Here in the U.K. the Gorton and Denton by-election has got people making all kinds of predictions, with most people saying it's a straight battle between Greens and Reform.
I'll just leave this here by Professor Rob Ford from the University of Manchester. He's saying it's actually a 4 party battle with none of the parties having a clear route through to victory.
He's not making any predictions.
#UKPolitics
The Gorton and Denton by-election: a tale of two Manchesters?
https://swingometer.substack.com/p/the-gorton-and-denton-by-election?utm_campaign=post&showWelcomeOnShare=true
ProjectFearlessness
npub1m3…hjh39
2026-01-29 07:43:52 UTC
Author Public Key
npub1m3tr8qmhh2c9wq75jkzemt3ym66aq4lkmm6zwjtkygz79cj5cpys8hjh39Seen on
wss://relay.momostr.pinkPublished at
2026-01-29 07:43:52 UTCEvent JSON
{
"id": "1c17473a1a892125541ebcccf23232de04a785f7c372e3f4b0be1d8ee24a6a0c",
"pubkey": "dc56338377bab05703d495859dae24deb5d057f6def42749762205e2e254c049",
"created_at": 1769672632,
"kind": 1,
"tags": [
[
"proxy",
"https://mastodonapp.uk/@ProjectFearlessness/115977265640382560",
"web"
],
[
"t",
"ukpolitics"
],
[
"proxy",
"https://mastodonapp.uk/users/ProjectFearlessness/statuses/115977265640382560",
"activitypub"
],
[
"L",
"pink.momostr"
],
[
"l",
"pink.momostr.activitypub:https://mastodonapp.uk/users/ProjectFearlessness/statuses/115977265640382560",
"pink.momostr"
],
[
"-"
]
],
"content": "Here in the U.K. the Gorton and Denton by-election has got people making all kinds of predictions, with most people saying it's a straight battle between Greens and Reform.\n\nI'll just leave this here by Professor Rob Ford from the University of Manchester. He's saying it's actually a 4 party battle with none of the parties having a clear route through to victory. \n\nHe's not making any predictions.\n\n#UKPolitics\n\nThe Gorton and Denton by-election: a tale of two Manchesters?\nhttps://swingometer.substack.com/p/the-gorton-and-denton-by-election?utm_campaign=post\u0026showWelcomeOnShare=true",
"sig": "b4b62ee8d9bc3eb30cb38879dc4fe3619beb42f5c047ebb8350cf3cb5c6bbce815cd93a217e295c8b3b38941f3d23623b9d450c862819e446f290b531b6e1240"
}