Macro Intuitions

Ideas about possible scenarios evolving in Global Markets and Economy.

Not financial advices, a bit of astrology for man mixed with intuitions that I don't trade.. but I should have often.

#economy #macro #charts #geopolitics #finance

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Last Notes

2026-04-02 11:41:19 UTC

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UPDATE: the 10yr followed the line and corrected to then raising straight up after Trump's speech while the 2yr first acted in time differently while still touching key points.
Both signalling tension raises as soon as Trump's speak as instead of giving clarity it does create uncertainty as none can predict his next move.. markets don't like that.
https://i.nostr.build/YkK4uCHHoEMij3WN.png
https://i.nostr.build/oIUiay5akCeZu3sv.png
I still see a tranding range going into the end of week.. after that will try to see to imagine a scenario for rest of weeks and month ahead.
#macro #economy #bonds #charts #finance

2026-04-02 11:34:49 UTC

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Forgot to add this.. https://i.nostr.build/iuhLnMB8Jy6Y7tqp.png

2026-04-02 11:32:10 UTC

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UPDATE: less than a day and 95$ was about to get tested, it went as I thought sharpply down to 96.5 approaching low levels when.. #Trump have his speech and.. Kabum! 😂 So I would say this short term #stoopidline worked ✅
We are back in the prior high range, still following the long trend scenario I draw some days ago. I still don't see prices to break 120 and stay over there. https://i.nostr.build/EZAsPEB3Ia1Np56O.png
#macro #oil #economy #chart

2026-03-31 13:46:39 UTC

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Oh that's so cool! So this must be sooo interesting times for you with all this fuss about oil 😅😅🤣
I do come from completely different sectors (sport/tv/hospitality) but since found and studied bitcoin.. well you know how it goes, rabbit holes after rabbit holes. No end..

2026-03-31 13:31:20 UTC

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Thank you!! I made this alternative npub so people that aren't interested in charts and economic stuff don't get bothered ahaha
I appreciate the follows 🫂
P.s. I am not financial litterate in any sort, my ideas do come from only by watching charts in the last 5+ years.

2026-03-31 13:29:33 UTC

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I don't think is absurd to see over 100k already this year. Over 95k the sentiment would completely change and FOMO will kick for many so.. ATH absolutely possible this year towards the end.
If I would have to bet.. I would say In October we are over 90k already.

2026-03-31 13:27:09 UTC

#GOLD looks still weak IMO.. I do see another leg down to liquidate last bunch of retailers speculators that bought the top in last months.
Of course I draw a line for next days going into first week of April.. https://i.nostr.build/ULj3FXS86wn7lbol.png
#macro #economy #chart #finance

2026-03-31 11:42:02 UTC

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@nprofile…wf9r here it is..
#nevent1q…p3ls

2026-03-31 11:41:42 UTC

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Thanks sir 🫡

2026-03-31 11:40:20 UTC

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I see, thanks for this info, makes a lot of sense. Before the Iran war started I assumed it was about to happen something because of how Oil price moved towards and then broke that 65$ per barrel level.
Will try to find the note and post down here..

2026-03-30 12:00:33 UTC

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Yeah I agree with you, I used the 15 mins to draw a shorter term line 😜.
Anyway the bullish divergence with RSI I was looking for you can spot it also on the 4hr, nice bounce, and yes now 69(420😜) is key.
On daily looks very nice also.. few.

2026-03-30 08:29:27 UTC

Bonds are signalling something all over the world..
https://youtu.be/2Ewg77MzHEg
#nevent1q…g9ue

2026-03-30 08:10:33 UTC

Well I guess this aged very well..
https://i.nostr.build/SfT5i1W55iMgZOy7.png
#bitcoin #chart #economy #macro
#nevent1q…4qrd

2026-03-30 08:09:12 UTC

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Stoopid lines did it.. 👀
https://i.nostr.build/SfT5i1W55iMgZOy7.png

2026-03-30 05:15:44 UTC

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Covid low were made because completely block of the world and stop of comsume and so oil demand.
To see something like it basically you are calling a depression, not even a recession.
Could be, but I don't see that yet.. they'll not allow and print first otherwise people would revolt.

2026-03-30 00:51:03 UTC

https://youtu.be/yIpipJl9zqs
#oil #macro #economy
#nevent1q…3vfl

2026-03-29 23:12:20 UTC

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Even if retreat, to re-establish production levels and delivery it will take months.
Price will still stay high for months, oil stable under 75$ would be the signal things are going better.
.. Do gas.

