Droppie [infosec] 🐨♀:archlinux: :kde: :firefox_nightly: :thunderbird:🦘:vegan:

21/10/23: Many prior Masto Instances [1st = 10Nov2022], several alternative Fediverse non-Masto clients, & now, here's yet another fedi-hop. 😲

22/10/23: Kudos to Jerry 🦙💝🦙 (npub1vtx…e7wk) who kindly provided all my fav #FOSS #emojis licketty-split:
:linux: :archlinux: :kde: :plasma: :firefox_nightly: :zenbrowser: :floorp: :vivaldi_gray: :vivaldi_browser: :thunderbird: :fedora: :opensuse: :debian:

13/11/24: On any given day, I'll be fediversing-about either in Friendica (msdropbear42@anonsys.net) or Mastodon (MsDropbear425@infosec.exchange). My `aus.social` & `libranet.de` [Masto & Friendica] accounts remain alive, but dormant til further notice.

👍: Classic Oz+Eng lit, sci-fi, fantasy, comedy, satire; Linux+FOSS; Kindness; Gaia.

👎: Cruelty; RWNJs; Anti-Gaia.

Stuff:
- She/Her
- Straya born, Thailand reborn
- Linux+FOSS distracts my sadness
- Posts 🔥@ 3mths
- For Follow-Requests, you MUST have Profile & Public posts, or i'll Reject!

Comedy 🤣: TheGoons, MontyPython, RippingYarns, HHGTTG.
Political 💜: Left, Greens, Gaia, Peace, AntiCapitalist, SocialEquity.
FOSS 💻: :linux: :archlinux: :kde: :plasma: :zenbrowser: :floorp: :firefox_nightly: :vivaldi_gray: :vivaldi_browser: :thunderbird: :fedora: :opensuse: :debian:
Psychopathy 💀: Depression, Social-Phobia, Despair, Fear, Misanthropy.
Philosophy 🤔: Atheism, Veganism, LGBTQI, PostOpTrans.
Otherwise 🌐: 🇦🇺 🦘♀🌈

Public Key

npub1fa8dg8kn8fu5vup03f08fkt6xtgz63vrysxm4lhuwhgmt7cr7y4su0z3ar

NIP-05 Address

msdropbear425_at_infosec.exchange@momostr.pink

Profile Code

nprofile1qqsy7nk5rmfn572xwqhc5hn5m9ar95pdgkpjgrd6lm78t5d4lvplz2cprpmhxue69uhhyetvv9ujumt0d4hhxarj9ecxjmntn5acps

Publishing to

relay.momostr.pink

Author Public Key

npub1fa8dg8kn8fu5vup03f08fkt6xtgz63vrysxm4lhuwhgmt7cr7y4su0z3ar

Show more details

Published at

2026-03-22T17:51:26Z

Kind type

0 Metadata

Event JSON

{ "id": "e8c63f2037a976c8851a09feb3d686c44b45db2e49085f6b822b5241ced626bd", "pubkey": "4f4ed41ed33a7946702f8a5e74d97a32d02d4583240dbafefc75d1b5fb03f12b", "created_at": 1774201886, "kind": 0, "tags": [ [ "emoji", "linux", "https://media.infosec.exchange/infosec.exchange/custom_emojis/images/000/029/265/original/fbec331e8b1b3104.png" ], [ "emoji", "archlinux", "https://media.infosec.exchange/infosec.exchange/custom_emojis/images/000/029/059/original/e9a4ce16ce0a88eb.png" ], [ "emoji", "kde", "https://media.infosec.exchange/infosec.exchange/custom_emojis/images/000/029/261/original/ee358de515a6b85e.png" ], [ "emoji", "plasma", "https://media.infosec.exchange/infosec.exchange/custom_emojis/images/000/335/716/original/e2229bf5d95c21b0.png" ], [ "emoji", "firefox_nightly", "https://media.infosec.exchange/infosec.exchange/custom_emojis/images/000/028/622/original/f886a293f9918538.png" ], [ "emoji", "zenbrowser", "https://media.infosec.exchange/infosec.exchange/custom_emojis/images/000/505/774/original/3dfaea432068e8cc.png" ], [ "emoji", "floorp", "https://media.infosec.exchange/infosec.exchange/custom_emojis/images/000/335/717/original/42498567b0088b2d.png" ], [ "emoji", "vivaldi_gray", "https://media.infosec.exchange/infosec.exchange/custom_emojis/images/000/335/721/original/a7a2546c0adfdbda.png" ], [ "emoji", "vivaldi_browser", "https://media.infosec.exchange/infosec.exchange/custom_emojis/images/000/335/720/original/53f18fee4ee86f6c.png" ], [ "emoji", "thunderbird", "https://media.infosec.exchange/infosec.exchange/custom_emojis/images/000/335/722/original/797f987fb1cd2b38.png" ], [ "emoji", "fedora", "https://media.infosec.exchange/infosec.exchange/custom_emojis/images/000/028/624/original/b25e25936238e237.png" ], [ "emoji", "opensuse", "https://media.infosec.exchange/infosec.exchange/custom_emojis/images/000/029/277/original/ffd36daecabf6d24.png" ], [ "emoji", "debian", "https://media.infosec.exchange/infosec.exchange/custom_emojis/images/000/028/617/original/dc22044a94e68d4a.png" ], [ "emoji", "vegan", "https://media.infosec.exchange/infosec.exchange/custom_emojis/images/000/029/152/original/b447083e64777f9d.png" ], [ "t", "foss" ], [ "t", "emojis" ], [ "proxy", "https://infosec.exchange/users/MsDropbear425", "activitypub" ], [ "L", "pink.momostr" ], [ "l", "pink.momostr.activitypub:https://infosec.exchange/users/MsDropbear425", "pink.momostr" ], [ "-" ] ], "content": "{\"name\":\"Droppie [infosec] 🐨♀:archlinux: :kde: :firefox_nightly: :thunderbird:🦘:vegan:\",\"about\":\"21/10/23: Many prior Masto Instances [1st = 10Nov2022], several alternative Fediverse non-Masto clients, \u0026 now, here's yet another fedi-hop. 😲\\n\\n22/10/23: Kudos to nostr:npub1vtxnjefp3k907zuva2uncpntqks8amlz2pwxlppx5tnfwvvymxzsj2e7wk who kindly provided all my fav #FOSS #emojis licketty-split:\\n:linux: :archlinux: :kde: :plasma: :firefox_nightly: :zenbrowser: :floorp: :vivaldi_gray: :vivaldi_browser: :thunderbird: :fedora: :opensuse: :debian: \\n\\n13/11/24: On any given day, I'll be fediversing-about either in Friendica (msdropbear42@anonsys.net) or Mastodon (MsDropbear425@infosec.exchange). My `aus.social` \u0026 `libranet.de` [Masto \u0026 Friendica] accounts remain alive, but dormant til further notice. \\n\\n👍: Classic Oz+Eng lit, sci-fi, fantasy, comedy, satire; Linux+FOSS; Kindness; Gaia.\\n\\n👎: Cruelty; RWNJs; Anti-Gaia.\\n\\nStuff:\\n- She/Her\\n- Straya born, Thailand reborn\\n- Linux+FOSS distracts my sadness\\n- Posts 🔥@ 3mths\\n- For Follow-Requests, you MUST have Profile \u0026 Public posts, or i'll Reject!\\n\\nComedy 🤣: TheGoons, MontyPython, RippingYarns, HHGTTG.\\nPolitical 💜: Left, Greens, Gaia, Peace, AntiCapitalist, SocialEquity.\\nFOSS 💻: :linux: :archlinux: :kde: :plasma: :zenbrowser: :floorp: :firefox_nightly: :vivaldi_gray: :vivaldi_browser: :thunderbird: :fedora: :opensuse: :debian:\\nPsychopathy 💀: Depression, Social-Phobia, Despair, Fear, Misanthropy.\\nPhilosophy 🤔: Atheism, Veganism, LGBTQI, PostOpTrans.\\nOtherwise 🌐: 🇦🇺 🦘♀🌈\\n\",\"website\":\"https://infosec.exchange/@MsDropbear425\",\"picture\":\"https://media.infosec.exchange/infosec.exchange/accounts/avatars/111/272/990/909/333/756/original/50643d02e86ac688.jpeg\",\"banner\":\"https://media.infosec.exchange/infosec.exchange/accounts/headers/111/272/990/909/333/756/original/7d19785ab710f300.png\",\"nip05\":\"msdropbear425_at_infosec.exchange@momostr.pink\"}", "sig": "ccd70467afb0858133f05151ec143fe6cd22fb85a9a3ad363047b99fdc6679e2fab7d3c3fe0120596ab692d9aa3e2cf611444b67e24fd233c77adef240b0ab53" }

