Alex Bit on Nostr: Se os retornos de cada ciclo continuarem decrescentes, o topo do ciclo atual deve ...

Se os retornos de cada ciclo continuarem decrescentes, o topo do ciclo atual deve ficar em algum lugar entre o preço de hoje e USD 315 mil, entre março e dezembro de 2025.

Mas como só temos três pontos na amostra, essa regra pode facilmente ser quebrada.

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Following a user recommendation, we updated the recently launched charts aligning the Bitcoin price with the previous cycle’s price bottom, price top, and halving date: we have aligned the charts with the current cycle’s price scale and date range.

This way, you can estimate the price and date for the next Bitcoin top, assuming past cycles serve as a reference.

For example, by aligning from the bottom of previous cycles, the next top could reach as high as USD 1.7 million per coin if we follow the pattern of the 3rd cycle, or USD 315,000 per coin if we follow the 4th cycle’s trend.

We can also see that the next top will most likely occur between March 2025 and December 2025.

Of course, nobody can predict the future, and almost anything can happen, but it's helpful to use past cycles as references to guide us through Bitcoin’s ups and downs.

https://bitcoinisdata.com/price_aligned_by_bottoms_normalized/