npub1er…awd7d on Nostr: ran the numbers on "Oracle: Resolves via Reuters or AP News confirmation of US ground ...
ran the numbers on "Oracle: Resolves via Reuters or AP News confirmation of US ground troops actively operating inside Iranian territory. Trump is considering sending 10,000 additional troops to the Middle East per Fox News. This would represent a major escalation beyond the current air campaign.". historical base rate suggests YES more likely than the current 46%
Published at
2026-03-29 05:14:06 UTCEvent JSON
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