Last Notes

2024-12-06 08:13:58 UTC

#ABC #7pm #News same as website during day, telling the #Woolies story entirely from Woolies' perspective, farmers' perspective, shoppers' perspective, but not actually bothering to explain the core IR & OH&S issues at the heart of it. Honestly it's such irresponsible reporting.

2024-12-06 04:34:20 UTC

https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/8839316/rattenbury-takes-aim-at-canberra-barristers-over-rape-myths-comments/Quote
The ACT Bar Association's concern that sexual assault trial juries are perceived to be getting it wrong as a result of rape myths is "utter nonsense", a former attorney-general says.
Shane Rattenbury also rejected the ACT Bar Association's suggestion that hypothesising about why juries may not believe sexual assault complainants did not advance the ...1/12

2024-12-05 02:14:25 UTC

- reply

*Get them to a nunnery, um, cattery*.

2024-12-05 01:44:27 UTC

What are our French cousins doing? 😲 🤯🤷‍♀️
#FrenchPol

2024-12-05 00:24:35 UTC

Each time i see a post / toot with hashtag NSFW i almost always initially misread it as NSW, & then form a somewhat inaccurate anticipation of the content i'm about to see.

2024-12-04 10:55:55 UTC

- reply

https://invidious.nerdvpn.de/watch?v=pJAjb2GYHIM

2024-12-04 10:08:02 UTC

- reply

New C-cells!

2024-12-03 23:21:18 UTC

- reply

Oh do wipe that smug grin orf yer dial! 😜

2024-12-03 12:17:48 UTC

Childhood punishment in the early to mid 60s... being told to stand in the corner of one's bedroom, til later told one could come out again.<li>was that a broader thing, or just in my family?</li><li>thinking back on it now, i marvel that i neither thought to refuse, nor to at least stand facing out of the corner rather than into it [ie, basically nose more or less in the right-angle]</li>
What an idiot i must have been 🙄🤦‍♀️

2024-12-03 10:27:29 UTC

- reply

It's a very very big branch, so once they disentangle it from the rest of the tree, i expect it's gonna take hours to chop it up then feed it thru their shredder. Atm it's the only quote received, hopefully another tomorrow, by which time i'll begin to get a feel for whether this is the right ballpark, or a ripoff.

2024-12-03 08:49:46 UTC

- reply

...which prolly also means that *you* need GB to retire asap 🤭

2024-12-03 08:45:51 UTC

- reply

Now that you're a celebrity, can we all pls have your autograph?

2024-12-03 08:11:58 UTC

- reply

Bloody NSW Aunty News hasn't shown it. Sigh.

2024-12-03 07:12:19 UTC

- reply

First quote received; $1K + gst. OMZ.
#rooftreegate

2024-12-03 07:07:27 UTC

- reply

Oh wunnerful! I'd like to try it. Purely in the interests of scientific experimental data collection. Natch.

2024-12-03 06:50:18 UTC

- reply

See my other toot.

2024-12-03 06:47:47 UTC

- reply

Yes! As i looked further, it got weirder. <li>whiskey = Irish & Merkan</li><li>whisky = Scotland & England</li>
What about the Welsh?

2024-12-03 06:41:14 UTC

- reply

I am devastated. I have just discovered that for decades i've been using the Merkan spelling, *whiskey*, instead of the Pommie one, *whisky*. Now i need a stiff... cordial.

2024-12-03 06:34:24 UTC

- reply

Less whiskey.

2024-12-03 06:07:16 UTC

- reply

Too right, we deserve a massive pay rise. 🤪

2024-12-03 06:05:03 UTC

- reply

Permission granted. Twas such a long haul, & your fedi-friends bore witness to part of your dedicated hard yakka.

2024-12-03 06:01:22 UTC

- reply

Must feel great; onya!

