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2026-08-30 23:30:28 UTC

alp on Nostr: Just look at everything that’s happened on the AI front over the past 12 months. ...

Just look at everything that’s happened on the AI front over the past 12 months. The progress has been unbelievable, even with the tiny scraps of AI that trickle down to us ordinary people. Gemini was a pain to use (and expensive af), and Codex was expensive too and terrible. Claude worked for a while, but it needed massive safeguards to keep it from going off the rails, and it couldn’t even write automated tests 6 months ago.

Now the Chinese models are showing up, they don’t need all those safeguards, they write automated tests on their own in the background, and they cost a quarter of what the US models do.

The US economy, which is 70 % built around its AI companies: poof 💨. That bubble is going to burst soon.

And to all the people who spent last year whining that “AI sucks,” well, too bad. You missed the development and it’s going to be hard for you to catch up. We told you so.

It reminds me of the early days of the World Wide Web. My father was at a board meeting of the 2nd largest construction company in Germany, where he was a leading senior engineer. The topic was, “Should we take the internet seriously?”. This was in 1999. The conclusion was, “The internet is just a toy”, while his son had already launched 5 websites.

Well, that company never recovered from that mistake. It never played a role on the World Wide Web again.