π WEEKLY DIGEST Β· Week 24 Β· Jun 26
π° BTC : $62,206
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π Market zone
π’ Signal de bottom actif β Score 100/100 (β11 pts vs prev. week).
The market is in an accumulation zone. On-chain indicators confirm undervaluation. Historically, 83% of these episodes produced a positive return at 6 months.
π‘ Convergence : 3/5 β CONVERGENCE
βͺ IGV 3W trend : +1.96%
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π Indicateurs on-chain
MVRV-Z 0.49 βΌ0.09 π’
NUPL 0.140 βΌ0.030 π’
Fear & Greed 8 βΌ4 π’
Funding 0.0033 β²0.0061 π΄
Puell 0.672 β²0.006 π΄
OI/MCap % 0.50% βΌ0.01 π’
200WMA ratio 1.012x β²0.002 π΄
StochRSI 73.3 βΌ13.2 π’
RV30 40.3% β²5.1 π’
L/S ratio 2.078 β²0.082 π΄
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π What the signals say
This week's data presents a striking contrast: the OCM Bottom Score of 100/100 is historically rare and suggests market conditions similar to capitulation lows seen in late 2018 and 2022, while simultaneously the Fear & Greed Index at 8 indicates extreme fearβa psychological state that has historically preceded significant reversals. Key metrics like NUPL (0.140) and MVRV-Z (0.49) show most holders are underwater or near breakeven, which historically correlates with periods where selling pressure from weak hands diminishes. The Long/Short ratio of 2.078 signals extreme leverage positioning on one side, creating potential instability, while StochRSI at 73.3 indicates oversold conditions that may be stretched relative to recent price action. The +11 point improvement in OCM Score week-over-week, combined with price 29.5% below the 12-week moving average, mirrors accumulation-phase patterns from previous bear market troughs, though these are descriptive historical observations rather than predictive signals.
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β‘ Notable changes this week
π’ StochRSI : βΌ13.2
π’ Score Bottom : β²11
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π― Next key levels to watch
β’ MVRV-Z : 0.49 β watch at 3.5 (currently safe)
β’ F&G : 8 β exuberance at 80+
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