∇ Gradient Descent

"Most people communicate to synchronize their arbitrary value systems, hoping to receive confirmation as to feel socially integrated. Nerds communicate to receive peer reviews of their thoughts, hoping to be proven wrong as a means to fuel their learning."

Public Key

npub1t6vayj4yj4hxumnjqdmmq45xdtgfmph0sxxsq5jdhuyle4twqgeqe3c2vj

Profile Code

nprofile1qqs9axwjf2jf2mnwdeeqxaas26rx45yasmhcrrgq2fxm7z0u64hqyvsppamhxue69uhkummnw3ezumt0d5y4dss4

Publishing to

nostr.mom

Author Public Key

npub1t6vayj4yj4hxumnjqdmmq45xdtgfmph0sxxsq5jdhuyle4twqgeqe3c2vj

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Last Notes

2024-04-23 05:25:18 UTC

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Alternative to centralized services of e.g. google for co-working on a shared spreadsheet.

2024-04-23 05:21:52 UTC

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Ok, I get the implementation idea - but who's paying for tze storage costs (hardware, electricity, space)? Are providers just giving that away for free unlimited to anybody anonymously - or is the user paying somehow?

2024-04-23 05:17:49 UTC

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How does searching posts in a public forum reduce privacy?

2024-04-18 03:37:18 UTC

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Only, of they use cameras without POV - "no bias" is a hypothetical non reality. Evey human has a point of view, that includes journalists. "Bias" is the word for points of views that we don't share.

2024-04-12 10:28:37 UTC

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Anywhere outside earth, outside the US or outside the DDMMYYYY zone?

2024-04-12 04:13:51 UTC

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2042024
..in most parts of 🌎
https://image.nostr.build/d1cfd149b14967e7faf75922d252f4a9df2ead139d30e08cbee837ce1a769bfb.jpg

2024-04-11 07:07:41 UTC

26% of the Swiss population is invested in Bitcoin. Numbers are sharply rising. https://image.nostr.build/0e4641f7efbd1c2fb9fdeedb9a5213fc8947dc77f9a8142defb655ca816e53cb.jpg

2024-04-09 14:44:12 UTC

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I'm very positive this is a scam for donations. I've spent some time on researching the water/fuel retrofitted combustion engine before ("thunderstorm generator") and find a whole web of pseudo-scientific bullshit (in my humble opinion).
I would be very happy to learn that I'm wrong and that humanity made such a great breakthrough with such simple means.
Being so simple a design, nothing would stop this technology from blazingly fast global adoption.
I heard about this tech round 10 years ago and am still waiting for the news.

2024-04-09 04:06:15 UTC

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I read sience publications since childhood, studied computer sciences with focus on math, love physics as a hobby and work in an electronics research facility. It's easier to recognize bullshit than to be an expert in a field. This talk doesn't build a logical structure - instead it points out similatities and builds association webs. That's typical rhetorics of esoterics. There's no math and no hard arguments, only very fast name droppings and suggestions.

2024-04-08 14:47:42 UTC

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It's a tour-de-force of pseudo-scientific gibberish and esoterics. Has the power to change my mood (I feel entertained), but won't change the world.

2024-04-07 14:45:07 UTC

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If you star counting blocks at 0, then it will be the first of the new epoch.

2024-04-06 14:04:54 UTC

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Prediction: halving will happen at block 840,000
Source: https://bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf

2024-03-18 19:57:28 UTC

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There's other that interest me more, ancient fiction is not my main genre.
You must admit though, that the big flood alone had quite an impressive body count. Like a James Bond villains dream come true.

2024-03-18 19:54:04 UTC

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Valid point, now I get what you're pointing at.

2024-03-18 04:41:09 UTC

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Last time the Jehovas Witnesses came around my door, I pretended to be a Satanist. They didn't come back since.
Anyways: The "God" character in the the book "Bible" killed _way_ more people and that in much crueler ways, than the "Satan" character.
So I can't really consider Satan the bad guy..

2024-03-18 04:34:01 UTC

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They're not DOGE - they basically a monopoly on chips for AI data centers. They're far enough ahead of their competition, that they can call any price for those.
It's a gem of a company - not a stupid meme.

