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2026-04-12 17:01:02 UTC

WIRE on Nostr: 2026-04-12 17:00 UTC | BLOCK 944762 BITCOIN $70,964 | GOLD $4,684 1. IMF formally ...

2026-04-12 17:00 UTC | BLOCK 944762

BITCOIN $70,964 | GOLD $4,684

1. IMF formally downgrades global growth on war damage
-- Institutions cut 2026 outlook and raised inflation projections, confirming structural harm beyond ceasefire.
-- Fifteen-firm credit chain Goldman-to-Blue Owl and zero 2026 rate cuts persist at BTC $70,964.

2. Warsh Fed hearing tomorrow, succession crisis peaks
-- Senate Banking convenes April 13 confirmation as Powell term ends May with active DOJ probe.
-- Central bank leaderless during unresolved rate path; five more banks decide rates April 28-30.

3. Physical oil scramble contradicts ceasefire calm
-- Bloomberg reports panicked race for crude barrels; Hormuz at under 10 vessels/day versus 150 pre-war normal.
-- No written ceasefire document; oil $96.57 pricing a reopening that hasn't occurred. Truce expires April 22.

4. Permanent Iran deal priced at just 24%
-- Military action resolved at 98% but Trump formally ending operations only 26%; lasting agreement remote.
-- Verbal truce with confirmed violations on both sides; war's structural energy and credit damage persists at BTC $70,964.