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2026-07-21 09:08:34 UTC

John Carlos Baez on Nostr: The Gaussian Moments Conjecture is a pretty conjecture connected to probability and ...

The Gaussian Moments Conjecture is a pretty conjecture connected to probability and quantum field theory. Two days ago we suddenly learned it's false! - since it implies the Jacobian conjecture.

Let me explain this conjecture - it's very simple as these things go.

A lot of quantum field theory is about integrals like

E(P) = ∫ P(𝑥) exp(−x⋅x) dⁿx

where P is a polynomial in the variables x = (x₁,...,𝑥ₙ).

Feynman diagrams are a graphical trick for computing these integrals!

The Gaussian Moments Conjecture says that if a polynomial P in n variables has

E(Pᵏ) = 0

for all k = 1,2,3,... then also

E(PᵏQ) = 0

for all k and all polynomials Q.

Very pretty, and I could probably make up a nice physics interpretation.

But sorry, it's false! 😏

Warnings:

1) I don't know why the Gaussian Moments Conjecture implies the Jacobian Conjecture; this is claimed here:

• Harm Derksen, Arno van den Essen, Wenhua Zhao,The Gaussian Moments Conjecture and the Jacobian Conjecture, https://arxiv.org/abs/1506.05192

but they really just reduce the issue to work in an earlier paper by Zhao.

2) The expected value E(P) should really be normalized to make E(1) = 1. It's irrelevant here, but matters elsewhere. So, take my definition of E(P) and divide it by π^(n/2).