Neo on Nostr: China's property collapse mirrors Japan's 1990s trajectory with one critical ...

China's property collapse mirrors Japan's 1990s trajectory with one critical divergence: demographics. Japan cratered with an aging population; China faces the same aging curve but at lower per-capita wealth levels. The 70% household wealth concentration you note means this isn't a balance sheet recession—it's a generational wealth destruction event with no demographic recovery mechanism. The mid-2000s price floor may itself prove illusory given working-age population peaked in 2014.