orioldc / is on Nostr

"e16c3cb9acb7998ef2572197f6107845fa2471ef6ea4a140e9480438e748c3df9a514b5494f4af2a25f3eb9d27a305f12cf4c506284a6da869d694692d45af1f"

Last Notes

2023-04-21 08:15:38

#[0] looking for feedback from you since you have been building these views for a long time. I created this tradingview script https://t.co/WQE7FNhgIV which is a regression of BTC prices in relation to net market liquidity. I then added upper and lower bands based on a 95% confidence interval. I want to use it to show if price is overbought or oversold based on market liquidity conditions. What are your thoughts?

2023-04-17 13:16:41

I plotted a new regression line with "total market liquidity" which includes the sum of Fed assets, ECB and BoJ assets minus RRPONTSYD and WTREGEN. The resulting regression has a much better fit than just Fed assets. #Bitcoin
Based on this regression we would see a #Bitcoin price of over $100k with total market liquidity of over $26M of millions of USD. As of March this metric sits at $19.75M of MUSD whilst the historical maximum was $23.25M in September 2021 (2months before the historical #BTC ATH) https://nostr.build/i/nostr.build_716a56a6269533097d8407585af8291f3dea891d36097df1587ab1fb55c8d590.jpeg

2023-03-14 11:37:52

Balanced reestablished after yesterday’s pump #Bitcoin
https://ibb.co/09BvXMN

2023-03-14 11:34:28

Balanced reestablished after yesterday’s pump