026-01-17 20:38:10 UTC

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Interesting. Looks like your own version of Cloudiron. I’ll have to take a look.

2026-01-16 17:34:26 UTC

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Right there in clear view. Think of the children!

2026-01-10 03:52:10 UTC

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Have you tried using a VPN? I‘ve had dec success with mine avoiding block lists.

2025-12-27 01:49:52 UTC

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…and sane.

2025-12-24 19:00:37 UTC

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That ranks up there with people comparing them to homeless when they were in Bethlehem. They weren’t homeless, they were forced to leave their home and travel to pay a tax and all the rooms were booked. Those two things are not the same.

2025-12-21 15:13:22 UTC

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You mean just banning something via legislation doesn’t solve the problem? Who knew?

2025-12-09 14:34:09 UTC

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Yeah, well, I've seen this broad before online....she's a sophist. :)

2025-12-08 22:27:51 UTC

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I call it sophistry.

2025-12-06 01:05:35 UTC

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As you refuse to actually address any of my points, the conversation is done. This is clearly a religion to you and, therefore, facts don’t matter.

2025-12-05 05:39:42 UTC

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What adoption? Crypto hasn’t has wide spread adoption as any kind of currency. The number of transactions are insignificant compared to national currencies.
The world isn’t going to standardize on a single currency of any kind. I’m sorry, it just won’t. Most people need centralized systems because they aren’t responsible enough to really run things on their own and they don’t want to even if they could. Do you honestly think that a system that relies on people properly storing and protecting their keys is sustainable?
Lots of good ideas don’t scale. Remember when they were trying to get everyone to wear masks to stop the spread of COVID? That was doomed. Can masks work? Yes, they work in hospitals. Why? Because you have a very small number of well trained professionals using them. But that system doesn’t scale to the general public. Crypto is similar. Could it work within a small community of enthusiasts who really understand it? Sure. But that system won’t scale.
I absolutely get the idea of a decentralized private financial system. I appreciate the ideas and motivations behind it. But I also live in the real world and know that such a system won’t scale to tens of millions yet alone billions of people.
Another great example is where we are right now…the Fediverse. I love and appreciate the concept. I run my own instances. I get it. It makes sense to me. I also know that mass adoption isn’t going to happen. Most people don‘t care enough to be here. They like the simplicity of the centralized services even though they are literally the product. Such is the way of the world.
Look, you can buy all the BCH you want and I sincerely hope it goes up and you make solid gains from it. But it is absolutely not going to get widespread adoption to come close to being a true alternative to national currencies, yet alone become the single global currency. I think I’ve made a very solid case that has not been refuted with any actual evidence…just “it will someday…”.

2025-12-05 01:55:25 UTC

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Europe has tried to unite behind a single currency…it hasn’t gone well. The member states‘ economies are too different…and that’s just Europe. You are claiming you can do the worldwide? Because the US should use the same currency as Cambodia and Zimbabwe? That is pure delusion. Sometimes things haven’t been done for a reason.
Doing what everything all other coins do is not a reason to adopt it. You need more than that. Otherwise there’s no reason to change.

2025-12-04 22:45:55 UTC

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That looks like one of my wifs’s storage rooms before it was recently cleaned up. Too close to home. :)

2025-12-04 20:17:02 UTC

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An interesting theory, but Pokemon cards are, essentially, a collectible. That market is very tough because the majority of the items end up worthless. I remember TV ad (back when I watched regular TV) for all sorts of things that were supposed to be valuable some day…civil war plate sets, silly physical coins, beanie babies. Guess how much they are all worth 30 years later? Essentially nothing, certainly not what the people paid for them. Can you strike it rich in collectibles? Sure. But it’s a bit of a crap shoot as to what people will want a few decades from now.

2025-12-04 19:30:48 UTC

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And how well has everyone using the same money worked out so far. It's great in theory, but doesn't really work in the real world.
How many people in the world even know that there are forks of BTC? I'd bet less than 1%. Good luck getting them to standardize on it.
It's your money, throw it where you like. But betting the farm on any crypto, yet alone an alt coin is quite a spec bet.

2025-12-04 06:03:11 UTC

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...and that's the problem.

2025-12-04 05:01:01 UTC

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One needs to pick an argument. You can’t say it’s valuable because it’s limited in supply then in the next breath say once the supply is depleted another coin will be more valuable.
It you see crypto as a currency, then its value is what you can trade that currency for and how easy that is. In that race USD blows BTC away. USD has more transactions for things that are not USD in a day than BTC has in a year
As a spec trade I get it. But it’s not a real currency.

