I’ve learned the hard way.. I got a Bitcoin loan to buy more bitcoin in 2020 because S2FX model said Bitcoin was going to $100k by the end of the month.
It didn’t.. and I lost 80% of my entire stack trying to cover my loan LTV before it was margin called anyway.
Now I stay humble and stack sats. If it goes down it’s a blessing to stack more, if it goes up it’s worth more.
If any plans rely on the price being x by y, it’s not a good plan. Just stack as much as you can that you can happily not use for more than 4 years.
timosolo / The Tim
npub10d…425xf
2025-11-30 17:34:04 UTC
in reply to nevent1q…tqm4
Author Public Key
npub10dnz5lq3nrvjamffvh5y3eacnyxgafryp3jjdda24askf2jvt0zsz425xfPublished at
2025-11-30 17:34:04 UTCEvent JSON
{
"id": "7a6698d6c9f08391562442beb785676f3ab61f1e7f67f4432a6ad05dbd32bdb5",
"pubkey": "7b662a7c1198d92eed2965e848e7b8990c8ea4640c6526b7aaaf6164aa4c5bc5",
"created_at": 1764524044,
"kind": 1,
"tags": [
[
"e",
"2155f38198d0bccfde8d2fcebb1f7c97233d566a7fba6e32f6ab292ba2bc492c",
"wss://nostr.oxtr.dev",
"root"
],
[
"p",
"897336b575460b3ac1c307b1b996d928a5a758b00469f64854f04aca09431d1d",
"",
"mention"
]
],
"content": "I’ve learned the hard way.. I got a Bitcoin loan to buy more bitcoin in 2020 because S2FX model said Bitcoin was going to $100k by the end of the month.\n\nIt didn’t.. and I lost 80% of my entire stack trying to cover my loan LTV before it was margin called anyway.\n\nNow I stay humble and stack sats. If it goes down it’s a blessing to stack more, if it goes up it’s worth more.\n\nIf any plans rely on the price being x by y, it’s not a good plan. Just stack as much as you can that you can happily not use for more than 4 years.",
"sig": "9b9bd4ca2057f0d759931d7a8a4cce012879a9454172f53f53a31e24fe0b04720da5d57a346d97c8809aaa687100724015f221035a5b3fb95b79e0b363fafa57"
}