📷 BTC Daily Intelligence Bulletin (DIB)
Block: 942,311
DTG/ICOD: 1200Z 26Mar2026
Precedence: Routine (RR)
Controls: Public Release
QQQQ
__________________________
BLUF: US-Iran Talks Start, No Progress / Iran Law to Charge Toll For 'Safe' Passage / 40% of Russian Oil Halted / ICE Melting Airport Tensions / Mamdani In a Budget Pickle / US Congressman Prohibits Staff From Trading Prediction Markets / Software Dev Loses Bid to Protect Charity Project / Ripple Makes Waves in Singapore Programmable Transactions / Bitcoin Miners Make Hard Choices / Fink Warns Expensive Oil Might Tank the World Economy / Stocks, Yields Up on Hope / YouTube, Insta Liable For Addictions / LiteLLM Has Malware / Artemis To Shoot For the Moon / What is Satoshi's 'Six Confirmations'?
Market Data: Price: 1 BTC= $69,365, 15.66 oz Gold/1 BTC, 6.21 BTC/Median US House
24hr Hi: $71,932 / Lo: $69,184
Volume: $34B (Down 14%)
Mkt Cap: $1.38T (Down 3%)
Hashrate: .979 ZH/s
Avg Fee Rate: 1.0 sats/byte (Down 1 sat)
---Reports---
-International Events-
1. Trump admin pitches 15-point Iran peace proposal as Pakistan offers to hold talks: Iran and the U.S. have mutually rejected a first exchange of peace proposals this week some regional powers are pushing for further talks. A top U.S. official called Iran's demands "ridiculous and unrealistic," President Trump said Tehran has four more days to come to an agreement before the U.S. begins targeting Iran's energy infrastructure. (Fox)
2. Iran plans to charge ships for safe passage through Strait of Hormuz: Iran is preparing legislation that would impose tolls on ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz, according to Iranian state-aligned media. A draft had been prepared, but was not yet complete, Fars reported. It said lawmakers were planning to complete a draft bill by next week, so it would be ready to put to parliament. The lawmaker said Iran would collect tolls in exchange for secure passage through the Strait of Hormuz. (CNBC)
3. At least 40% of Russia's oil export capacity halted: At least 40% of Russia's oil export capacity is at a halt following Ukrainian drone attacks, a disputed attack on a major pipeline and the seizure of tankers, according to Reuters calculations based on market data. Ukraine intensified drone attacks on Russia's oil and fuel export infrastructure this month, hitting all three of Russia's major western oil export ports, including Novorossiysk on the Black Sea and Primorsk and Ust-Luga on the Baltic Sea.
-US Events-
1. Passengers Feel Positive Impact of ICE Officers Helping TSA at Major Texas Airport: Passengers at Houston’s largest airport felt an immediate and positive impact as ICE arrived to work alongside unpaid TSA agents. Screening lines that stretched to about four hours, according to airport officials, were reduced to about an hour when the ICE officers’ shift began. (Breitbart)
2. Mamdani Now Plans $1.3 Billion in Cuts in Programs That He Favored: Facing a multibillion-dollar deficit he is legally obligated to close, Mayor Zohran Mamdani vowed to cancel New York City’s contracts with McKinsey and other private companies; audit sprawling public health insurance plans; and kill one department’s subscription to Slack. (NYTimes)
-Regulatory and Legal-
1. US Congressman Moves to Ban Staff From Trading on Prediction Markets: Massachusetts Democrat Seth Moulton has banned all congressional office staff from trading on prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi. The move comes as bipartisan lawmakers introduce the PREDICT Act, which would extend similar restrictions to senior government officials. (Decrypt)
2. Crypto Case Over Money Transmitter Laws Dismissed by US Judge: A U.S. federal court has dismissed a lawsuit brought by a crypto software developer seeking a preemptive ruling that his non-custodial crypto donation platform would not violate federal money transmission laws, leaving a key legal question unresolved for the industry. Lewellen had planned to launch Pharos, a software product designed to facilitate crypto donations to charitable crowdfunding campaigns. He argued that because the software was non-custodial, he should not be required to register as a money transmitter under federal law. (Decrypt)
-CBDCs/World Currencies/Strategic Reserves-
