optout on Nostr: Yass. Having to wait 40 mins for a block has very low prob, but having to wait 40 ...

Yass. Having to wait 40 mins for a block has very low prob, but having to wait 40 mins GIVEN THAT 30 HAVE ALREADY PASSED has the same prob as having to wait 10 (so roughly 50%). Conditional probability is a fucker.