:seven: :seven: :seven: on Nostr: The situation in Mexico almost entirely focuses on the CJNG, with the Sinaloa unable ...

The situation in Mexico almost entirely focuses on the CJNG, with the Sinaloa unable to do more than steal previously-contested land due to their own internal civil war. CJNG is seeing real resistance on their attempt to expand (and escape) southward; Familia Michocoana, Los Viagras, and all the other small, local outfits that oppose the CJNG are preventing this rather expansionist cartel from gaining any ground the Mexican Army/Marines cannot protect.

They can't go north because the Sinaloa's civil war would pause to repel the opposing cartel. They can't push south because there are just too many more-decentralized paramilitary and local-defense groups to be able to confidently take land like they did elsewhere. The only advantage CJNG have in the southern regions, really, is the ability to economically fuck the local gangs by out-bidding on precursors, weapons, etc., or underselling for migrant trafficking, processed drugs, etc.

That said, CJNG controls important ports on both coasts of Mexico. Decapitating the organization does not break these kinds of entrenched financial machines -- those controlling the ports know that they are where the money comes in. Sinaloa might probe, but the bigger concern is fractured in-fighting. I have no idea what Mexico can do about Manzanillo and Lazaro Cardenas on the pacific coast. Veracruz could be easier to recover if only because the supply lines are far worse from that side of the country to Guadalajara/Jalisco, so fragmentation is far more likely over there.