YODL

But yes, if you're talking about avoiding ruin, bet sizing over many rounds is a consideration. Not to mention the right tail is verrrry slow. If you truncate the game to 256 tosses, you could win astronomical amounts but would only wanna pay up to 256 bucks a round

2026-05-30 00:19:03 UTC

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I didnt calculate it wrong, right?
And assuming I did, I think it's still the case that even if limited to a single round, you'd apply the same logic.

2026-05-29 21:09:55 UTC

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You're alive! Huzzah

2026-05-29 17:21:40 UTC

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Am starving now ha

2026-05-29 16:50:15 UTC

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That looks so good! Love me some cucumber salad, especially with the fixings you've got there. Perfection.

2026-05-29 16:48:39 UTC

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If we were to truncate the game to 256 tosses, you'd only wanna pay up to 256 bucks to play, as that would be the EV. Yet we know that is already a crazy big number of consecutive heads to get, and more dollars paid out than there are atoms in the universe. So, it's more an illustration of how tail end distributions in theoretical side of things can blow out reasonable/meaningful calculations, I guess.

2026-05-29 16:26:36 UTC

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No they've sucked

2026-05-29 16:10:59 UTC

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Agreed!

2026-05-29 16:02:37 UTC

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@npub1dtf…hgu0 based on topic you mentioned in your podcast, thought you might find this interesting. It's what reminded me of it, and it's a cleaner example, imo, of the T3 odds vs other large number example you constructed.

2026-05-29 16:01:31 UTC

Interesting gambling paradox I learned of some time ago.
A guy offers the following. He flips a coin as many times as required until he first flips a tail. If he flips T on first try you get $2. HT he pays you $4. HHT, $8; HHHT, $16; HHHHT $32, etc.
How much should you be willing to pay to play this game?
Answer - the EV of this game is infinite, as you have 1/2 chance at $2 payout, 1/4 chance of $4 payout, etc. and each of these pieces is worth $1 of EV, so if you add them all up you get 1 + 1 + 1 + ... Thus, you could argue that you should be willing to pay any amount to play this game. It's a paradox because you can easily see that you probably wouldn't wanna pay $1M to play a round, not to mention that it's impossible to have arbitrarily high payouts (there is a practical limit to how much money you can actually win - all the money in the world is the limit, and even that isn't really worth the nominal value if you were to actually hold it all.

2026-05-29 15:54:18 UTC

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... 🫶

2026-05-29 15:43:26 UTC

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Can't zap. But great job.
Also, not sure if I mentioned this or not, but OCP is also the name of the evil corp from movie Robocop 👀

2026-05-29 13:37:48 UTC

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I shoulda used the Strat! Thought you'd have it in two

2026-05-29 13:27:13 UTC

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I blame doing it at gym without glassrs hastily

2026-05-29 03:37:56 UTC

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Pressure fully off now. I am freeeee!

2026-05-29 03:37:22 UTC

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Joking, right?

2026-05-29 00:41:32 UTC

WORD5 #602 X/6* (Hard Mode)
⬛⬛🟧⬛⬛
⬛⬛⬛🟪🟪
⬛⬛⬛🟪🟪
🟧⬛⬛🟪🟪
⬛🟪⬛🟪🟪
⬛🟪⬛🟪🟪
https://otherstuff.ai/word5/

2026-05-28 22:47:36 UTC

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Yeah, many felt that way today, and shared similar results

2026-05-28 18:59:47 UTC

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I'm so sorry

2026-05-28 17:07:48 UTC

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lol, it's called Shallow. It's catchy, you've been warned

2026-05-28 16:27:21 UTC

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Gramps the gunner didn't shoot often, but when he did... 🎯

2026-05-28 16:17:36 UTC

Since waking today, I've had the song from Star is Born ("tell me something, boy...") stuck on my head on loop. Hoping sending this note will break the curse

2026-05-28 16:15:44 UTC

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Consider publishing as you go. The world can't risk missing out on this incredible ( 🤔 ) history

2026-05-28 16:10:13 UTC

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I was waiting for the twist ending when you admitted this was all fiction, but it never came. Wow, that's cool (assuming you're not pulling our leg)

2026-05-28 15:35:30 UTC

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Well, according to dictionary:
Seductive is an adjective used to describe someone or something that is alluring, tempting, or highly attractive. It comes from the Latin word seducere, meaning "to lead astray."
So, I think he's just asserting that being lead astray is a thing, one which can thwart common sense.

