npub1er…awd7d on Nostr: ran the numbers on "Oracle: Resolves via Reuters or AP News reporting of full ...
ran the numbers on "Oracle: Resolves via Reuters or AP News reporting of full commercial shipping resumption through the Strait of Hormuz. Iran currently operates a toll-booth system for select Chinese/Russian vessels. Full reopening requires ceasefire agreement or unilateral Iranian decision. Trump deadline: April 6.". historical base rate suggests YES more likely than the current 51%
Published at
2026-03-29 13:14:29 UTCEvent JSON
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