npub1xjt08eag26lsvmju7um0z073degwu0vktq2qva7tdpqcz7dhvfhq9m9ml2 (npub1xjt…9ml2) Electoral Calculus has the LibDems as His Majesty's Loyal Opposition on these numbers. It also has the threshold at which Reform would gain its first seat during these trends as being 18%.
(Usual caveats against non-MRP seat projections apply.)