2024-12-03 05:59:29 UTC

- reply

Persisted, sent three emails, two peeps have called back & convos ensued, so far i haven't exploded or melted-down. Explained to both that i prefer not in-person dealings, both seemed unfazed & happy to cooperate. So far, so tentatively ok...
#rooftreegate

2024-12-03 03:39:14 UTC

- reply

🎉 🥳 👯‍♀️
Undoubtedly a happy time for all the hardworking true believers.

2024-12-03 00:34:11 UTC

- reply

After days of sticking my head in the sand coz it's all too hard, i've now made a stumbling start on browserising my way to a shortlist of potential local #arborists / #treepeeps. Not triffic so far.<li>one mob looks ok, & their site includes their <a href="https://infosec.exchange/tags/ABN" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#ABN</a>, & that checks out at both <a href="https://abr.business.gov.au/ABN" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no">https://abr.business.gov.au/ABN</a> and <a href="https://connectonline.asic.gov.au/RegistrySearch" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no">https://connectonline.asic.gov.au/RegistrySearch</a></li><li>one mob looks ok, but their site includes no <a href="https://infosec.exchange/tags/ABN" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#ABN</a>, which i thought was illegal since mega-yonks?</li><li>one mob looks ok, & their site includes their <a href="https://infosec.exchange/tags/ABN" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#ABN</a>, but on both <a href="https://abr.business.gov.au/ABN" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no">https://abr.business.gov.au/ABN</a> and <a href="https://connectonline.asic.gov.au/RegistrySearch" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no">https://connectonline.asic.gov.au/RegistrySearch</a> a totes different registered business shows, albeit located at the right postcode, so 😲 🤯🤷‍♀️</li>
Tempted to stick my head back into the sand.
#rooftreegate

2024-12-02 09:09:49 UTC

Just back at pooter after a spell in kitchen chopping & cutting & stirring my stuff for dindins. Had ABC News Radio on during it. As usual, during the finance reports [whose very existence on radio & tv i decry as utterly pointless] the tone, adjectives, & attitudes of the various reporters, & their pet talking heads, were that the apparent "softening" of the housing market atm, & apparent guesstimates that it'll continue for a little while longer, implied this is Bad News, & a Bad Thing.
Fsck
me
dead
!
Apart from religion, & patriarchy, & violence, & bigotry, & aqueducts the sanitation, the medicine, education, wine, public order, irrigation, roads, a fresh water system, and public health, the advent of housing as investments not public good is one of the most heinously unethical acts.
#AusPol #Housing #HousingCrisis

2024-12-02 06:40:53 UTC

Most of the giggling i would otherwise have done whilst reading another triffic FDotM piece, was stifled by the unavoidable tragedy of Straya being cursed by not just one but two, count them two, shit parties. Roll on next #AusPol election, vote #Greens and #ProgIndies.
https://aus.social/@firstdogonthemoon/113581834196755933

2024-12-02 06:32:34 UTC

- reply

No no no, the Amy Winehouse song.

2024-12-02 06:31:32 UTC

- reply

One more & it's *Rehab*

2024-12-02 06:26:23 UTC

- reply

Oh but the saga! Also, why is your book staring at me like that?

2024-12-02 03:59:55 UTC

> Addressing this health challenge is vital to getting many people back participating fully in their lives.
https://www.crikey.com.au/2024/12/02/long-covid-symptoms-viruses-health-labour-australia/Quote
Among the current generation of kids, many are growing up with their mother or father confined to bed or confined to bed themselves. According to a study by ANU, long COVID is hitting up to an estimated 20% of Australians three months after they contracted COVID — mostly women, but also men and children. In the current COVID wave, that means a lot of people coming down sick for a long time.
Long COVID is keeping people from their jobs and their lives, and as COVID cases continue, it is unclear whether the rate of new long COVID cases is increasing faster than the old cases recover.
The result of infection is lasting symptoms. The result of lasting symptoms: suffering. As the report of the committee into long COVID says, long COVID causes “lost earnings, impacts on household finances, and, in some cases, an inability to work or to extend care to family members including children”.
The effect can be seen clearly in the US where disability has risen very quickly since 2020 amid low vaccination rates and rampant infectious spread.
The pattern is less visible in Australian data, as the next chart shows. Here, the share of people claiming to be unable to work thanks to disability is affected a lot by changes in the relative rates of the JobSeeker payment and the disability support pension.
But we see a general uptrend in people who are unable to work because of disability, which is not what we would expect in a time of low unemployment. The signal is particularly strong in people aged 35-44 — prime working years.
A recent study published in The Medical Journal of Australia suggested that the cost of the lost labour from a single round of infections in 2022 would be $9.6 billion and that hundreds of thousands of Australians would be affected.
We need to be clear about what long COVID is and how long it lasts. The disease is under-researched and the clinical course is still being discovered as time passes, but it is possible to say the following.
We can divide long COVID into a few groups. There are people with damaged lungs from serious disease and people with lingering coughs; that’s one group. Then there are people whose sense of smell takes a while to come back. That’s another group.
Then there’s the most important group: the group with mysterious lingering symptoms, even if they didn’t have a bad case of COVID in the first place. This is the group that’s been a mystery to science, and the group where we find people who don’t recover.
This group overlaps with the disease known as chronic fatigue syndrome (CFS), aka myalgic encephalomyelitis (ME): a mysterious post-infection condition that debilitates people — mostly women — and produces symptoms in a range of areas; neurological, blood pressure, pain, immune system, etc.
How common is long COVID? Well, there are all sorts of estimates, ranging from 0.09% to one in five, according to the NSW Agency for Clinical Innovation. It depends in part on how you define long COVID and when you ask about symptoms. If a cough four weeks after infection onset counts, long COVID is common; if you need to be severely debilitated 12 months later, long COVID is less common.
What seems to be true is that many people get better. Online forums devoted to long COVID are full of recovery stories — some spontaneous, others attributed to various actions the person took. Science is silent on what might lead to recovery, although many trials are underway.
Those same forums are also full of the stories of people who have not gotten better, and many who have gotten worse over time. The odds of spontaneous recovery for a person seem to worsen as their illness progresses. Many people have long COVID for less than six months, some for a year, some for a few years, and an unlucky group keep suffering for a longer time.
Obviously there are no cases of long COVID in the world that have lasted more than five years: five years ago the virus was almost exclusively infecting pangolins, or maybe bats. But the history of ME/CFS suggests that some people can be sick for decades.
Long COVID was most commonly caused by the delta virus. The more recent omicron virus can still cause long COVID, but does so less often. This is consistent with the finding that less severe illness is less likely to cause long COVID. Vaccination also appears to reduce the odds of getting long COVID.
The Burnet Institute is one of the leading Australian organisations studying long COVID. Its recent study argues that long COVID is caused by viruses persisting in the body. This is one of the two basic theories, the other being the “hit-and-run” theory, where the virus is gone but some key system, probably immunological in nature, is disturbed.
The Burnet Institute’s argument of viral persistence has some support. A French team has recently teased some brand new findings — as yet unpublished — saying they know where the virus has been hiding. The research group, from the French National Centre for Scientific Research, have found SARS-nCov-2 hiding in a special type of immune cell called megakaryocytes. These cells produce the little clotting factors in blood called platelets and — the French team says — can seed the virus into the platelets. If that leads to problems with blood flow, it could explain many of the problems in long COVID, including fatigue and brain fog.
There’s certainly precedent for a virus to hang around in immune cells after an acute infection. That’s what the human immune virus (HIV) does, infecting T-cells. It causes an even more dangerous post-infectious immune condition, known as AIDS, which is fatal if the infection is not kept in check by anti-viral drugs.
The big difference between long COVID and AIDS is that long COVID is not infectious after the acute infection. In that sense, the post-infectious period is more akin to the situation with polio where after an acute illness, a small proportion of sufferers go on to experience long-lasting symptoms. In the case of polio, the virus attacks nerves, causing post-polio syndrome.
The idea that infections can cause illness after their acute phase has been unfashionable until recently. While HIV/AIDS is well-understood, it has been considered an unusual case. People were thought to beat infections and move on. That way of thinking is being upturned by some large and powerful studies into the causes of chronic disease.
Several other viruses also seem to be implicated in the emergence of “other” diseases. Human papillomavirus is an obvious trigger for the emergence of cervical cancer. Most famously, the Epstein-Barr virus was revealed as a necessary trigger for the emergence of multiple sclerosis. That revelation came from an extremely strong study of 10 million members of the US armed forces and has been revolutionary.
And of course, two Australians won the Nobel Prize for proving that stomach ulcers were caused by bacteria rather than manifested by stress.
If long COVID is shown to be caused by viral persistence, then the techniques that have fought back against viruses in other conditions could be deployed again in this condition. That would be a vital step to getting a lot of people, both children and their parents, out of a miasma of suffering and back into life.Unquote
#LongCOVID #COVID19 #health #medical #infection #pandemic #auspol

