SpacemanSpiff

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Last Notes

2024-09-02 21:18:11

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Trudeau (Castreau version) was the first true degen to harness parliamentarianism + far left media to gain power over a G20 country despite relatively minimal popular support. If he is any indicator, UK/Germany/France/Netherlands can expect a decade+ of this.

2024-08-28 05:38:58

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Keep eating those blue pills Andrej. I hear they can be injected now.

2024-08-17 06:31:48

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I appreciated the nuance in your post.

2024-08-17 06:27:30

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Oh, I agree, the "well the dinosaurs were fine at 2500 ppm" claim is ridiculous. But equally ridiculous is the idea that 800 or 1000 ppm for a century or a millenium would definitely bring about catastrophic warming. And yeah, precautionary principle applies, but the problem with that is the precautionary side is starting like $100T in the hole in terms of annual value.

2024-08-17 06:19:37

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Good bot.

2024-08-17 06:17:11

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I mean, hyperinflation *would* accomplish all that...

2024-08-14 20:50:08

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Intetestingly, I have found that primary sources do handle assumptions and uncertainly reasonably well, buy then corporate media reports worst case scenarios without the nuance. Similar to when @nprofile…3tqm goes on podcasts and presents a nuanced economic narrative, and then the video title extracts the most sensational lines out of context. There are exceptions of course (Michael Mann should die of gonorrhea and rot in hell for example) and the politicization of the system eliminates viewpoints that don't support global socialist takeover of the economy - but I don't think the lack.of nuance on the part of climate scientists is a significant part of the problem.

2024-08-14 20:43:12

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This is largely an artifact of the fact that temperature proxies are natural low pass filters. CO2 has increased faster than this several times during volcanic outbursts. People using the contrast between smoothed archaic curves and sharp modern curves and saying this has never happened before are either disingenuous or don't understand basic data analysis. Either way, proceed with caution!

2024-08-13 18:21:16

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Next: hook up a loghtning wallet and take my sats plz.

2024-07-30 15:18:32

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You left out the part where they murdered a quarter of the population then utterly bankrupted the country by running an economy based on political favors for 3 generations. But yeah for brevity's sake I guess "lost faith" sums it up.

2024-07-30 15:15:31

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On account of all the cspitalist wreckers!

2024-07-28 16:24:40

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This is why some intelligent people are able to leverage their work ethic in great things, while some chronically underachieve. The ability to fashion a game for oneself out of an arbitrary playing field is simply not taught, and it is possibly *the* critical life skill.

2024-07-24 08:28:36

Tempting to think we are in the Commodus years. I doubt it. If we are Rome this is Sulla vs the Gracchis (Trump). A populist goes against leviathan and goes down in a blaze of glory, cementing a toxic oligarchy that leads to a populist coup a generation later.
On the other hand, if you buy that Brittania was Rome and America is Byzantium, then the 20th century looks a lot like the 6th, a geographic lob of the dying culture to a more defensible location under one last great dynasty. The dynasty is steadily chipped away over dozens of generations as bureacrats, gangsters, allies, and enemies all extract pounds of flesh from the decadent corpes until eventually, they cannot even afford the obvious new weapons to defend themselves.
I see more clear parallels in the latter.

2024-07-24 07:27:45

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I have worked for him. He is an Edison-level engineer. I've seen him make incredibly ballsy calls based wholly on arcane technical details in extremely emotional situations. Having observed for a couple decades and been in the belly of the beast for more than half that I may be biased... but I think that is what detractors miss. They assume he is Richard Branson, but he is much more like Bill Gates or Steve Jobs. You basically need to corrupt and undermine all of a society to stop that kind of force.

2024-07-23 02:12:02

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"Polling shows that our outdated 'more liberal => more conservative' axis delivers meaningless results no matter what question we ask!"

2024-07-04 08:20:27

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Say it ain't so Cal! Another hero slain.

2024-07-04 08:13:36

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Unable to create an invoice. Inbound liquidity strikes? OG post shows 264k zaps, if the mean is 1000 sats thats 2.64 bitcoin.

2024-06-22 07:39:43

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It's pretty dark but in a Mars Attacks kinda way. Enjoy the ride.

2024-05-26 01:30:38

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Big if true.

2024-05-25 15:29:43

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Nah, the bank transfer will take longer than 3-5 days and you will need to expose all your personal information to exploitation in order to use it.

2024-05-05 21:36:34

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Just get her a set of serrated knives.

2024-03-22 15:20:16

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Good post, but disappointed you feel into the trap of branding your colleague with your rival's "climate denier" slur without irony or qualification. In current discourse the term is used against anyone who adopts even moderate views on the topic. Words matter!

2024-03-20 04:08:16

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The right plays the language game too. Patriot Act. No Child Left Behind. War on Drugs. Axis of Evil. When the game is to see who can promise the most impossible things in order to get their hands on the newly stolen money first, sociopathy consumes every ideology. Maybe there's a difference of degree or timing, but really that just means you're the sucker in a rigged game.

2024-03-10 15:54:26

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The church has ways.

2024-03-10 06:36:19

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obligatory:
https://img.ifunny.co/images/00b0708b963f33f12ff5e8b0b6d645b7a06ddb7a4e8270b3478b05562cea1d18_1.jpg

2024-03-10 06:29:57

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They're trying to build a prison for you amd me to live in

2024-02-22 07:42:06

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Argh no lightning support

2024-02-22 07:38:40

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Every time Signal asks for money I click the link... and every time there is still no option to pay in bitcoin and I close the link.

2024-01-27 08:07:42

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Yep, slightly diff details, but same. We pulled a bunch out of the market anticipating a big dip and, 3 years later... a small fortune losing 10% a year in t bills and an approved home design with quotes 40% above what we planned for. Eh, #UnicornProblems. I consider myself extremely lucky that this is the thing that keeps me up at night. You're in a no-lose quandary when it's all said and done right?

2023-11-28 20:52:00

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Reject the premise. Ethics evolved through natural & group selection which suggests they are consequentialist at root.
Society is a complex system in a complex environment, so consequentialism is impossible to enact in practice. Deontologic rules developed to codify best practices; bit those best practices become pathological if conditions change.
So then character variance serves the role of recombination and mutation so the evolving system can react to changes in technology and environment. Even character traits like psychopathy are valuable and celebrated in society in certain situations.

2023-10-28 08:41:00

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EVs in most climates and most actually built generation mixes use more fossil fuel than ICE.

2023-10-21 06:45:12

Bond market:
https://image.nostr.build/a5a1148940e0190fd31bb3ca8c7135eb013ba7ae5042ef680dd4534d20b88709.jpg