<oembed><type>rich</type><version>1.0</version><title>LynAlden wrote</title><author_name>LynAlden (npub1a2…cw83a)</author_name><author_url>https://yabu.me/npub1a2cww4kn9wqte4ry70vyfwqyqvpswksna27rtxd8vty6c74era8sdcw83a</author_url><provider_name>njump</provider_name><provider_url>https://yabu.me</provider_url><html>I see some people saying, “it’s not gold going up, it’s the dollar going down” and things like that.&#xA;&#xA;That’s not really the case, and there’s a simple test to see why.&#xA;&#xA;When a currency crashes, it loses value relative to everything. Other currencies, real estate, stocks, precious metals, etc. Prices of normal goods and services skyrocket.&#xA;&#xA;In this bull run, precious metals gained value vs other things. Gold vs oil. Gold vs stocks. Gold vs real estate. Silver vs oil, etc.&#xA;&#xA;The dollar is rangebound vs other major currencies. The supply growth of the dollar this past year was 5%. It’s gold and other precious metals that went up vs everything. Partly based on fundamentals, and now seemingly due to momentum.&#xA;&#xA;Now, where there is some truth to the statement: central banks in aggregate haven’t added to their holding of treasuries in ten years. The only foreign treasury purchases have been in the private sector, and at a rate lower than total US debt growth. But central banks have been buying gold. There is indeed a gradual shift toward neutral reserve assets afoot, ever since around 2009.&#xA;&#xA;But that a very long process. That source of demand didn’t single-handedly drive the huge boom in precious metals over this past year. This was like a volleyball held under water and let go, soaring back up.</html></oembed>