This week:
-sold $AMZN entirely at $212.7, taking -6.2% loss (-12.2% CAGR)
-sold $MDARA at +20.8% profit (+58.9% CAGR)
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HDYnaUMWMAAdgq3?format=png&name=900x900
due to higher Amazon weighting, only marginal profit from both transactions. Generally - increasing cash; but couple of words specific to these stocks below
I'm surprised at market resilience given geopolitical backdrop. Friday closed at 200MA for S&P500. Trump will likely claim victory as market expects after couple of panicky days below 200MA. US 4Q GDP in contraction after inflation. GDP hangs on datacenters
because nobody in their right mind won't put a dollar on US soil, given how quickly business environment is changed by pedophiles.
Amazon keeps tapping debt markets. I got 0 FED cuts expectation for rest of 26'. FCF not existent, no/reduced buybacks will weight w/ dilution..
And recent headlines regarding $AMZN pushing employees to use inferior internal tool vs Claude, pushing some internal KPIs over overall execution doesn't taste well.
There's support waiting at ~$191. Maybe.. maybe not.
Any turn for risk apetite in market would be captured by higher beta underwater $ALAB.
Now Madara Cosmetics (Riga Stock Exchange) - I have doubts they will propose dividend. Net income for 25' was negative. Margins improving, but guidance for 26' was conservative. 10% revenue growth and "maintaining a double-digit EBITDA margin". Given these assumptions and increased Baltic inflation expectations, don't see much upside. Technical entry, on highly illiquid stock, still worked.
I also wanted to cut $NET a little more, but was busy w/ work, was late couple of minutes, market closed on me. 10Y yield was climbing recently, overall market vulnerable, yet Cloudflare was having a blast for past ~10sessions. Not for long imo.
