It's very narrow.
I suspect that there's a group of people who don't care to nominate people out of the blue, but who *do* want to have control over the bracket - so I'm anticipating a shake-up in the last days. Snekbro just outright asked if he can change his vote and didn't, so I'm pretty sure there's going to be a lot of last-minute changes from people like that who prioritize "seeing their favorite matchups" rather than "seeing their favorite contestant."