2025-12-03 14:06:12 UTC

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Exactly no one actually did. People bought btc because number go up. To the extent that there is utility in BTC (or any crypto for that matter) that utility isn’t worth much monetarily.
The problem is that these projects have a super low barrier to entry so even if one finds a good utility use case, there’s an infinite number of identical (or nearly identical) projects that can spawn quickly to do the same thing. No matter how high demand gets, supply can match or exceed it.
But BTC isn’t infinite. While true it can be infinitely forked. An infinite number of finite sets is still, from an economic point of view, infinite.
I got into this thread more just to put in my thoughts on trading anything, not to endorse or discourage what one is trading.

2025-11-30 16:12:42 UTC

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The next one can be you and explaining to her how she’s wrong. :)

2025-11-30 14:46:17 UTC

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#2? I guess it’s good to still have room for improvement. Goals can be motivating.

2025-11-29 15:56:40 UTC

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Kudos to the headline writer for the alliteration.

2025-11-29 15:55:18 UTC

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Yeah that why for stats like national income, average (mean) isn’t a useful stat and why you see median instead.

2025-11-29 15:39:23 UTC

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Every fan base has doomers. This year is different from the last few in that the gap from the bottom to top or especially the bottom to a playoff spot is small for this time of year. It’s really tight in the east but even the west is tighter than usual. My best guess is the salary cap finally going up has helped a lot of teams improve.

2025-11-27 02:50:23 UTC

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Don’t focus on hitting bottoms or tops. Just buy some on the way down and sell some on the way up. Give a bit up to the god of greed…you’ll trade better for it.

2025-11-17 23:30:34 UTC

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yeah, you’d better empty your bank accounts first. we know how Canada deals with protests.

2025-11-17 22:17:59 UTC

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The big question is whether the tape still holds all the data

2025-11-17 03:11:50 UTC

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So, basically, he’s a 5th round pick. Almost like the team scouts got it right.

2025-11-11 12:57:23 UTC

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I can think of some use cases…like highly variable income (seasonal). It has a low minimum payment while still allowing you to overpay even your income is higher.

2025-11-04 01:27:05 UTC

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Leftists always play word games. It fools the dullards into thinking they are smart.

2025-10-29 05:47:33 UTC

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He’d never make it through the Democrat primary.

2025-10-28 01:07:45 UTC

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The line item veto itself isn‘t unconstitutional, it just can’t be implemented via legislation.

2025-10-27 01:29:02 UTC

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Patrick’s channel is worth a sub. He does great work

2025-10-15 00:22:21 UTC

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It ran out of gas? :)

2025-10-15 00:06:24 UTC

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Yeah it’s got a good payoff.

2025-10-14 16:10:23 UTC

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Mr Rogers is no pushover.
https://youtu.be/lrzKT-dFUjE

2025-10-14 16:07:45 UTC

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If Jim was calling the play by play of Bob…that would be some interesting TV.

2025-10-14 15:51:23 UTC

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Old school cable? Huh. I figured the few people who still did that just streamed it to a TV app vs the old school cable boxes.

2025-10-12 15:36:44 UTC

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Ah yes, gambling. A voluntary tax on people who failed math.

2025-09-30 02:35:01 UTC

My latest trade review video is up on BItChute, Rumble, and PeerTube.
This was a perfectly good week for range-bound trades and I was able to get one of my trades off very quickly and double-dip it a bit. I also did something I rarely do...a speculative play on earnings. So I used this video as an opportunity to talk about how I look at these and how to do them and not lose much. Low risk, high reward.
https://www.bitchute.com/video/3twTHVkZVA6T/
https://rumble.com/v6znidm-twmt-week-ending-september-26-2025-trying-a-small-spec-play.html
@nprofile…x5w9

2025-09-09 19:37:11 UTC

With some inflation news coming out over the next couple of days, I rolled up the last 2 shorts of my diagonal to return it to a calendar at 6460C. This cut my position deltas by about half on that trade. The other calendars are fine for now.
https://soapbox.midwaytrades.com/media/f86d84d5-2ec7-457a-b2d3-328ead546cfd/1050_adj5.png

2025-07-22 20:30:12 UTC

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To see how far “gospel music” has fallen.

2025-07-07 15:12:13 UTC

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Then whoever did it needs to be charged with destroying evidence.

2025-06-23 23:39:58 UTC

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If you take trading advice from Andrew Tate, you deserve to lose money.
If I want to run a smut business? Sure. But commodities trading?
Remember, folks, there’s no such thing as a legit tip. It’s either based on inside information and, therefore illegal, or it isn’t and there’s no edge, or worse, he’s talking his book.