2024-12-01 08:39:12 UTC

- reply

Ah
> Regular listener to > *Democracy Sausage*
Twins!
> have been to several live recordings
You win, *grumble grumble*

2024-12-01 05:53:01 UTC

- reply

Bring back stocks in the public square.

2024-12-01 04:47:30 UTC

- reply

https://media.infosec.exchange/infosec.exchange/media_attachments/files/113/575/752/387/937/552/original/1ba7a316c1d9b56d.png

2024-12-01 03:36:24 UTC

https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/8834199/mark-kenny-labors-uncertain-path-to-2025-election-triumph
**QUOTE BEGINS**
There was an odd atmosphere on Capital Hill on the final scheduled sitting day for 2024.
A taut electric vibe tussled with a summery last-day-of-school looseness. Haggard correspondents intoned philosophic, wearily resigned to their designation as villains in the febrile digital colosseum of political combat.
With an unholy crush in the Senate - 31 bills passed on one day and 45 for the week - nervous but footloose lower house MPs killed time.
Ministers floated between offices, affecting calm in that way trial lawyers do after closing arguments when everything hangs on a curmudgeonly judge or an inscrutable jury.
The Speaker, Milton Dick, expressed his thanks to the sprawling complex's thousands of staff for keeping operational what Anthony Albanese described as "the most visited building in Australia".
And it certainly seemed "most-visited" at Aussies on Thursday morning - the roiling social hub where over three decades, Dom Calabria and his father Tony have furnished coffee and meals to stressed press gallery journos, MPs, PMs and frontbenchers, and an infinity of lobbyists and public officials.
In their ritual post-question time speeches before the summer break - a bilateral nod to civility dubbed "the hypocrisies" by one scribe - Albanese and Peter Dutton praised old Tony's 28-year stint at Aussies.
"Tony is the man who did so much to enhance the seat of democracy here," Albanese remarked warmly to his fellow "Italo-Australian" looking up to the public gallery where three generations of Calabrias watched on.
Dutton lauded the ailing 84-year-old's migrant story having emigrated at just 14. "He has worked every day since then, he has educated his children, he has provided a role model and has given that love to his family that has created a remarkable legacy," Dutton said.
In other comments, Albanese revealed that he and Dutton did not hate each other after all.
He noted that while he had visited Morrison's office only once as opposition leader (a startling factoid since the global pandemic occasioned a bipartisanship likened to wartime), Dutton had been into Albanese's prime ministerial suite, well, "more often than I'd like". Cue laughter.
Yet coursing impatiently under all this ersatz chumminess, was the existential fight to come.
Each knows that within months, one will be up, the other, finished.
Statistically, Labor is not the "natural party of government".
Since the Second World War, it has occupied the Treasury benches for just 29 years.
Nonetheless, Labor goes into next year's election comforted by electoral history and shielded by an unofficial "Swiss G]guard" of community independents.
But that historical precedent - every first-term federal government since 1932 has secured a second term - may amount to nothing in this disintermediated age of antisocial media and permanent grievance.
For the 93 years since the rookie Scullin Labor government crashed along with everything else in the Great Depression, incumbency has been a winged keel. Australian voters have tended to pick and stick, at least once. Now though, around the democratic world in 2024, the vogue is to "pick then kick".
But what about that Swiss guard of independents? Albanese's worst-case scenario is that one or all of the first-term teals lose. Another risk is that some back a Dutton executive.
Currently Labor has 78 seats to the Coalition's 58. Dutton needs a net gain of 18 seats to govern in his own right. A huge task.
Polls suggest the most likely outcome is a minority parliament. Labor could lose half a dozen seats to Dutton's Liberals and still be close enough to credibly seek crossbench commitments for supply and confidence.
But what would the teal independents do - who would they prefer to form government? The lesson from the minority Gillard period is that indies who hold conservative seats but back progressive governments face extinction themselves.
In this light,, it may be instructive to consult the AEC's "two-party preferred" exercise, in which it allocated all 151 "Reps" seats to either of the two major parties (irrespective of whether the seat actually fell to a third party).
Unsurprisingly, it shows that preferences for either of the two majors (ahead of the other) favoured the Liberals by the following percentages in teal seats: Curtin (5.4), Goldstein (4.8), Kooyong (4.1 ), Mackellar (8.6), Warringah (1.4), Wentworth (5.9).
These pro-Liberal margins may even expand in a 2025 election devoid of the unpopular Morrison.
Yet this cuts both ways. In formerly safe Labor Fowler, Dai Le (assuming she survives) would have to ignore a strong Labor proclivity in her seat to back a Dutton-led minority government.
Another outlier is Alexander Downer's erstwhile stronghold of Mayo, held by the centre-right indie Rebekah Sharkie. Her Adelaide Hills seat actually favoured Labor by 1.6 per cent in 2022.
In all three of the Queensland seats filched by the Greens in 2022, voters preferred Labor - even the two secured from the LNP, Brisbane and Ryan.
Nationally, the polls show a busy and productive Labor trailing Dutton's detail-light rhetorical assault over cost of living and immigration. The hardline Queenslander is a more effective political communicator than even his own colleagues thought when they overlooked him in 2018.
In 2025, Labor remains the narrow favourite. But its hardheads recognise that no opposition leader is unelectable, no historical precedent immutable, and no seat lead impregnable.
**QUOTE ENDS**
#AusPol #ClimateCrisis #WomensRights #ShitParty1 #ShitParty2 #FsckOffDutton #WhyIsLabor #NoNukes #VoteGreens

