> the document doesnt "imply" anywhere they have insight into that wallet
It's still a timing analysis trace, it meets all 4 conditions. You act like condition 2 requires there to be an external wallet; I think there is evidence of an external wallet, but it's not even a requirement of doing such a trace. It's theoretically possible for someone to withdraw straight from a swap service to a KYC'd exchange and they could still do a timing analysis on that, though in at least in one case that's obviously not what he did, he clearly sent it to some other wallet first where he picked up 4 extra XMR -- which just makes the trace cover more hops.
> so youre not "providing evidence" ... you're suggesting your own conclusions about what the evidence means
That's a strange pair of sentences. I didn't provide "evidence" but I draw conclusions about "the evidence"? What evidence? The evidence I supposedly didn't provide? Get real.