2026-05-28 14:35:35 UTC

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Oh, ok then! That could work

2026-05-28 14:20:32 UTC

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Oh dang! Nice

2026-05-28 14:19:31 UTC

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Nice save

2026-05-28 14:19:10 UTC

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I was miffed when I didn't get a 3. Feeling luckier now

2026-05-28 14:18:16 UTC

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Onyx noooo

2026-05-28 14:18:01 UTC

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Welcome

2026-05-28 14:17:31 UTC

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But but, isn't that a round bun shape? How will I feel euro carrying that?!

2026-05-28 14:12:06 UTC

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We all touch the trading stove. How fast you learn varies

2026-05-28 14:09:02 UTC

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Oh I'm in normal zone, just making a pun. Playing at different time when new puzzle comes out

2026-05-28 14:08:16 UTC

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Yeah, will be a real luck of draw result set today

2026-05-28 03:04:08 UTC

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Oh weird. I'll have to look into it via jumble later, where such refinements are possible. Damus/mobile only shows plain old selections

2026-05-28 03:02:55 UTC

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I'm good. Been playing in a different time zone 🥁
Not really, but schedule different

2026-05-28 02:45:08 UTC

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lol, damn!

2026-05-28 00:51:16 UTC

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No way!

2026-05-27 19:41:10 UTC

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https://i.nostr.build/Y6OFdOxoIuW3wtoE.jpg

2026-05-27 19:16:20 UTC

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The only thing I changed recently was to add primal relay to my 4 base ones.

2026-05-27 17:58:40 UTC

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Weird AL, not weird AI

2026-05-27 17:57:33 UTC

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The years go by, but the memory stays
And those were the good old days
(Weird Al original song lyrics...odd that they sprang to mind)

2026-05-27 17:53:03 UTC

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All things sour, I love.
I can still remember the first time I discovered sour candy. Was but a whee lad at a movie theater, when I fiend pulled out sour patch kids package. Could never go back

2026-05-27 17:51:16 UTC

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🤷‍♂️ I'm hoping not to fall into the expected stereotype, should I even go further than ideation, but what can you do

2026-05-27 17:29:27 UTC

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That's an excellent suggestion. I was literally googling them earlier lol. Expensive! Though they seem cool...sigh, what is life 🤔

2026-05-27 17:17:19 UTC

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Solar panel/battery. I'm looking into such things soon, maybe. That map of camping/parking spots thing got me wanting to build a van living option out, but it might be a midlife crisis thing, so I'm gonna mull it over more

2026-05-27 17:15:28 UTC

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Yeah, those are decent spots to check out. Depends. I usually only end up finding more plane tshirts in the end though. Vince brand or some such, instead of Vuori etc, and in the end I think the athleisure ones are better made.
I guess that's normal and fine. I do like a cool graphic T from time to time, but rarely encounter any

2026-05-27 17:10:22 UTC

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Are we growing beards? I see node and puzzles with the majestic beard pfps, but is this based on irl? I can't grow anything remotely like that.

2026-05-27 17:08:40 UTC

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Yeah, based on this one pic he seems cool. Where do guys shop these days? Normal guys. I find myself buying athleisure mostly these days.

2026-05-27 17:05:24 UTC

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lol, lucky for him he's got that going. I'd be funnier too

2026-05-27 17:04:49 UTC

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I think I'd blow yall away irl, not because I'm soo handsome, but compared to expectations like this, I'm a 10.
Related note, Need to organize that camping trip...