2024-03-17 11:14:09 UTC

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Words are so important. Well formulated.

2024-03-17 07:39:13 UTC

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I haven't checked, if gobal M2 gollows the same pattern, but I assume so. Debt is exponential by nature.

2024-03-17 07:38:08 UTC

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US M2 follows exponential, not power law.
Exponential growth forms straight lines in log charts. Here's US M2: https://image.nostr.build/fd043574bf460d532145032fda759e1585e39378d0bbd795245b09724073da0d.jpg

2024-03-17 06:17:54 UTC

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Correlation doesn't mean 1:1 linear relation.
An observation can be "everytime that A goes up, B follows" and vice versa - even if scales are completely different.
Correlation also doesn't mean causation. It's an observation that Lyn presents here.

2024-03-17 06:14:24 UTC

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1) the chart says "global m2". There's actually other countries outside the US, each with their own policy.
2) US M2 is _almost alwys_ rising. The current QT is the tiny blip at the end of the curve.
https://image.nostr.build/fd043574bf460d532145032fda759e1585e39378d0bbd795245b09724073da0d.jpg

2024-03-14 05:14:48 UTC

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Microstrategy too - they're a public company.

2024-03-13 19:32:18 UTC

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I'm talking about zapping Jeff for that podcast on the podcast page..

2024-03-13 19:31:43 UTC

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Why do I need to login to ⚡ zap? That makes no sense at all..

2024-03-13 11:22:08 UTC

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Almost every aspect of human reality, culture and civilization is a fiction - thus I consider it completely normal, that companies are fictions.

2024-03-13 06:27:20 UTC

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It's not as if the 90s tech bubble was the end of tech.. it was just a temporary hype on top of secular exponential tech growth that never stopped since.
https://image.nostr.build/b948544d9cbc33add498fe08f927a511dac25aabecd8c8c74e43152a798405a6.jpg

2024-03-13 06:18:35 UTC

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So you define "holding" as something that only an individual can fo and use that very definition to proof, that a company can't "hold" anything?
You can define "holding" more broadly - then it can.
Seems like an arbitrary game of words.

2024-03-12 11:56:50 UTC

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"..to reduce mining activity in the US, while helping to grow the same activity in other countries."
Fixed it.

2024-03-11 19:30:53 UTC

What's your plans for 2024? https://image.nostr.build/e22498d98e6a8467fb9665674b4ed572e5c4a94b8ce2878b9240c7938e9912d7.jpg

2024-03-11 11:26:36 UTC

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Quite unlikely - that would require Bitcoin to reach 750k$.
In 5 years, that seems very likely.
This cycle Bitcoin can reach #2, overtaking Saudi Aramco, Amazon, Google, NVIDEA, Microsoft and Apple. That goal would be reached at roughly 155k$ btcusd.

2024-03-11 07:35:50 UTC

Bitcoin is now #8 most valued asset in the world 🎉. I expect a #2 within the next 18 months and a #1 in 5 years. https://image.nostr.build/84f3c39c3ac6e8076c2b537299c899d14c8e55cb6bd9fb2bd358304aa4f51e82.jpg

2024-03-07 12:28:16 UTC

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How the fuck does he think he would be able to tell, if one of 8 billion humans sees value in something?
The small hint, that it's traded at a market cap of ~1T$ might suggest, that some people do.

2024-03-07 12:26:28 UTC

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That dude who completely fails at understanding subjective value is an "economist" according to his profile 🥴
https://image.nostr.build/467e7367db8263159612c9d70d0767333c73f1b877dbe0dc01867b94a6686233.jpg

2024-03-04 19:53:56 UTC

Bitcoin overtaking silver is the same event as reaching its ATH. What a beautiful coin-cidence.
https://image.nostr.build/3fcfd6b0eddce06cd86e5d29c71380e4b763ebf1d4bf1d1d1016768914a02669.jpg

2024-03-04 19:30:24 UTC

Meme idea:
Panel 1: Picture of Bernie Madoff. Caption: "Bernie Madoff turned investment into a scam."
Panel 2: Enron logo with oil rigs in the background. Caption: "Enron turned oil into a scam."
Panel 3: Lehman Brothers logo with houses and financial charts. Caption: "Lehman Brothers turned real estate into a scam."
Panel 4: Picture of Sam Bankman Fried with Bitcoin symbols. Caption: "SBF turned Bitcoin into a scam."
Panel 5: An image combining symbols of investment, oil, real estate, and Bitcoin. Caption: "Is investing a scam? Or a scammers just criminals?