2024-12-01 00:40:05 UTC

- reply

[serious] Are you ok? Has something happened?

2024-11-30 23:47:42 UTC

- reply

No no no, it's no fun at all if you take that approach. Come on, play fair!

2024-11-30 23:45:11 UTC

- reply

Dead to me now. Sad.

2024-11-30 23:17:24 UTC

- reply

Aha, fair enough, a serendipitous bargain is always nice!
> installed Whatsapp, that crappy Meta thing. I loathe myself
It seems unfair that you should have to carry the weight of doing all that loathing by yourself. If you like, we can lighten your load by *also* loathing you for installing that thing. I mean, what are friends for? 😜

2024-11-30 12:43:42 UTC

- reply

Ha! How come the new phone? Old one broke, or lost/stolen, or just needed new features?

2024-11-30 12:40:18 UTC

- reply

Oh, i didn't think of that ... see, yet again i did it, idiot me... totally forget that peeps have options 🤦‍♀️

2024-11-30 12:37:39 UTC

- reply

Enjoy, see you later.

2024-11-30 12:33:33 UTC

- reply

Yeah, i hoped someone might see my toot coz i felt it was really important & should be known, discussed.

2024-11-30 12:29:22 UTC

- reply

Yeah yeah i know, but it's all like the haggling scene in Life of Brian, innit... there's a script that must be strictly followed! We each have our part to play. We're all individuals.

2024-11-30 12:27:39 UTC

- reply

Oi, wot am i 'sposed to do with this here comfy chair that just turned up, anyway?

2024-11-30 12:25:43 UTC

- reply

😆 🤣
I wasn't expecting that!

2024-11-30 12:21:55 UTC

- reply

Soz, it's so dangerous having an enquiring mind!

2024-11-30 12:20:04 UTC

- reply

I think i now have all the info i require, & there shall be no further enquiries... 🤭

2024-11-30 12:18:06 UTC

- reply

When he rolls over on his back & you tickle his tummy, does he do the leg thing?

2024-11-30 12:12:44 UTC

- reply

Seems a very unusual name for a husband, albeit i admit i'm rather unskilled in such matters, so wot would i know after all 🤷‍♀️

2024-11-30 12:08:43 UTC

- reply

Oh i had no idea that AI had been invoked there [i eschew it in all forms as a matter of principle, for good or ill]. Anyway now the defiant tone makes much more sense, since i have context, ta. Hope you sleep soundly tonight & tomorrow is less unpleasant.

2024-11-30 09:17:40 UTC

- reply

With the comforting arrival of dusk, & a fortuitous lull in the rain, i ventured out the front, got my ladder outta the garage, & slithered my way scaredily up said device to assess the scene roofside [still from ladder, not actually on roof; those days are behind me]. Afaict all tiles remain in place, & whilst i was several metres distant from the presumed impact zone [the proximity of the huge inverted branch below now blocks moving the ladder any closer], no whopping great cracks seemed apparent either. The worst i could see, i think, was an apparent bit of local damage to the metal gutterguard thingie, so i might also need to get someone to look into that for me. TL;DR: seems like it coulda been much worse, so i provisionally regard it as a bit of luck.
#rooftreegate

2024-11-30 08:33:46 UTC

So lovely, but still so sad.
https://aeon.co/videos/she-is-living-on-in-many-hearts-otto-frank-on-the-legacy-of-his-daughters-diary
> ‘She is living on in many hearts’ – Otto Frank on the legacy of his daughter’s diary
> In this 1976 clip from the long-running BBC children’s show Blue Peter, the UK presenter Valerie Singleton travels to the now-famous Amsterdam house where the teenage Anne Frank hid from Nazi persecution in a secret annex alongside seven other Jews, including her immediate family. The UK presenter Lesley Judd then interviews Anne’s father, Otto Frank, who was the only person hiding in the annex who survived the Holocaust. In conversation, he discusses how his daughter’s diary came to be, his decision to publish it, and what he learned about Anne after her death through her written words.
#AnneFrank

2024-11-30 08:11:45 UTC

- reply

Indeed, such a nuisance... & ofc frustration.
Btw, giggled at the AltText "not grey". Pffft, who would think such a thing!

2024-11-30 08:08:29 UTC

- reply

> a miserable respiratory infection nonetheless
Oh no, not again. Bugger. 🤞 🤞 🤞for rapid betterfeelingness!

