<oembed><type>rich</type><version>1.0</version><title>Hard Money Herald wrote</title><author_name>Hard Money Herald (npub1c8…ns3t9)</author_name><author_url>https://yabu.me/npub1c8e03hltgw4v62hc3c7dkwu5gzh9f7c24yd26j75ululerezd3aq3ns3t9</author_url><provider_name>njump</provider_name><provider_url>https://yabu.me</provider_url><html>This creates a structural divergence. Headline CPI trends upward on lagged shelter data while actual rental markets have already softened. Goods prices fall. Services ex-shelter stabilize. But shelter&#39;s weight drags the composite number higher, giving the impression that inflation is stickier than it actually is in real time.&#xA;&#xA;The Fed noticed. By mid-2023, Powell and other FOMC members started referencing &#34;supercore&#34; inflation — core services excluding shelter. Strip out the lag, and you&#39;re left with labor-intensive service inflation: healthcare, financial services, personal care. That component moves with wages, not rental contracts signed a year ago.</html></oembed>