Whenever talking chances or odds or probabilities, zero is never the right answer. Some vanishingly small number sure, not zero.
>“China could completely level the island with bombs, yes. But as the successive military failures of the US have proven, that doesn't put boots on the ground and create a new regime.”
This is closer to what I was thinking but still not really what I was getting at.
Forget about China bankrupting themselves.
They could bankrupt the US, and it wouldn’t have to be a full scale invasion. If they can control/destroy TSMC that would suffice and the knock on effects would be enormous.
I don’t think the odds are high of this happening, but it’s definitely not zero and Biden being removed would be an opportunity that would increase the odds for them to operate in a moment of chaos.