2025-06-23 02:08:38 UTC

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Sure but can we turn Iranian frogs gay?

2025-06-20 23:50:53 UTC

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The fundamental problem here is no one is defining their terms. Until you can agree on what far-lleft actually means, there is no basis for a rational discussion.

2025-06-11 13:26:05 UTC

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I get the sentiment but they’d be charged with vehicular assault at a minimum and possibly as much as murder depending on the outcome. As an ICE officer, is that worth it to you?

2025-04-08 13:54:00 UTC

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So we learned nothing from Jurassic Park. :)

2025-04-04 15:19:47 UTC

This is more of an experiment. I'm comparing the VIX vertical that I have on to a diagonal. Seeing which works better.
https://soapbox.midwaytrades.com/media/79ce253e-7ed7-49d7-b3d4-d4430a0f7e30/1029_open.png

2025-04-04 13:46:08 UTC

Closed 2 trades this morning: one good, one ugly.
The good is the flies from yesterday. Closed them this morning for 8%. Balanced flies work in this type of market.
The ugly: I closed out the long running fly/cal mess. Lost about 30%. Worst trade of the year. Moving on. Should have taken this off earlier.
https://soapbox.midwaytrades.com/media/31367a2a-6884-411b-86a8-8db9e7d43036/1028_close.png
https://soapbox.midwaytrades.com/media/304b3948-a5df-4861-8171-516793fdb220/1024_close.png

2025-04-03 19:41:12 UTC

Now that things calmed down, I sold off the calendars and the long put. Just 2 flies remain. Messy, but took off a bunch of risk and squashed my deltas. The other 2 trades are fine.
https://soapbox.midwaytrades.com/media/7e01873d-5868-4f7d-8e6c-c78d72aed522/1024_ad7.png

2025-04-01 04:56:55 UTC

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I like my Proxmox cluster. I run various services on it including my Fedi instance and my blogs. It’s a fun hobb:

2025-03-31 19:18:21 UTC

Ah, whipsaws are fun, eh? Sold off one of the flies from this morning, probably only needed one to start with, but that's 20/20 hindsight. Anyway, just trying to keep the deltas low and wait it out.
https://soapbox.midwaytrades.com/media/7aa2b687-9042-4268-ad69-a2e8681c536e/1024_adj5.png

2025-03-31 13:48:26 UTC

I added 2 flies to the bottom of my diagonal..flatten out deltas and added some room. Are we having fun yet? :)
https://soapbox.midwaytrades.com/media/c1192fea-25cd-4ef4-b461-12e79a2aa62c/1024_adj4.png

2025-03-25 20:26:10 UTC

I put on new unbalanced butterfly 75 up / 80 down APR 17 centered at 5780C. With the calnedars already on, I like the ideas of cutting my vega a bit. Little risk to the downside as well on this one.
https://soapbox.midwaytrades.com/media/34ae1df6-48ad-42a0-8717-27eb3972e566/1025-open.png

2025-03-25 03:16:47 UTC

My latest trade review video is up on BitChute and Rumble.
This is an unusual week because I didn't put anything on or take anything off, rather I worked 3 different trades through an FOMC Meeting. A lot of times, I'm out of the market over these, but this week I was very much in and I talk about why I was willing to do so.
https://www.bitchute.com/video/cdR33PQwEVxK/
https://rumble.com/v6r5lni-twmt-week-ending-march-21-2025-navigating-an-fomc-meeting.html

2025-03-17 19:01:54 UTC

Sold off the flies on my fly/cal combo. Not I'm left with just calendars. Keeping these on a short leash. The other trades are holding up better.
https://soapbox.midwaytrades.com/media/27215e5c-3a52-4dc4-bdfe-1f8b8221f18c/1024_adj2.png

2025-03-17 14:51:24 UTC

I rolled the shorts of my calendar turned diagonal back to make it a simple calendar again.
https://soapbox.midwaytrades.com/media/ac455f88-a3ee-47fe-91d0-1e154cedf02b/1022_adj2.png

2025-03-11 02:40:45 UTC

My latest trade review video is up on BitChute and Rumble
So we have some real volatility which we haven't seen in a while so in this episode you'll see how I'm navigating some big moves and still managing to eek out some profits. It's important as a trader to be able to trade different types of markets so this has some good lessons for me and, hopefully, for you as well.
https://www.bitchute.com/video/sSziajPerxug/
https://rumble.com/v6qgdg0-twmt-week-ending-march-7-2025-this-is-what-high-volatility-is-like.html

2025-03-02 16:34:55 UTC

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Jeffries is Obama without the charisma. Dems made him House leader to appease the left but Pelosi is still running the party over there.