2026-05-27 17:03:37 UTC

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Who is that? Looks hilario

2026-05-27 16:26:17 UTC

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Just a small lil dig. Dont mind me 😶‍🌫️

2026-05-27 16:05:44 UTC

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Naw, I'll remember. Bird updates have been my jam on nostr lately

2026-05-27 16:05:13 UTC

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Yeah but I really wanted that baseball pucker and spit. Oh well

2026-05-27 16:00:26 UTC

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Oh God. Double shame on me for not catching the "a" before the name 🤦‍♂️
Learning lots

2026-05-27 15:59:35 UTC

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Whack gif, I know. Wanted one of a baseball player spitting, as it reminds me of his these two poop

2026-05-27 15:59:01 UTC

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GM
https://static.klipy.com/ii/4e7bea9f7a3371424e6c16ebc93252fe/18/60/GIPdU49aHREC1u.gif

2026-05-27 15:57:10 UTC

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There's another bird in the mix? Towhee? What kind of name is that? Sorry, I feel shame

2026-05-27 15:52:56 UTC

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Yeah. Only thing I'd ask beats is, does he in fact only have two relays chosen?

2026-05-27 15:52:00 UTC

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Hopper!

2026-05-27 15:50:50 UTC

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No clue, just pointing out a small bit of info I see. Had similar issue with someone else yesterday. Could only see notification for a post they tagged me in from primal. They use Amy. 🤷‍♂️
It's been a bit hit and miss lately, it seems

2026-05-27 15:01:28 UTC

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It seems beats is only connected to two relays, from his profile.

2026-05-27 14:27:25 UTC

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Lovely. Those skies should be hazing up in no time

2026-05-27 14:11:28 UTC

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Insult to injury I can't zap you

2026-05-27 14:10:38 UTC

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Aw man, I'm so deeply sorry

2026-05-27 01:19:57 UTC

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Whack ass word

2026-05-27 00:24:33 UTC

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No diarrhea, just annoyance at how awful the food was. Worse than like Panda Express quality, which is impressive

2026-05-27 00:10:20 UTC

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Relatable. My excursion sapped all my energy and some of my will to live. Granted, I went there shopping for boring "dress clothes" rather than stuff I actually want. Ate some truly terrible Thai food at the court too 🤢

2026-05-27 00:03:03 UTC

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Non-English lol. Yeah, same here.

2026-05-26 19:51:27 UTC

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Damn, napstr hashtag is already used. Not surprised.

2026-05-26 19:50:57 UTC

Is #napstr already hashtag mined? About to take one but couldn't rest without checking first

2026-05-26 19:46:19 UTC

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Bon appetit 👀

2026-05-26 19:44:56 UTC

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That's your hand? Amazing nail health, like yarny, but questionable nail length for a straight man 🤔

2026-05-26 19:42:52 UTC

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Was at a mall yesterday, sorry 🫂
Question for you is, what's the demographic like there, and is the mall dying? The one i went to is definitely dying slowly, even the food court had several shut down spots, and some popular franchises had left it

2026-05-26 16:43:57 UTC

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Weird. Was about to say I got the same score. Could swear it looked like a 5/6, but then right before I typed that out I see it's a 4. Good for you!

2026-05-26 15:54:18 UTC

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GM Nodely

2026-05-26 03:16:17 UTC

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Bs right?

2026-05-26 02:31:28 UTC

WORD5 #599 5/6* (Hard Mode)
🟧⬛🟪⬛🟧
🟧⬛🟪🟧🟪
🟪🟪🟪⬛🟪
🟪🟪🟪⬛🟪
🟪🟪🟪🟪🟪
https://otherstuff.ai/word5/

2026-05-25 23:58:22 UTC

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Reminds me of Ned Flanders when he's upset and serving somone; "I pride myself on being a good host, but I'm so mad it's gonna be mostly head!" (Something like that).
Never been, but I feel like it was one of those hot spots to travel to a couple decades ago. Spend 5 bucks and live like a king type of hidden gem. Bad beer does not bode well though. What did you think of it?

2026-05-25 23:51:33 UTC

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Oh lol, yeah... I knew it wasn't great when I posted it, but I figured it's a slow time slot, and it came up in convo organically, so .... send

2026-05-25 23:33:11 UTC

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Buttkey might be the greatest marketing idea since #grindstr

2026-05-25 23:30:59 UTC

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I don't understand the joke(?).

2026-05-25 23:14:15 UTC

Really curious to check out the music scene of the Czech Republic. Anyone have any good Prague Rock songs they can recommend?

2026-05-25 22:50:50 UTC