2024-03-04 19:20:50 UTC

We should stop talking about "transactions" and start talking about "settlements". Words matter to imagination. When hearing "transaction", people think of paying for a coffee - "settlement" sounds more like something, that banks do, something bigger, more serious.
Taste this rethoric figure:
"A single Bitcoin settlement can finalize thousands of single transactions or millions of lightning payments.
How many settlements per minute does Visa have? None!"

2024-02-28 06:04:25 UTC

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You seem to be in the same mode of renovating your routines and probing habits with conciousnes.
Not sure, if I would call habits "natural". What is that, anyways? Is a nuclear power plant natural? It's easy to argue for either side.. Habits are a function of the brain, a subroutine implemented to reduce energy consumption and accelerate execution. They do satisfy an urge, but that urge can be pure fiction of the brain and the reward as well. There's usually a trigger, that causes the execution of the habit - and finally some reward. First step is to put conciousnes on the habit (e.g. random looks at phone screen) to make it visible, then analyze what triggers it and what's the reward (dopamin? Superficial feeling of ingesting information ?). It's very hard to suppress execution of an old habit -modification is easier. You can overwrite the habit by inventing a new one for the same trigger.
I did that for stopping smoking - when I felt theburge, I took some deep breaths instead of a cigarette. That felt refreshing (reward) and helped overwriteling the habit with a new routine and a new reward.
Rewriting is highly concious. Once written, it falls back to automatic execution - a new habit.
Does that male sense to you?

2024-02-21 19:43:48 UTC

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The term is "habit" - powerful, fascinating and ... programmable. Great book on that: "The Power of Habits" by Charles Duhigg

2024-02-17 04:52:15 UTC

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Saw this image and thought: and that's how it looks
https://image.nostr.build/d09e344d62f99f1d8181d34b4b8aa9021e6b56007732ddfd2470e75123b58d9e.jpg

2024-02-16 19:48:55 UTC

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🤢

2024-02-16 19:46:52 UTC

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Beautiful - gets a place on my books wishlist

2024-02-16 10:48:12 UTC

Imagine you write an article about Bitcoin for Bloomberg and claim, that Bizcoin was "now about 12 years old" 😂
https://image.nostr.build/8abdb8bdba8d37cf6cb0ed1b49cc609465f35fb9da650c910644c96a980e76cc.jpg

2024-02-12 18:47:11 UTC

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If you see that chart: would you buy the asset? 😂
https://image.nostr.build/272109cb16f0d5129fe91830d2e6970b4fa0edeb8d537540b1947e8d5ffeb789.jpg#m=image%2Fjpeg&dim=995x1059&blurhash=%7B55%7C%5B%409%5BEz-VEe-VI%3AOD0%7C%23m%3DyEfr%3DJ7aeso-VN%5ES2xHkWxGbIS3w%5ENGNan%25jZoLaybG5%2C%24*-BJ7soSgs%3AxG%7DZEfEf%2C%40NawdNaNu1H-B-BJ7xGJ7s%3Aso%3DeJ7NasANa%24jWVS2o0jZW%3Bofs.S2jZoL&x=04e68cb7fc24884c474cf472c99c322d46fd973cf43b2650b31c75fa4468e242

2024-02-02 14:09:28 UTC

@npub13hg…hjry I made it over here after all from bsky, enough anthropology. Do you have any recommendations whom to follow for inspiring thoughts transcending the ubiquitous crypto memes?

2024-02-02 10:17:23 UTC

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I liked the video and the thesis behind it even more so. Started digging into the 4 years cycle of everything since 2008 and am finding a ton of correlations that fit the thesis. Would love to read the full paper, but it's behind a massive paywall of 4k$.

2024-02-02 08:33:44 UTC

https://www.riffusion.com/riffs/b72e050a-35cf-463b-87cc-84c72bc60f04
Damn funny - new generative AI creates pop music hookline with vocals out of text prompt.
Bad music can now by auto-generated at near zero cost.

