Wow, that’s interesting! As a naive onlooker, I don’t really understand why people found it likely.
Is there anything you can say about how the counterexample clashes with your original intuition?
Greg Egan
npub12c…gd38p
2026-07-20 05:46:28 UTC
in reply to nevent1q…253z
Author Public Key
npub12cuzzqzv8e8y7na77a9zv47mx2v6pec60qs5h7takzmv5p0mw0fsmgd38pPublished at
2026-07-20 05:46:28 UTCEvent JSON
{
"id": "ec272cc5452dd74d7f7774fadf01e39e8580fcace94effe1f86a5282191081aa",
"pubkey": "563821004c3e4e4f4fbef74a2657db3299a0e71a78214bf97db0b6ca05fb73d3",
"created_at": 1784526388,
"kind": 1,
"tags": [
[
"e",
"bf50eae0abd5667d5b9647e0b4bb403d20d5fad79d138cb35bdd285b49f5e69f",
"",
"root",
"563821004c3e4e4f4fbef74a2657db3299a0e71a78214bf97db0b6ca05fb73d3"
],
[
"e",
"75442aaad6bad8b89e4e3aa06dabcf08308b067e80b8ba1988a68413318d0fc5",
"",
"reply",
"77bf044538b5e8688d4a348563e5b82db77112899af5cfc591320b757fe44490"
],
[
"p",
"77bf044538b5e8688d4a348563e5b82db77112899af5cfc591320b757fe44490"
],
[
"p",
"563821004c3e4e4f4fbef74a2657db3299a0e71a78214bf97db0b6ca05fb73d3"
],
[
"proxy",
"https://mathstodon.xyz/@gregeganSF/116950721368290655",
"web"
],
[
"proxy",
"https://mathstodon.xyz/users/gregeganSF/statuses/116950721368290655",
"activitypub"
],
[
"L",
"pink.momostr"
],
[
"l",
"pink.momostr.activitypub:https://mathstodon.xyz/users/gregeganSF/statuses/116950721368290655",
"pink.momostr"
],
[
"-"
]
],
"content": "Wow, that’s interesting! As a naive onlooker, I don’t really understand why people found it likely.\n\nIs there anything you can say about how the counterexample clashes with your original intuition?",
"sig": "2b59c23a613f42171aec32ea106a3d6834b3b60f6c2b87da3078bbb6283f658d5c0216900785b12a3fb67a533a1b010efbba1fa6a061afaee9020955387617d4"
}