1. Ripple joins Singapore central bank initiative to test RLUSD trade settlements: Ripple has joined the Singapore central bank's BLOOM initiative to pilot programmable cross-border trade settlements using the XRP Ledger and Ripple's dollar-pegged stablecoin RLUSD. (TheBlock)
-Institutional Concerns-
1. Bitcoin miners start funding pivot to AI with debt while selling BTC to stay liquid: Bitcoin miners' identity is fracturing on four fronts simultaneously: crushed margins, accelerating AI pivots, expanding debt loads, and a treasury sell discipline that no longer holds. What miners do under those conditions is where the market structure case begins. The companies still securing Bitcoin's blocks are splitting into forced commodity sellers, debt-funded AI landlords, and a thinning cohort of efficient pure-play operators with the power costs and machine quality to survive without pivoting. (CryptoSlate)
-Economic Indicators-
1. BlackRock CEO predicting ‘global recession’ if oil hits $150: BlackRock CEO Larry Fink warned that oil hitting $150 a barrel would trigger a "stark and steep recession," stating "We will have global recession" if prices remain elevated. The war has effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz to tankers, disrupting one-fifth of the world's oil supply and sending prices spiraling, with Brent crude remaining elevated at $94 on Wednesday. (GroundNews)
2. US 10-Year Yield Edges Higher: The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note rose 5 basis points to around 4.38% on Thursday as investors monitored developments in the Middle East amid heightened uncertainty over efforts to end the Iran war. (TradingEconomics)
3. US Stocks Climb Mid-Week: The Dow rose 0.9%, the S&P 500 climbed 0.7%, and the Nasdaq 100 advanced 0.8% on Wednesday as emerging reports of a 15-point US peace proposal delivered to Tehran fueled hopes for a diplomatic end to the Middle East conflict. (TradingEconomics)
-Security Concerns-
1. Jury finds Instagram and YouTube liable in landmark social media addiction trial: a Los Angeles jury found Meta and Google-owned YouTube negligent in designing addictive platforms, awarding plaintiff Kaley G.M. $3 million in compensatory damages—70% to Meta, 30% to YouTube—and finding the companies acted with malice. Experts compare this 'Big Tobacco' moment to 1990s tobacco litigation, as the verdict could influence thousands of pending suits. (GroundNews)
2. Supply chain attack hits widely-used AI package, risks impacting thousands of companies: LiteLLM, an open-source Python package widely used by artificial intelligence systems, has been compromised by hackers in a supply chain attack that researchers say could impact tens of thousands of corporate environments. Compromised versions of the package (identified as 1.82.7 and 1.82.8) were published on the Python Package Index on Tuesday and unwittingly downloaded into development and cloud environments. (RecordedFuture)
-Technology and Science-
1. NASA Artemis II Spaceflight Expected to Take Off on April 1: Artemis II will mark the first crewed mission to orbit the Moon since 1972 and the inaugural human flight of NASA's Artemis program. (TechTimes)
-Bitcoin Community-
1. Bitcoin miner concentration just exposed a gap in Bitcoin’s “six confirmations” rule: The Bitcoin network experienced a rare two-block reorg on Mar. 23, at block height 941,880. Foundry mined six consecutive blocks, AntPool and ViaBTC briefly extended a competing branch. The chain resolved the fork as designed, following the path with the most hash rate. Bitcoin performed exactly as designed and validated its assumptions. The answer traces back to Satoshi Nakamoto's 2008 whitepaper, which modeled finality as a catch-up probability. As enough blocks pile up on top of a transaction, the computational cost of rewriting history becomes prohibitive for an attacker with limited hashpower. (CryptoSlate) (AC-This article is a good primer on the mechanics of the Bitcoin network. https://tinyurl.com/293yzhtc )
-Bitcoin Sentiment-
1. Fear(0)/Greed(100) Index: 10/100 (Down 4 pts)
Analyst Comments (AC): NSTR
Follow us on NOSTR: npub1qktts9naunvjdwsktq5xjdhwh539xt4x0mqj4yxq0q9dvm03ljvs6sms0r
Listen to us daily on X discuss the DIB and more: X Spaces, Bitcoin Veterans, 10amEST/7amPST
____________________
Analyst: BV2A
END REPORT
NNNN
*NSTR-Nothing Significant To Report