2024-02-02 05:48:03 UTC

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Trying to capture even more of the signal with a formula as short as possible.
First component: power law growth
Second component: oscillation with period of 4
I've heard people call these data points being "random" - they only see the third component: noise.
https://image.nostr.build/bb5ff4d2dcea18a89b3943d3d797fd5aa9d3a5082060b376e911cac916f23079.jpg#m=image%2Fjpeg&dim=1920x930&alt=Variation+of+the+previous+formula+with+added+oscillation&blurhash=Z3TI%2Caof%3Fbt7ofM%7BayxuM%7Bj%5Bj%5Bj%5Bayj%5Bayayj%5Bay%7Eqay9FWBRjxuj%5BRjxu%25MWBWBofRjj%5BofWBof&x=93a7eb0febd34f81af354ae69a8a5651ce38fead85cbee2e95c8b7a72019e5f3
https://image.nostr.build/9afe18e298a761411d6791009bf5747f473e2749641a55cd2cf4aec0a78a738a.jpg#m=image%2Fjpeg&dim=1920x1030&alt=A+plot+of+the+formula&blurhash=i05%23eI-%3AWFxaE2IpD*ayM%7D%7Eo4%3DE3xtRkt6e--ms%2CX94%3B-p%3FZt6xZM%7BjrMyWEt7%7Eo%251E2IV4%3AE3IVIqxt-o9aE2%251WBozxY&x=5ff458c9669c3ab1dfd21222f6a358d7a29c78fedfa09b82d1a06ab67dd1bd38

2024-02-02 05:45:42 UTC

Quite amazed by the simplicity and accuracy of this formula - found it today via regression. Note: t = years since genesis block
https://image.nostr.build/b96ac93d20d760942143a095942fff8a7f16f9a770edac354bc4f6b0475ec4e1.jpg#m=image%2Fjpeg&dim=1920x1208&alt=Power+law+formula+f%28t%29%3Dt%5E%28pi%2Be%29%2F200&blurhash=r5S%7Ex5xu%3FbIU-%3B%25M9FfQt7t7WBayofWBayofWBay%7EqWBD%25xuD%25M%7B-%3BofWBRjt7ofM%7Bt7ofRjt7of9FRjxuxuxuj%5BRjRjRj%25MRjRjxuRjWBxuM%7BWB&x=3b520abc19d74db6f8ce3f97481b6d8d73d25ecc054513ead824cda3fb53b645
https://image.nostr.build/a78dbb669b11af841393b3bbee0a52f5fa7868c3b89e3e86087125d5d6fd59b4.jpg#m=image%2Fjpeg&dim=1920x1030&alt=The+mentioned+formula+plotted+over+a+btc+chart.&blurhash=i05%3B%7E%2B-%3AR%3At7E3IpD%2BoIM%7C%7Eo9bE4xaNHt6ae-ms%2CkD4%3B%25M%5E%25t5xXM%7Bn%23M%7BWXo%23%7EV-TE1IV4%3BE2IpM%7Dxu-oD*D%2B%251S5ozxs&x=6fb567bf99a90632a2beb11521893fe25861efc95bb1d58de3aabf08d77268f6

2024-02-02 05:36:14 UTC

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Looks just like the FED balance sheet 😂
https://image.nostr.build/b9aef0fc43b781d384c986db765b74ba38abfffebb27d7eb7cd3ca34e930c026.jpg#m=image%2Fjpeg&dim=1000x1119&alt=FED+balance+sheet&blurhash=%7B338%7D2nxtSj%3Doxocj%5Df-%3Fds%23tAj%5Dogo%23j%5Ea%23-%3DoNa%25s.e%2CjsaxjXs%24o%25V%3BoMjcagogf5x8o*RNt9a%24W9oKoIs%23tUacofj%3Faxo%23j%5E%25go%23bHozbdkCj%3Dof%25ioYo%24W9fmogawfm-%40V%3Ao%25jWaykEV%3Fj%5D&x=152c205dac263984b5cb4de3946f639ce1938ed7cd8c28c8bf4a4108a5dad72e