Yet another example of just how poorly the decision makers in Washington understand their primary opponent.
Seems as though I can’t go a single day when some new edict is produced that will generate the opposite outcome.
Hormuz is certainly important to China, but it is nowhere near as critical as it is being made out to be.
China has a massive spoke network of energy access points from Alegria to Indonesia and all point in-between.
Then there are the multiple pipelines into both Russia and Central Asia.
Yes, from a cost analysis it would be far better for Beijing to buy cheap oil from the Iranians. Being cut off from Qatar natgas will also have an impact. It’s the long game that matters.
Near term solutions to China’s energy needs are readily available. Keeping the US bogged down in the Gulf is an accelerant worthy of any near term pain.
https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2026/03/16/china-oil-reserves-trump-iran-war-hormuz.html
prc30 / Peter Alexander
npub1yy…4kawc
2026-03-16 06:47:15 UTC
Author Public Key
npub1yy3uc7y85faxy5cwq8f574yda3j9457p7r9h2ymlkwlx6lp8f4vsy4kawcPublished at
2026-03-16 06:47:15 UTCEvent JSON
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"content": "Yet another example of just how poorly the decision makers in Washington understand their primary opponent. \n \nSeems as though I can’t go a single day when some new edict is produced that will generate the opposite outcome. \n\nHormuz is certainly important to China, but it is nowhere near as critical as it is being made out to be.\n \nChina has a massive spoke network of energy access points from Alegria to Indonesia and all point in-between. \n\nThen there are the multiple pipelines into both Russia and Central Asia. \n\nYes, from a cost analysis it would be far better for Beijing to buy cheap oil from the Iranians. Being cut off from Qatar natgas will also have an impact. It’s the long game that matters. \n\nNear term solutions to China’s energy needs are readily available. Keeping the US bogged down in the Gulf is an accelerant worthy of any near term pain. \n\nhttps://www.cnbc.com/amp/2026/03/16/china-oil-reserves-trump-iran-war-hormuz.html",
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