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2026-04-13 03:01:00 UTC

CITADELWIRE on Nostr: 2026-04-13 03:00 UTC | BLOCK 944824 BITCOIN $71,073 | GOLD $4,692 1. Oil surges $8 to ...

2026-04-13 03:00 UTC | BLOCK 944824

BITCOIN $71,073 | GOLD $4,692

1. Oil surges $8 to $104 as peace talks collapse
-- Reuters: dollar and crude jumped Monday after Islamabad marathon talks failed, leaving verbal ceasefire hanging nine days before April 22 expiry.
-- Re-enters Barclays' $110-130 systemic threshold approach; permanent deal just 24% on Polymarket at BTC $71,073.

2. Warsh Fed hearing today, central bank leaderless
-- Senate Banking convenes confirmation as Powell exits May with active DOJ probe; no confirmed successor.
-- Defines monetary path with cut and hike odds simultaneously priced; five more central banks decide rates April 28-30.

3. Three-way Hormuz standoff hardens overnight
-- Trump ordered Navy to intercept Iranian toll-paying vessels; IRGC declared any warship near strait a ceasefire violation; UK-France forming separate coalition.
-- Hormuz still under 10 vessels/day versus 150 normal; oil $104.32 pricing escalation, not reopening, into truce expiry.

4. BlackRock Q1 earnings Tuesday, war-era positioning revealed
-- $14T manager reports first full quarter through conflict; April note already prices permanent energy disruption via tanker-tracking data.
-- Stayed underweight stocks and bonds through entire war; results show institutional read on $7T Q1 equity wipeout at BTC $71,073.

5. SEC CLARITY Act roundtable Wednesday opens regulatory gauntlet
-- Commission formally convenes April 16; Senate Banking markup targets late April for first comprehensive US digital asset law.
-- Institutional pipeline (Schwab $12T, Kraken Fed master account, DOL 401(k) $7.7T) awaits framework against exchange reserves at six-year low of 2.31M BTC.