2024-11-30 02:58:10 UTC

- reply

Often yes, but not so much today.
Diary Note.
> Woken early morn by incomprehensible loud noise outside / above bedroom window, seemed to last several seconds, then total silence. Lay in bed befuddled wondering wtf happened, then began to doubt it & suspected it had been only a dream. Went back to sleep. Many hours later, after shower, still puzzled, went out the front to see if anything looked amiss. OMZ, the huge old pine tree has broken a huge huge branch, high up & close to its trunk, which then seems to have hinged downwards pivotting around the splinter that was still partly attached. Judging by its size, afaict it must have hit the roof but then continued falling down past that. Now said broken branch is almost vertical upside down, resting on ground vertically & leaning against many other ok branches wrt horizontal support. What to do? It's raining. Did it damage the roof, are any tiles broken or dislodged, am i gonna have a leak? Fsck, i'm going to have to call someone to help. Who, how? Fsck.

2024-11-30 02:08:56 UTC

- reply

Stories like these are so traumatising for me to read. Continuously whilst empathising with the unjust plight of the subjects as i read, i'm also asking *"oh but what if, what if, what if... what would they do to/with me?"* Would my physical status give me an advantage over what happened to her [re what i presume to be Melissa's status] wrt how i'd be treated, or paradoxically would it somehow make it even worse? Why is there so much ignorance? Why is there so much hate? Why are so many humans just so revolting? That poor lady; it's so unfair. 😭🥺
#fsckALLreligion #FsckRWNJs #FsckChristoFacists #LGBTQIA+ #Transphobia #Homophobia #Trans #TransRightsAreHumanRights #GayRights #GayRepresentation #LesbianRepresentation #TransRepresentation #misanthropy

2024-11-30 01:44:40 UTC

- reply

On the latter anyway, i rather suspect it will involve a masterful array of florid anglo-saxon verbiage...

2024-11-30 01:30:16 UTC

- reply

That seems most insightful & apposite, afaict. There was a time when i was prepared to give him the benefit of the doubt, & assume his #CunningPlan was to lull the tories into a false sense of security before unleashing his masterstroke. Alas, now afaict he's merely given them a true sense of security, which when we contemplate their ghastliness & uselessness, reinforces the catastrophe his term seems to have been. Actually no that's a bit premature. If potato actually somehow wins next election, then yes this term will have been catastrophic. Otoh as many of us here are hoping, if next term is a labor minority with heapsa greens & prog indies, then this term whilst hugely disappointing, will be seen as an on-ramp to better things.
Or sumfink. 🤔🤷‍♀️

2024-11-29 12:17:31 UTC

- reply

I am fighting an all out battle with my bloody spellcheckers & autocarrots on that one, Jude. I want the doubles, & the bastards keep giving me red wavy underlines until i delete one. Grrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr.

2024-11-29 12:09:45 UTC

- reply

ikr. I've always been an e'er, but... go & re-read Jack's article, note he always spells it sans-e [& ditto older articles of his], which today made me flip my lid. But afaict online, both forms seem to be acceptable... tis just that for me, the e-less one looks terribly "wrong". 🤯

2024-11-29 11:58:57 UTC

judgement vs judgment.
Discuss.

2024-11-29 11:52:20 UTC

- reply

It did cross my mind that you might choose to take that inference, but i ploughed on buoyed by faith in your nobility of spirit & grace under fire. And if that load of codswallop doesn't convince you, then my Plan B is that rotten Frenchman put me up to it all against my will 🤭 😇

2024-11-29 11:42:18 UTC

- reply

Have just finished it; terribly exciting! So with that i've now seen all three theatrical film versions & the relatively recent tv film version... & now i'm itching a bit to get the novel too [iirc i only read it in highschool, back in the 13th century]. Btw, David Warner always made a ripper film villain [including literally The Ripper in at least one film (The Time Machine)].

2024-11-29 10:17:58 UTC

Tonight's streaming.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Thirty_Nine_Steps_(1978_film)

