This really doesn't even warrant effort to actually refute, but for the sake of any genuine audience that doesn't know how to measure warfare, I'm going to demonstrate real quick how we know Iran is getting curb stomped.
First, consider the image with Blue X's and Red O's. This is a map of every confirmed strike since the war started. Even without considering timing and impact, the mere quantity here is significantly in favor of the Combined Forces—the Blue X's.
Second, consider the video. This is the same data, but separated by day of event from February 28 to March 15. You can visually see the decline in return fire from Iran. Since I'm limited on images, in the comments I'll share the graphs breaking down this decline in even more detail. [I on the hand am not. Buckle up, nigger!]
Third, consider Iran's missile ranges and choice of targets. While their posturing is focused on the Strait of Hormuz, Saudi Arabia has shifted its oil exports to the Red Sea. This is well within range of Iran's higher-end ballistic missiles—yet, they aren't attacking it. This is because they are rationing missiles for more immediate threats; something done when someone is on the defensive with limited ability to resist.
Fourth, consider the discrepancy between rhetoric and action. While Iran's posturing is focused on the Strait of Hormuz, their closure of the Strait appears to primarily be in name only. There have been no confirmed attacks on ships either in the Strait or the Gulf in six days. SIX DAYS. That's the last third of this war so far.
Fifth, consider the choice of Combined Force targets. While Iran is attempting to attack critical oil infrastructure, the IDF is targeting local police and Basij stations. The Combined Forces are actually running out of military targets and are now simply shaping the country for an internal overthrow.
Sixth, and probably the most obvious is to just look at the numbers and identities of losses. These are not even close. At the very least Iran has lost:
1x Supreme Leader
2x Defense Minister
1x Head of the Military Office of the Supreme Leader
1x Armed Forces Chief of Staff
1x Supreme National Security Secretary
1x IRGC Commander
1x Minister of Intelligence
1x Head of Intelligence Directorate
1x National Basij Commander
These aren't just what the Combined Force reports—this is what Iran acknowledges!
There is no steelman of the "Iran is winning" nonsense. Its complete and utter nonsense. You can argue, though I disagree, about economic or political ramifications, but any suggestion that Iran is actually militarily winning is absolutely retarded.
