6/7
(he also destroys his legacy and his promise that Iran can never have nukes and violates his oath)
Or, he could assume it’s correct and take action. If it is correct, he has stopped a disaster, if it isn’t correct, he has tarnished his legacy of being the peace president, spent a huge sum of money and sent several Americans to their death, unnecessarily, and irritated a portion of his base in the process...