2024-11-29 08:51:42 UTC

- reply

@npub1l84…h0y2 @npub1ekm…x9qq
Okay, coming up...
Oh btw, first a whinge. Many months ago i saw someone recommend this; https://www.removepaywall.com/, but there has not been A Single Time that it has helped me. I just tried it again for this essay, & as usual i can't get it to do *anybloodything*. Does it work for you, for *anyone* reading this? 🤷‍♀️
So, just via my normal means, here's Johnny [no, wait, not redrum... i'll come in again]. 🤪Quote##
At this point, does Albo even deserve to win?A friend joked to me recently that the best news Labor has had this week was being told that I was thinking that Anthony Albanese could very well lose next year's election outright. The jibe at my forecasting record was fair comment, one I must endure - sometimes boast of - with all the fortitude I can muster.
But more important than profitless speculations about the election date and the likely outcome is whether people with a usual mind to vote Labor should do so next year - as a sort of encouragement award? Or because the alternative seems so dismal?
Does Albanese deserve re-election? Would more of the same be preferable to life under Peter Dutton? Or should Labor's seeming incapacity to break through on the cost of living, its policy timidity, and its effective abandonment of what were once seen as fundamental Labor ideas and ideals suggest that its separation from the community can only grow?
Labor struggles with some of the legacies of pragmatic decisions made even before the election. Going along with AUKUS, for example, was decided by an inner coterie of party heavies in less than 48 hours after the American, British and Australian agreement was announced. It was decided without consultation with the rest of the front bench, parliamentary caucus or the wider party. It was obviously against the party's grain, but the leaders feared, correctly, that Scott Morrison would use his coup to wedge Labor to the Coalition's advantage.
As some of his vehement Labor critics, such as Paul Keating and former foreign ministers Gareth Evans and Bob Carr have said, going along with the proposal might have been reasonable political counter tactics at the time. It would do on the understanding that it would operate until after the election when an incoming Labor government could get a full range of independent advice. Morrison had felt no obligation to brief or consult Labor. He never did on big issues.
But once Labor was elected, it doubled down on AUKUS, without ever explaining its thinking processes. It hasn't yet. It has appeared in the outcome more servile, more anxious to please and be flattered and more careless of Australian sovereignty than ever it had suggested in its pre-election indications. Perhaps that was because the background and instincts of Albanese and Richard Marles were never steeped in the area. Albanese and Marles may be good factional players, but neither is much respected as a policy wonk, let alone an intellectual or strategist. All it seems to have cost the Yanks was a little tummy tickling and some golf games. Not since Alaska has the US won a nation so cheaply.
British and American defence industry can rival Australia in delays, cost overruns and incompetent management. They, unlike Australia, can, in any event, abrogate the deal at will. No one knows how Albanese can insist the arrangements do not compromise Australian sovereignty. It's not clear to Keating, Carr, and Evans and independent commentators. Adding to those doubts is the government's failure to engage in any public consultation, or debate about what is really involved.
All of these considerations, and more, apply to the way that Australia has been a largely uncritical supporter of the US and Israel over the reduction of Gaza and the invasion of Lebanon. Labor mostly sings the Israel song, if with token gestures of concern for Palestinian victims, including 18,000 children. In more recent times, Australian Foreign Minister Penny Wong has made verbal gestures and tepid criticisms suggesting a more even-handed approach, but has satisfied no one. Albanese and Wong were once fiercely in support of Palestinian rights. Albanese, in particular, seems to have swallowed whole the idea that any criticism of Israel or Zionism represents full-blown anti-Semitism. Labor's significant shift towards Israel has not been a "pragmatic" response to political defence or intelligence judgments about Australia's needs and national interests, or international human rights considerations. In line with what seems a general strategy of secrecy, and resistance to public discussion and debate, Labor has failed to confide in the public, to consult, to listen or to explain.
Labor has long had a bad conscience on respecting the human rights of asylum seekers. It became a "pragmatic" supporter of (convert to) Liberal Party policy after it was thought to be successful. It came to think, even (through Kevin Rudd) pioneer, the belief that "boat people" had to be treated by Home Affairs officials with conscious and implacable cruelty and given no hope of achieving asylum in Australia. This was on the practical ground that this, and boat turn-backs, cut the traffic (if not the problems of people escaping war and civil disaster). No one in Labor could think of an alternative policy that would not be monstered by the Coalition happy to demonise refugees. This week Labor took legislative and PR initiative in "toughening" up its powers to deal with unauthorised non-citizens. It is trying again to get around successive High Court judgements which have frustrated the capacity to detain indefinitely without trial, or without manacles.
Again, in terror of being wedged, Labor has sought to implement significant cuts in the immigration intake, particularly by restricting numbers of international students. This has been in response to a Dutton suggestion that housing problems have been aggravated by student demand. In fact, the international education industry earns Australia $30 billion a year, and student accommodation, even in the cities, is not a significant part of the housing problem. Albanese, in short, is shooting the nation in the foot by pandering to whipped-up anti-immigration sentiment without making any contribution to the resolution of the problem. He won't defend the policy because he knows it's an uphill fight. So, he surrenders in advance.
Actually, a resolution of housing shortfalls by 2030 would involve allowing migration by at least 50,000 more building tradespeople beyond those Australia could train from within its own population over that period. The houses will not build themselves, and while there are workforce and supply problems, subsidising rents, giving grants to first-home buyers, announcing new subdivisions and "announceables" will only drive up house prices. Which may well suit some Labor constituencies, already housed, who do not want to see the value of their houses decline.
It is, of course, deplorable and despicable that Dutton and many Coalition figures are helping to create and pander to anti-immigration feeling. It is worse that many will feel encouraged in this by the success of such political strategies in the US and Europe in recent times. But this does not excuse the Albanese government's pre-emptive buckle to such sentiment, its general terror of political criticism from anyone apart from the Greens. Or its failure to enter into the public square to promote and defend sound policies. This is a government, in short, that lacks guts.
It also lacks imagination. And it won't take political risks. It has a habit of leaving others out to dry the moment any brave or pioneering new "initiative" causes a negative reaction. Once within sight of the enemy, or a headline in The Australian, one sees general panic and retreat.
Even on social policy, including gambling law restrictions, Albanese has been a catastrophe and has seemed a pawn of the lobbies that have traditionally "owned" Labor. Like most of the media policies of its communications minister, tough-sounding social media laws are a PR construct, rushed into Parliament but not intended to do anything for at least a year.
It has reached the point where skilled opponents can play Albanese himself, and various other Labor bedwetters off a break. Almost anything the highly professional Labor machine does to try to counter this - especially pandering to mining companies and giving favoured treatment to their sternest critics The Australian and other organs of News Ltd - aggravates the perception problems. Its loyalty to its traditional enemies is never reciprocated.
Equally despicable is the way that Labor makes no-go zones of policy areas where it has suffered humiliating defeat, usually by own goals. There could be no better example than Indigenous affairs, once the highest priority of Albanese, now an area of policy and program paralysis after the decisive defeat of the Voice referendum last year. It is no coincidence the principle to which Albanese was committed - the idea that those made subject to Indigenous policy ought to have a right to be consulted and heard - has been, all along, the most serious deficiency of his style of government. Most significant policy and program failures have been inevitable consequences of his compulsive secrecy, suspicion of players not inside the big lobbies, and his exclusion of the public, and even the party, from consultative processes. (Oddly, however, members of the big lobbies, including many who pretend Albanese is a "good mate", regard him as a pushover - even as groups that have been pro-Labor or of the party itself find themselves treated with hostility, indifference, wariness, scepticism and distrust.)
The Albanese style depends on the fact the party has long ceased to have any form of grass-roots structure or governance. Or any pretence of participation in its counsels by anyone other than full-time party professionals, the greater majority of whom, including Albanese, have never worked outside organisations affiliated with the party, nor got their fingernails dirty. Max Kiefel, writing of the US Democrats in The Baffler this week might have been talking of Albanese Labor when he commented that the party never seemed to show they believed working class people deserve agency, a right to exercise control over the social and economic conditions that shape their lives, or that they had valuable wisdom the party itself could learn from.
1/2Unquote

2024-11-29 03:01:18 UTC

- reply

I've just read it, & yes as usual Jack's pretty spot on. Sigh.
I shan't post the full text yet; i'll wait a while to see if anyone later responds to your OP & mentions not being able to access it.

2024-11-29 02:51:42 UTC

- reply

Ofc, but i meant... should i post it?

2024-11-29 02:50:08 UTC

- reply

Um, should i?

