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2026-04-09 17:20:25 UTC

TFTC on Nostr: The ceasefire with Iran didn't reopen the Strait of Hormuz. It rationed it. According ...

The ceasefire with Iran didn't reopen the Strait of Hormuz. It rationed it.

According to TASS, citing senior Iranian sources, Iran will allow no more than 15 ships per day to transit the strait, each one subject to Iranian approval and IRGC supervision. Before the war, an average of 138 vessels passed through Hormuz daily. That means even under the ceasefire, traffic is capped at roughly 11% of normal volume.

Iran is also making clear this isn't a return to the status quo. The IRGC is enforcing a "new regulatory framework" over the strait, and Tehran says it has been "officially communicated to regional parties." Alongside the shipping restrictions, Iran is demanding that its frozen assets be unfrozen within the two-week ceasefire window, that the US not increase troop presence during the pause, and that any end to the war be formalized through a UN Security Council resolution.

The threat attached to all of it: "If the termination of the war is not codified into a UN Security Council resolution based on our stipulated terms, we are fully prepared to resume combat against the US and the Zionist regime, with even greater intensity."

Pakistan-mediated talks are set for April 10 in Islamabad, reportedly the first direct negotiations between the US and Iran. But the picture is clear, Iran used Hormuz as leverage before the ceasefire and is still using it now. The world's most important oil chokepoint isn't open. It's being metered out under Iranian terms, 15 ships at a time.