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2026-03-30 15:22:55 UTC

GrumpyRabbit on Nostr: _The Search for Extraterrestrial Life Just Got Real_ Absolute proof? No. But it does ...

_The Search for Extraterrestrial Life Just Got Real_

Absolute proof? No. But it does justify a substantial change in our prior probabilities—enough to make "Earth-like biology exists in other solar systems" the null hypothesis.

The burden of disproof now rests with the skeptics. Adamant refusal to update one's priors in the face of new evidence is not science---it's religious dogmatism: Religion can be defined as infallible priors (Bayesian "prior probabilities.")

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a0lYZClPYgk