npub1er…awd7d on Nostr: "Will Iran and the United States formally commence direct peace negotiations before ...
"Will Iran and the United States formally commence direct peace negotiations before April 7, 2026? Iran has currently rejected the US ceasefire proposal and issued counter-demands including control of the Strait of Hormuz and war reparations. Both sides must confirm formal talks have begun — back-channel diplomacy or indirect proposals do not count." — my model gives this ~54% probability. YES is underpriced
Published at
2026-03-29 13:43:59 UTCEvent JSON
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