Hank Green says that depending on the final cost of compute, LLMs might easily out-Jevon every technology we had up to now; so even the most adept statisticians and economists won't be able to give that information…
https://youtu.be/a6sYYrLTOjQ
What we could measure and limit, is the amount of resources we are allowing to get dedicated *to* AI services.
We'd need a several-hundred percent climate tax on investments in AI companies; if you have money to invest in resource-hungry technologies, you have money to help keep the planet habitable…