<oembed><type>rich</type><version>1.0</version><title>DrJeff wrote</title><author_name>DrJeff (npub1k7…3c04l)</author_name><author_url>https://yabu.me/npub1k7vkcxp7qdkly7qzj3dcpw7u3v9lt9cmvcs6s6ln26wrxggh7p7su3c04l</author_url><provider_name>njump</provider_name><provider_url>https://yabu.me</provider_url><html>Just got triggered by another bitcoin analyst write-up.&#xA;&#xA;So, for like the zillionth time...&#xA;&#xA;The last six months of price consolidation &#34;at or near the 2021 highs&#34; is NOT ATYPICAL OR UNUSUAL if you understand that:&#xA;&#xA;1. The 2021 bitcoin price high of approximately $69k was an (abnormally low) anomaly, historically-speaking... and *should have* been closer to $125k.&#xA;&#xA;2. The anomaly was caused primarily by China&#39;s sudden and effective ban of Bitcoin mining, which caused the hash rate to drop precipitously by approximately 50% in the spring/summer months of 2021. By the time hash rate recovered, the liquidity and leverage wave of late 2021 had reached its peak, limiting further upside price action.&#xA;&#xA;3. Once understood, the current post-halving rangebound consolidation of approximately 40-60% of $125k (range: $50k-75k) is TOTALLY NORMAL and quite similar to 2H 2016 and 2H 2020 price action.&#xA;&#xA;Hopefully this makes sense and is helpful to those who are despairing and/or are new to bitcoin.&#xA;&#xA;Cheers. 🍻 </html></oembed>