and I looked up that bonkers "nation-state-level" quote source.
graduated from college 2025.
no security expertise.
his bio says:
"I find value in forecasting the trajectory of AI, both as an exercise to crystallize my own thinking, but also to build an explicit track record and draw attention to the urgency of our fast-approaching future. Manifold Markets has been the main place where I've registered predictions about AI timelines."