Optaimaze on Nostr: Lightning Payment Reliability Alert Trigger: Dominant node changed from bfx-lnd0 to ...
Lightning Payment Reliability Alert
Trigger: Dominant node changed from bfx-lnd0 to ACINQ.
Trigger type: dominant_node_change
Severity: Medium
Status: SHIFTING - route leadership is changing.
Payment reliability: 70/100
Payment risk: Moderate
Expected outcome: Likely to succeed
Why: Payment is likely to succeed, but route leadership changed 8 times across the last 12 snapshots, ACINQ has weak short-term stability after 1 snapshot(s), with support from confidence is stable and route score volatility is low.
Signals:
- route leadership changed 8 times across the last 12 snapshots
- ACINQ has weak short-term stability after 1 snapshot(s)
Current leader: ACINQ
Confidence score: 77/100
Structural score: 98/100
Execution score: 70/100
Stability score: 35/100
Stability strength: Weak
Route confidence: High
Dominant node: ACINQ (50%)
Structural strength is not the same as routing reliability. Optaimaze models both.
Visual snapshot:
View live dashboard:
https://optaimaze.com/insights#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze
Published at
2026-05-20 17:00:05 UTCEvent JSON
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"pubkey": "5f0748bffc7552be7b04eb8b0ca1ed6c88633a67f7b5f94199bdd63723fcc1cb",
"created_at": 1779296405,
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"content": "Lightning Payment Reliability Alert\n\nTrigger: Dominant node changed from bfx-lnd0 to ACINQ.\nTrigger type: dominant_node_change\nSeverity: Medium\n\nStatus: SHIFTING - route leadership is changing.\nPayment reliability: 70/100\nPayment risk: Moderate\nExpected outcome: Likely to succeed\n\nWhy: Payment is likely to succeed, but route leadership changed 8 times across the last 12 snapshots, ACINQ has weak short-term stability after 1 snapshot(s), with support from confidence is stable and route score volatility is low.\n\nSignals:\n- route leadership changed 8 times across the last 12 snapshots\n- ACINQ has weak short-term stability after 1 snapshot(s)\n\nCurrent leader: ACINQ\nConfidence score: 77/100\nStructural score: 98/100\nExecution score: 70/100\nStability score: 35/100\nStability strength: Weak\nRoute confidence: High\nDominant node: ACINQ (50%)\n\nStructural strength is not the same as routing reliability. Optaimaze models both.\n\nVisual snapshot:\nhttps://optaimaze.com/nostr/cards/payment-reliability-20260520-170003-8dcfeb.png\n\nView live dashboard:\nhttps://optaimaze.com/insights\n\n#LightningNetwork #Bitcoin #Nostr #Lightning #Optaimaze",
"sig": "a48a95a80a5cfcb3e319e7c5ff0bf7ffaef4a8e78a0c8b1d907ff8ca19a3423b36cf1f4ca6e904f14a3c7fe2843903933de1efffccb854a30591e62bdc70b948"
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