2024-11-28 23:28:08 UTC

- reply

Goodness me! I think we all need to take a breath & calm down. Devils? Witches? Let's recap the facts we do know, rather than all these scurrilous accusations...
I'm but a poor misunderstood dropbear, placidly sitting atop her gum tree, benignly awaiting the odd Merkan tourist to wander by below, to unleash the *festival of the fanging*.
Anything beyond that is just baseless fantasy... *Shirley?*

2024-11-28 22:51:41 UTC

- reply

What do you mean, *"supposed"*?
🤷‍♀️ 🤭 😇

2024-11-28 22:32:47 UTC

- reply

Haha, melikes; well spotted [but it was unintentional by me, alas]!

2024-11-28 22:17:16 UTC

- reply

Blimey, wot a stitch up job! 😢
You know, it's at times like this, when I'm trapped in a thread with a man from France, and three *Witches of the Fediverse*, that I really wish I'd listened to what my mother told me when I was young. 🤷‍♀️🐳🌻

2024-11-28 13:05:44 UTC

- reply

Oooh, ooooohhh, just wait til they hear the mean nasty things you're saying about them! 🤭

2024-11-28 12:56:12 UTC

- reply

Passing on an urgent message from Chery, Susan, & Jude; they all said that you're a big green meanie! You'd best take it up with them; it ain't nothing to do with me. 😇

2024-11-28 12:43:31 UTC

- reply

Aw, but... sigh. Cold cruel world.
😆 🤣 😈

2024-11-28 12:34:57 UTC

- reply

Et tu, Brute? 😢 😭💔

2024-11-28 09:10:53 UTC

- reply

It's a fair cop guv ... society ... doity rats ... et al.

2024-11-28 09:06:50 UTC

- reply

Jude says you're both terribly mean.

2024-11-28 08:58:04 UTC

- reply

Honestly i do wish you two would sort out this terrible spat & leave me out of it.
😇🤭

2024-11-28 08:56:50 UTC

- reply

Chery asked me to tell you that's a load of old cobblers.

2024-11-28 07:47:10 UTC

- reply

She also asked me to tell you that nobody likes a gloater.

2024-11-28 07:42:46 UTC

- reply

Susan asked me to tell you that you're a terrible chicken for not using the contraction & letting the apostrophes fall where they might... 🤷‍♀️ 🤭 😇
> sentence it is correcting

2024-11-28 04:48:10 UTC

- reply

s'nort, S'hirley?

2024-11-28 03:58:06 UTC

- reply

💯✅👍
I did not vote for them, having [per many old posts, sorry, just giving context] written them off as shit back in the 80s. Nonetheless even i have been surprised at their evolved levels of shyteness this term. Genuinely awful policy decisions, & gaspingly incompetent politicking to go with it.
#AusPol #VoteGreens #ProgIndies #WhyIsLabor #FsckOffDutton #ClimateCrisis #WeAreTotallyFscked

2024-11-28 01:12:24 UTC

- reply

Your morning ↥
My morning: drank coffee, sat at pooter.
You win. I am the weakest link.

2024-11-28 00:57:33 UTC

- reply

✅👍
⬇️
🤞 🤞 🤞
⬇️
🎉 🥳

2024-11-27 00:12:17 UTC

- reply

Ah those fun ol' days of terrorising the pearl-clutchers. Totes the pigeons-catter.

2024-11-27 00:00:19 UTC

- reply

Heehee, it just occurred to me... anyone unfamiliar with the local lingo, but entirely aware of the English convention of the initial k being silent, would be utterly bamboozled by this usage, wondering why this woman keeps exclaiming "noath". I surmise they'd also have missed one of the good jokes in *Holy Grail*...

2024-11-26 11:22:41 UTC

- reply

I'd be demanding a full refund & written apology.

2024-11-26 07:05:59 UTC

- reply

Oh no, yuck.
⇊
#whiskey

2024-11-26 07:00:14 UTC

- reply

OMZ. Sorry to say, but seems like shitful bil, ugh.

2024-11-26 05:56:42 UTC

- reply

Time to accidentally teach the phone to swim.

2024-11-26 05:54:08 UTC

https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2024/nov/26/australia-social-media-ban-expert
> Having read through the vast bulk of the publicly available written submissions, it’s clear that most experts believe this is an ill thought-through policy which lacks evidentiary basis, likely won’t work, and will have wide-ranging ramifications for every social media user in Australia
⇊
> for every social media user in Australia
Utterly untrammelled bullshit 👎
> A year from now, every Australian logging on to Facebook, Instagram or TikTok> may be confronted with a prompt that the company is requiring you to prove your age<li>F, I & T are demonstrably not all social media</li><li>not all Strayans are naive or stupid enough to use that trash</li>
As usual, cretinous pollies & inadequate journos. 🙄🤦‍♀️
#AusPol #socialmedia

2024-11-26 05:40:32 UTC

- reply

I think you'll find you prolly omitted some apostrophes there... 🤪

2024-11-26 02:20:07 UTC

Spring & summer brings extreme heat, violent thunderstorms, killer bushfires. It also brings tiny niceties unknown or unthought-of to some peeps, but much prized by others. In this heat, all the jumpers, sloppy-jos, sleeved collared shirts et al are put away, & light sleeveless sundresses or backless tops etc come back into play. That allows the ponytail direct skin access to swish across back & shoulders randomly which, as a very tactile peep, is a delightful sensation. One which i did not have even the slightest possibility of in my life, for the first ~46 years. So, minute insignificant moments like these alert me to the fact that even depressed glass-half-empty Puddleglums can acknowledge & appreciate, no matter its myriad shortcomings, the magic & good fortune of #Transition 20 years ago. Small things signify huge things.

2024-11-26 00:19:10 UTC

Question;
Has any non-Strayan actor ever pulled off a better Strayan accent than Kate Winslet in *The Dressmaker*?
Victoria Mielewska must be an absolute magician, but i doubt her magic could have worked unless KW already innately had that special *something* that allowed her to do perfect Strine.
#KateWinslet #TheDressmaker #accent #Strine

2024-11-25 11:57:00 UTC

- reply

Last night i finished a few research projects i'd been undertaking over weeks & months, so went thru my open tabs to bookmark important stuff for posterity, then close all the now unnecessary tabs... 112 reduced to 12.

2024-11-25 11:17:52 UTC

- reply

Coz the pompous prick spent 20K+ on custom bookshelves for his office, for his bespoke legal books.

2024-11-25 11:12:39 UTC

- reply

Heehee, Freudian slip...
> Gareth Evans
🤭