US INTEREST RATE FUTURES PRICE IN 78% CHANCE OF PAUSE IN JANUARY MEETING VS 70% BEFORE FED RATE CUT -LSEG
FUTURES IMPLY TRADERS SEE FED POLICY RATE AT 3.1% AT END-2026 AFTER FED RATE CUT, LITTLE CHANGED FROM LEVELS JUST BEFORE -LSEG
Assuming traders still price independent FED for next year. Mistake imo.
QE starts in 2 days. My outlook: party on into year end, volatility starts Q1 w/ bootlicker Hasset as FED chair:
-Rates down
-10Y up
-Gold up
-Stocks up
-Dollar down
Generalist
npub15l…70ar3
2025-12-10 20:00:00 UTC
Author Public Key
npub15l8fm0fl462an4w24qh7u5a4v6cj0d8gcsvaxk0tyuyxdrtxem3sn70ar3Seen on
wss://relay.damus.ioPublished at
2025-12-10 20:00:00 UTCEvent JSON
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"content": "US INTEREST RATE FUTURES PRICE IN 78% CHANCE OF PAUSE IN JANUARY MEETING VS 70% BEFORE FED RATE CUT -LSEG\n\nFUTURES IMPLY TRADERS SEE FED POLICY RATE AT 3.1% AT END-2026 AFTER FED RATE CUT, LITTLE CHANGED FROM LEVELS JUST BEFORE -LSEG\n\nAssuming traders still price independent FED for next year. Mistake imo.\n\nQE starts in 2 days. My outlook: party on into year end, volatility starts Q1 w/ bootlicker Hasset as FED chair:\n-Rates down\n-10Y up\n-Gold up\n-Stocks up\n-Dollar down",
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