2026-03-29 23:09:16 UTC

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@nprofile…3acz

2026-03-29 23:08:51 UTC

Yeah.. exactly something like this. This rebound is what I imagined but now let's see how it develops.
https://i.nostr.build/eiJc2WE3D1erGjLZ.png
#bitcoin #chart #economy #macro
#nevent1q…tlu7

2026-03-29 11:49:32 UTC

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Can look very nice IMO, I would like to see price under the last 65k low with a higher RSI..

2026-03-28 07:33:08 UTC

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Not an expert in oil but I read the costs for oil production went drastically down over the last ten years and already a price of 55$ per gallon was expensive enough to make some profit for middle east region's producers.

2026-03-28 01:00:04 UTC

Oil is unpredictable now but just let's say it isn't and I had to draw how the chart would look like in some weeks. https://i.nostr.build/fSFPtzHnkrKICgZS.png
https://i.nostr.build/Rc9ULUuuvQA3oHGG.png
You can see the important levels:
<75$ all good you can chill everything is gonna be alright..
80/110$ it's a shit situation, you can't do nothing anyway so touch grass enjoy family and friends.
>120$ buckle up, hopefully you stored some ammo and guns, also you know how to light a fire with wood sticks..
#macro #oil #economy #charts

2026-03-28 00:50:05 UTC

I do see oil staying at high level for more weeks, so between 85/95$ as average fpr all summer.
Gold took a big hit because of war but mostly since it was overextend and almost up only for months.
Probably now gold is in the lows, and Oil at 100$ is in the high range (unless really big shits happen).
https://i.nostr.build/XUXxQXaB5p724vTI.png
#macro #economy #gold #oil #charts
#nevent1q…52df

2026-03-27 18:14:57 UTC

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This could be that, the reason to understand is why they are, and if it just one or more, and I believe is more.
Markets are mispricing a raise of inflation because of oil, but usually that leads to deflation and recession period. Some are pricing rate hikes by the FED, but that's stupid IMO, they can't absolutely raise them.
Yeald curve control ia what they'll do..

2026-03-27 17:59:01 UTC

UPDATE: USD/JPY just breaking fundamental resistance.. in Japan things are about to crash, because of oil shortages in Asian markets very likely.
https://i.nostr.build/ZPcnATnqok06zPXi.png
#macro #economy #dollar #yen #charts
#nevent1q…w5r3

2026-03-27 15:36:17 UTC

#Nostr will have nice charts soon too.. 📉📈
https://i.nostr.build/nPLV9MYbWf6mRa9G.jpg https://i.nostr.build/aDmy4D9dvqLutmpV.jpg https://i.nostr.build/drhWnbphaqydMlBb.jpg
#growNostr #charts #analytics #trends

2026-03-27 12:58:46 UTC

Now at 45.83..
Unfortunately I deleted somehow that line, maybe should draw a new one.. #nevent1q…upkh #stoopidlines

2026-03-27 12:15:48 UTC

Something markets will not like and will be a catalyst is DXY breaking and stabilizing over 100.
Draw a line for this scenario unwinding in the next weeks.. https://i.nostr.build/114lI7QVtFUAwrgk.png https://i.nostr.build/dRPp0VRtuIl2jQud.png
#DXY #macro #economy #dollar

2026-03-27 11:50:43 UTC

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Absolutely True.. just think that since this article was built the National US debt grew up to 39T, very close to 40Trillion.. not sustainable.
They can just devalue the debt, devaluing the money purchasing power, inflating the currency, printing more money (debt).
Debt spyral..

2026-03-27 11:30:50 UTC

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Looks like it..
#nevent1q…g9ue

2026-03-27 10:50:19 UTC

US BOND Market is signaling high level of tension.. key points in the 2Yr and 10Yr ..
https://i.nostr.build/myXZgQH3wvDqg8pG.png https://i.nostr.build/fCLdAqgR03xjfTkH.png
#macro #economy #chart #bonds #finance

2026-03-27 10:29:46 UTC

👀.. #nevent1q…fseu

2026-03-27 10:24:36 UTC

👀.. #nevent1q…uudf

2026-03-27 10:23:50 UTC

Before Silver squeeze 👀.. #nevent1q…4dyv

2026-03-27 10:21:29 UTC

👀.. #nevent1q…kz36

2026-03-27 10:20:50 UTC

👀.. #nevent1q…f7gp

2026-03-27 10:19:11 UTC

👀.. #nevent1q…x80h

2026-03-27 10:17:47 UTC

👀.. #nevent1q…fyw8

2026-03-27 10:16:28 UTC

👀.. #nevent1q…ml6k