Secondly, we always say you should ignore individual polls and focus on the averages, and there's just been an explosion of partisan GOP polls since the frenzy over Nate Silver in 2016.
Important to note that they aren't all junk polls, but even good partisan polls tend to have a house effect.
The averages compensate for these house effects to varying degrees but they work their way into what we're told the race is looking like either directly or indirectly via the punditry. 5/